Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/17

Meet Stats: 380 – 1233 / $2,155.10 (-$310.90)
Best Bets: 60 – 110 / $194.80 (-$25.20)
Spot Plays: 22 - 113 / $180.40 (-$45.80)
Best Bet: SHESWILDNFREE (6TH)
Spot Play: GAMBLER PANIC (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,5,8,9/2,4,5/1/1,2,6,7/4,6,7 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 5/5,8/4,6,9/2,3/2,3,8,9 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 1,2,6,7/4,6,7/5/5,8 = $24
Late Pick 4: 5,8/4,6,9/2,3/2,3,8,9 = $48

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **$100,000 GTD Pick 5**

(9) MAHONE SEELSTER gets a chance to leave quicker here getting his nose on the gate and this isn't the toughest spot. I'll give him the nod over (5) FINANCIAL DAY, who should be the main rival based on recent form. (8) GUARD MY HEART is 0 for 12 but she comes off a nice effort and McNair should put her into the race leaving the gate; using. (2) FORTUNE TELLERS K comes off a decent effort and she can take a share in this spot.

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Race 2: 2YO & 3 YO NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) BIG CHIC MAGNET took lots of action at the windows in his debut and he made a nice recovery from a break in stride. He can beat these if he stays flat. (2) FEAR THE SHADOW is 0 for 23, but he raced decently from the 9-hole last time and he should be one of the main contenders tonight. (5) BETTORS DONTTELL gets out of the second tier and his race two starts back makes him a contender vs. these; using. (10) KINGS JESTER could come on late again for a share; consider for the bottom of the exotics at a price.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT

(1) HP STARLETTE drops back to NW2 after two solid efforts one level higher and she should be tough in here. (6) GAB IN MOTION was narrowly beaten in two straight by Rowlen who isn’t in here and he should the main danger to the choice; Exacta factor. (5) RJS INVICTUS should be in the hunt coming out of some decent tries in the Harvest Series, but I prefer to use him underneath. (4) CAVALIER GEORGE should get good position early and ride a good trip to a spot in the Super.

Race 4: CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $40,000 LT - Pick 4

(1) BABBLING improved in his second start over the track and he retains McClure here. I'll give him a slight nod in a field with several options. (6) BETTORS VICTORY woke up with McNair driving and was picked off right on the wire. He draws the best post and he should be right there again. (2) RADLEY HANOVER took a new life's mark with a strong effort and he is yet another contender in a race where it makes sense to price shop. (7) MAGNUS SEELSTER comes off a strong winning effort where he beat the choice and he should be a front end threat again.

Race 5: CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $40,000 LT

(7) GAMBLER PANIC makes his first start for Team Jamieson off what looks like a private sale and an aggressive try is expected here; top call. (6) MACH DEISEL couldn't keep pace with a strong winner last week but then, no one could. He should be an Exacta factor here. (4) SUNNY BO hasn't won yet in 2020, but his recent form is decent and this isn't a tough field; using. (8) KOUNNIS was a good second here vs. mares with Roy driving two starts back; price look.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT - Pick 5

(5) SHESWILDNFREE is a couple of seconds faster than any horse in the field and she will be tough to beat here at a short price. (2) SOUTHWIND SYLVESTR was sharp in his debut for Vanderkemp and he should be in the hunt again here. (4) TRAVELLER produced his best effort in a long time last week. He's worth a price look for the exotics. (3) TALAHASSE SEELSTER comes off a strong win where he was out the route but this is a much tougher assignment; using on the bottom.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 7: CLAIMING HANDICAP $10,000 to $12,000 - Pick 4

(8) LEADER TONIGHT goes for Moreau off the claim, has a better chance to clear to the front vs. this group and his price will be more attractive than last week's 4 to 5 closing price; top call. (5) CROCADILE CANYON’s typical deep closing style makes him a risky play at short odds, but you know he'll be coming in the lane; using. (1) OLLIESTRIKESFAME is worth using in the exotics going for Auciello off the claim in this spot. (4) UNPRECEDENTED used a perfect trip to take a win here last week and he would be dangerous if he can find the pocket early again.

Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(2) FIXED IDEA was flying late after starting from the worst post and facing better. He should get aggressive early here racing at the bottom conditioned level and he gets top billing. (4) BIG MACH N seems like a good fit here and he is worth using in the late Pick 4. (6) SWEET DEISEL should wake up here facing easier and the tote board may provide some clues with this one. (5) JIMMY BE GOOD is worth a look racing off the claim. I can see him passing a few of these late to land in the Super.

Race 9: CLAIMING $8,000

(2) SUNSHINES FINEST has the best recent form here and getting his nose back on the gate this week gives him a big shot, but he won't offer much of a price. (3) ON CRUISE CONTROL makes his second start off the Goddard claim and he retains Roy. He should be a speed threat. (10) MISTER X would be rated higher if he had his nose on the gate, because he wants the front and he may never see it from this post. (5) COOL ROCK can take a small share here passing a few of these in the back 1/2.

Race 10: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000

(2) BETTER MOONON OVER qualified fast enough to contend vs. these as he makes a drop into the claiming ranks. I'll give him the nod over (9) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS who raced tough in defeat off the claim last week but must deal with the worst post again. (8) REEL got used up in a big speed battle when claimed by Moreau. He gets Filion here and he could improve sharply. (3) REAL WICKED should be passing rivals late again and he should be in the High-5. (4) BLACK SMILE should flash early speed again and I see him hanging around to grab a slice.