Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/2

Meet Stats: 382 - 1113 / $2,021.40 (-$204.60)
Best Bets: 56 - 101 / $194.60 (-$7.40)
Spot Plays: 26 - 102 / $184.00 (-$20.00)
Best Bet: JUST MY SHADOW (7TH)
Spot Play: BLACK HAWK DOWN (8TH)
Early Pick 5: 6/5,6/3,6,7/2/1,5,6,10 = $4.80
Late Pick 5: 3,8/1/2,4,7/1,3,7/1,3 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 2/1,5,6,10/3,8/1 = $8
Late Pick 4: 2,4,7/1,3,7/1,3/6,9 = $36
Race 1: Pop Up Event 2nd Leg **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(6) RYDGEMONT SON N was fortunate that the late pace collapsed last week, but what he did, recovering from a break on the final turn to win going away, was still impressive and he gets the call to repeat. (3) SHES GOT PIZAZZ raced well in defeat and she should be an Exacta factor right back. (1) HOLDIN ACES was good in the first leg of this series, making a nice late charge. He should be in the exotics mix again. (7) MISSYS MAGIC MAN should pass a few of these late. He's worth a look at a price for the exotics.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: Pop Up Event 2nd Leg Fillies and Mares
(5) BIG MYRTLE made a mild wide bid in her comeback race in the opening leg of this series last week, now she draws much better. I expect the leading driver to put her into play earlier this time; top call. (6) CRANBERRY BRIE gets off the rail and she is another that should be blasting off the gate; using. (7) FURIOSA and (4) SAULSBROOK FLASHY were both surprisingly good in the first leg coming out of claiming races and both figure to take shares again.
Race 3: Claiming $17,500 for NW $35,000 LT
(6) ELROY SHINER is in peak form and Macdonald gets a lot out of him. He is a good bet to repeat tonight. (3) WILLIAM ROSS raced better last week but he was no match for the choice. He should be an Exacta factor again. (7) CARD SWAP draws better after racing decently last week and he is useable in the exotics tonight. (4) G A SPEED JOEY should be good for another small share tonight.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 4: Pop Up Event 2nd Leg - Pick 4
(2) PHEONIX is the clear top pick here after winning impressively in the opening leg last week. (7) BASTIANO should show speed again and he can get a trip and round out the Exacta. (8) COMPASS ROSE DC was no match for a dominant winner, but she took her 11th share in 26 starts and she should be in the exotics mix again. (3) TUCKERS OUT can sneak into the Super if he stays flat this week.
Race 5: F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $25,000 LT
(10) NOTHINHOLDINMEBACK was out a long way last week racing on the wet track and he paid the price late. Sorrie, who is doing well racing here every night now, should be able to find her some cover this week and she gets the nod. (5) NOTHINGCOMPARESTOU does her best work with McNair in the bike and he got her a great trip last week to win. She is a threat right back. (1) C U PRINCESS is consistently in the mix and she should be good for another share tonight. (6) BLACK BETTY can make another late charge for a share.
Race 6: Pop Up Event 2nd Leg - Pick 5
(8) NEVER MIND N gets the call to repeat after last week's dominant win. (3) WESTFIFTYSECOND failed as a big chalk but I can see him improving off that effort; using. (6) AUSSIE LOVER got the trip to blow up the tote board and pay more than $100 last week. I see him taking a small share here. (4) DARKANGELDESBOIS comes off an improved effort and he should be passing horses late again; using underneath.
Race 7: Pop Up Event 2nd Leg Fillies and Mares
(1) JUST MY SHADOW cruised as the big chalk here last week and she should do more of the same tonight at a similar price. (7) CATCH AN ACE can get a similar trip as last week's and land in the Exacta again. (6) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY was first up last week and that's not her trip. She should close late for a share this time. (2) SIRIUS STAR is worth a look for the exotics moving inside.
Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 - Pick 4
(4) BLACK HAWK DOWN, the only winner in this field, takes on a group that is 0 for 79 collectively and I'll give him the nod. (7) KRYPTONITE was right there in two straight at this track and he may have found a field that he can beat here; using. (2) ROYALTY AGREEMENT has the potential to win this if he stays flat but he will likely be carefully driven here. I'd demand a price. (6) ROSE OF TRALEE should take a share racing from close range.
Race 9: Pop Up Event 2nd Leg
(3) THEE DESPERADO seems to move up several lengths with McNair driving and he returns to the bike tonight; top call. (1) SUPERLATIVE made a nice recovery after breaking last week, and she is obviously one of the best ones in here, but the 1-hole probably isn't the best post for her and I wouldn't take a short price. (7) MUSCLES FOREVER is capable of better than he showed last week and he might get a more conservative drive this week; using. (4) KASHE was a powerful winner in London on Monday night and I can see her closing for a piece in here. .
Race 10: Pop Up Event 2nd Leg Fillies and Mares
This race will likely turn into a game of cat-and-mouse between the first-leg winners (1) GREYSTONE NATALI O and (3) FILTER HANOVER. I see the former riding the latter's pocket then pouncing late. (2) AMASA ARION should get another good following trip and take a share. (7) WHISTYS PARADISE fits okay here and she can be part of the Super.
Race 11: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000
(9) LEADER TONIGHT needed to get around without breaking last week and he accomplished that plus he showed some good late zip; speed blast coming this week? (6) GENERAL LEE fits well here and he showed some late interest in his qualifier; using. (1) SHADOW ME THEMONEY gets streaking driver Sorrie here and he is an upset possibility as he could get a great covered trip tonight. (8) DREAMFAIR B J can pass some of these and take another slice. (5) COOL ROCK should be closing these to land in the High-5.

