Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/29

Meet Stats: 657 - 1977 / $3,290.40 (-$679.80)

Best Bets: 102 - 187 / $341.00 (-$33.00)

Spot Plays: 47 - 189 / $313.30 (-$64.70)

Best Bet: NO CONTROL (1ST)

Spot Play: BELLA CAVALLA (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 9/8/3,6,7/1,2,6,7,9/3,6,9 = $9

Late Pick 5: 1,6/2,3,6/2,3,6/2,6,7,8/7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 1,2,6,7,9/3,6,9/1,6/2,3,6 = $18

Late Pick 4: 2,3,6/2,3,6/2,6,7,8/7 = $7.20

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(9) NO CONTROL followed up a promising debut race with a dominant maiden win last week and he will surely be odds-on to repeat here. He is hard to go past. (10) BETTORHOLDONTIGHT squandered what appeared to be a sure win last week when he broke just as he was about to sail past the leaders. He is worth using in the Exacta at what should be a square price from post 10. (3) TWO FACED raced well but he couldn't seal the deal and this is a tougher spot now; using underneath. $120,000 Lexington buy (7) SKY LOW LOW probably got what trainer Darling wanted out of his lone qualifier and he is worth a look for the exotics on debut.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(8) MY ONE PERCENT debuts in a good spot and Macdonald (who qualified him) chose him over others; top call. (1) STREET GLIDER closed well last week but she is 1 for 22 so I wouldn't take a short price with her starting from the rail. (2) ANGELINA HANOVER figures to be close throughout and take another share. (3) BARZY ships in from Flamboro in good form and he can take a small slice.

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Race 3: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 for NW $65,000 LT

(6) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH is only a head short of having four straight wins at this level and she is strictly the one to beat. (7) SUNSHINE SALLY is the mare that beat the choice by a head in the one of four starts she got beat. She figures to be the main threat again. (3) SHEPLAYSFORKEEPS is capable if she stays flat; price look for the Pick 5. (5) RMISSASHLEE should sit and rally late for another small share.

Race 4: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $34,500 LT - Pick 4

(7) THE TWIST lost all chance when he blew up at the start last week. His effort two starts back stamps him as a contender here if he stays flat; slight nod in a tough race. (1) PROMISE ME A WIN raced terrific and almost scored a huge upset last week. A repeat of that effort puts him right there tonight. (6) PEP IN MY STEP raced okay last week considering and he returns quicker now. I think he gets more aggressive now; using. (9) TOUCHEM ALL JOE is a threat with J Mac in the bike. These are the types of races where he finds the best trip with less than the best horse.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $23,000 (F&M $32,500)

(9) BELLA CAVALLA looked flat as a big chalk last week, probably a combination of missing time and trying to rally first up into an accelerating late pace. Price goes up now and I'll take a shot with this filly. (6) COME HOME FOR LIFE rallied well in that race now he draws best. He figures to be a threat tonight. (3) FLYING FORMATION is another that returns quicker that is an obvious contender in this spot; using. (4) LILYS LASS should sit another good trip racing near the front and take a slice.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 5

(6) R HOT TODDY was best of the rest in a race in which the winner was a football field in front turning for home. Drawing best should give him a good chance vs. these. (1) HEADLINE MAKER raced okay from the 10-hole at big odds now he draws better. He should be closer early tonight and that gives him a shot. (4) MONI LAUNDERER got a needed clean line and closed a bit. He's worth using underneath here, Morning line choice (8) DEVILS ARCH has broke at the start of every pari-mutuel race and is one that I will let beat me at this point.

Race 7: 5YO and under winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45K LT (F&M $67,500) AE: 3YO and 4YO OPT CLM $50,000 - Pick 4

(2) UNBEATABLE KEMP closed too late last week. Macdonald will likely have him moving earlier here and he gets top billing. (3) GIGONDAS is 0 for 2022 but he is fast enough for these and he qualified well; using. (6) DEALIN WITH DEWEY raced well when he finished ahead of the choice and McNair sticks with him. He is another in with a shot here. (5) INN AT RODANTHE won for McNair but he vacates now; using underneath.

Race 8: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $75,500 LT

(2) BELECHICK jogged with Filion driving two starts back and he can get back to his winning ways here with that driver returning. (3) YARM will be closer early tonight and he needs that better positioning to have a chance; using. (6) TUF COOPER got McNair and immediately won as many do. He's not out of this. (7) ASSASSINS CREED was right there in a good effort. He should be in the mix again.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(6) SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET has been right there in two straight for Moreau and she looks best here. (2) CENTURY GEORGIA qualified well for this and I get the feeling she is live being jumped up in class after being claimed for $7K in early December. The tote may provide some clues with this one. (8) LITTLEBEARCAT is an obvious contender on form but she will likely give up positioning at the start again and close too late. I'll use her underneath. (7) PEGGY J is capable of better than she showed last week. She should be part of the Tri or Super in this spot.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(7) THUNDERING JIM was driven with supreme confidence to win by Young last week and a repeat is likely if he is just as sharp tonight. (4) THANKYAVERYMUCH should get a better trip starting from the inside here; price look for the Exacta. (10) KEVNDAN FRAUDSTERS was good in the Popup series but I'm not sure what trip he can get here. I think he sits at the back and rallies late for a slice. (8) THE LEGEND HANOVER was a decent 2nd to the choice last week and he can take another share here. (1) DO YOU SEE IT is worth using in the bottom of the exotics at a price making his second start out of a new barn.