Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/3

Meet Stats: 356 -- 1149 / $2,022.80 (-$275.20)

Best Bets: 54 -- 102 / $175.70 (-$28.30)

Spot Plays: 20 - 105 / $171.60 (-$38.60)

Best Bet: SPORTS COLUMN (9TH)

Spot Play: SIMON SAID (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,7/1,6/5,7,9/6,10/1,3,6 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 1,8,9/1,2,6/1,9,10/6/1,2,7 = $16.20

Early Pick 4: 6,10/1,3,6/1,8,9/1,2,6 = $54

Late Pick 4: 1,2,6/1,9,10/6/1,2,7 = $27

Race 1: CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $40,000 LT $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) MACH DIESEL won off the Fellows claim and this field looks no tougher than the one he beat that night; call to repeat. (2) GIDDY UP MAX has been close in both starts at this level and he is the most logical upsetter here; using. (5) LOADED DECK's winning effort two starts back here is good enough to win this if he can bounce back off a poor performance vs. better. (4) WELL EL should be an early speed threat and stick around to take a share.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 to $15,000

(6) TIKI TAKA had an impossible trip last week following Mister Magic who took a while to clear, which left this gelding hung out the whole way. He has a much better chance tonight with that rival missing in this field. (1) EXPLOSIVE JET has flipped the script this year and won at a clip greater than 20% after taking only one win in 2019. She is in with a decent chance against this group. (9) MONOPOLY will get bet on the drop into claimers but he has burned money in the past (see two starts back) and I'll play to beat him tonight. (10) VOODOO MAN draws the 10-hole for the third straight time. He can come on late for another small share.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000

(9) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS goes into the hot Johnson barn off the claim and he can improve sharply despite drawing widest; top call. (5) STATE OF PLAY couldn't hold off the hot A Boy Named Suuzz last week, but that was a strong effort and he should be a major player here again. (7) PRINT MEDIA is sharp and likely to show speed here. He has upset possibilities. (4) MISSION THREE raced well last time considering he was out the route. He should get another share.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) Pick 4

Very tough race here. I'll give a slight nod to (10) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE, who gets Vanderkemp in the bike coming off a race where he broke. (6) TUCKERS OUT comes out of a race where the winner has already come back to win and he picks up Henry. He should be a threat tonight. (4) MODERN MASS takes the trotting hopples off here and she is worth a look in a spot where she seems to fit well. (2) SPUN FROM MAGIC steps up off a nice win, but in this spot he seems likely to take a small share.

Race 5: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(1) ST LADS THRILLER comes off a nice effort vs. better and now he drops into a spot where he should have a good shot. He is one of many class droppers to consider for multi-race tickets. (3) ROYAL RENEGADE dropped and was used early then tired late. He is likely better stalking the pace and he's hard to toss here dropping again. (6) BRODYS SCRAPPER drops the farthest and he should get put into this race leaving the gate; using. (10) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN has seemed to have gone off form, but at this level he should improve enough to take a slice.

Race 6: CLAIMING HANDICAP $10,000 to $20,000 Pick 5

(1) SIMON SAID has been really good at London recently and this isn't the toughest spot. I'll give him the nod over (8) LEADER TONIGHT, who woke up in his second start off the Eftiamidis claim and faces similar to those that he beat last week. (9) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER is consistent and always a threat, it seems, but post 9 makes it a tough task tonight; demand a price. (10) JIMMY BE GOOD gets a driver change to McNair, who has been known to wake one up; consider for the exotics.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 7: 2YO and 3YO NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

(1) HES SWIFT almost got the job done from the 8-hole last week and he looks best here moving inside and facing similar tonight. (2) BETTORS DONTTELL finished well in the same race and he can improve here making his second start back off a break; using. (6) BET ON BLAKE is in an easier spot but he has missed a month. I'd need a price, but he isn't impossible. (3) KINGS JESTER is likely to deploy a closing style this week after stopping on the lead and his race here on 10/15 shows he is capable of coming on for a share.

Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000

(1) IZZIES ELEGANCE is the only winner in this field, facing easier and drawing the rail, she gets top billing in this field. (9) JACKSON STORM is capable of winning this if he gets put into the race, but keep in mind he is a 2YO leaving from the toughest post. (10) MAHONE SEELSTER's debut race was good enough to make him a contender here but he draws the second-tier post, so demand a price. (7) OXFORD HALL is in the mix every race but he is more likely to take a small share than win at this point.

Race 9: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

This is a field that (6) SPORTS COLUMN should dominate if he's on his game, and coming in fresh off a break, he could be sitting on a big race; top call. (7) AMERICAN HUSTLE drops off a good effort and he should be the main rival to the choice. (1) ARUKIDINME CABBIE last raced in this class in September and he finished a close second that night. He should be an exotics factor here. (10) YACHT SEELSTER was used hard early last week and he didn't tire badly. He should be part of the Super.

Race 10: CLAIMING $8,000

(7) CROCADILE CANYON goes to Moreau off the claim and a winning effort last week. He is the one to beat here. (2) SPEED TO MARKET is the other claimed horse and Auciello should move him up; using. (3) MONTY MONO is right there every week but he is more likely to take a smaller share; using underneath. (4) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP should get a better trip this week after getting hung the mile last time; consider for Super and High-5 bets. (9) BUTE COURAGE N might be rated higher had he drawn a better post. From out there I can only use him on the bottom.