Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/16

Meet Stats: 404 - 1175 / $2,138.10 (-$211.90)

Best Bets: 59 - 106 / $203.10 (-$10.90)

Spot Plays: 29 - 108 / $198.20 (-$17.80)

Best Bet: BLACK BETTY (11TH)

Spot Play: SPORTSDRINK (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 5,6,8/3,8/8,9/4,5,9/2,8,10 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 3,6/5,7,8/1,8,10/1,4,5/3,9,10 = $32.40

Early Pick 4: 4,5,9/2,8,10/3,6/5,7,8 = $54

Late Pick 4: 1,8,10/1,4,5/3,9,10/2 = $27

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) WINDY REPORT, a 1/2 to useful local winners Wind Blown and Wind Blast, finished well in his lone qualifier and he draws the leading driver for this debut race. This isn't the toughest spot and I'll give him the nod. (6) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON was overtaken at the 1/2 and he was immediately put to a tactical disadvantage as the back 1/2 was paced three seconds faster than the opening one. He figures to be a player again tonight; using. (8) ADDICTIVEBEHAVIOUR finished well in both starts and he will get these soon. He is another Pick 5 possibility. (4) WINDSUN CHIRAZ should close for another share tonight.

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Race 2: Claiming $17,500 for NW $38,500 LT

(3) ELROY SHINER has excelled at this level with Macdonald driving and he is the one to beat here as he seeks the threepeat. (8) CENTURY HEFNER should improve sharply dropping into a claimer and he is the other one that I'll use in the Pick 5. (7) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE produced a big back 1/2 to notch the upset last week and he can be an exotics factor right back. (6) G A SPEED JOEY is a trip horse who takes a lot of slices and notches the odd upset when everything falls his way. I'll use him underneath tonight.

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW 1 (F&M2) or $7,000 LT AE: 2YO who are NW2 LT

(9) DRAVEN HANOVER is only 1 for 29 lifetime, but she comes off two decent efforts when facing much better and she is my clear top pick here despite drawing widest. (8) THUNDER ROMPS stayed flat which in itself was a victory after he had frequent gait issues and he passed several horses late. I like him as a price option in this spot. (3) KRYPTONITE is in the mix every week, but he needs to find more late speed to convert. I'll use him on the bottom tonight. (4) LOUIS is worth using in the exotics on the drop from NW2.

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Race 4: Pop Up Event 1st Leg F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $30,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) MARVELOUS KISS showed improvement last week racing in a Pop Up Event vs. better and she should have a good shot vs. these. (4) ANCHOR SO REEL brings some good form in from Flamboro Downs and driver Roy takes over the lines. She should be the main danger here. (9) NOTHINGCOMPARESTOU chased home a winner that drifted out several lanes but kept going last week. This field is likely easier and she isn't without a chance. (7) IM CHIARA has been hot at Flamboro Downs but I prefer to use her underneath in this spot.

Race 5: Claiming Handicap $12,000 to $18,000

(2) JUSTA BANDIT races hard every week and he will be the one that gets the winning trip one of these weeks. Maybe it will be tonight; top call. (8) PRESTIGE SEELSTER, claimed by Montini for this, has improved recently and is worth a look in this spot. (10) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ was airborne late last week but he was too far back. If he can get spotted in midpack early here, he will be dangerous. (9) RADLEY HANOVER got a picture perfect trip following the choice's cover last week, but he is hurt by the post draw here and I'll use him underneath.

Race 6: 2YO NW1 or $7,100 LT - Pick 5

(6) SIP OF BOURBON was first up against a very tough favorite last week and he did well to hold 2nd. He looks best here. (3) BORN A REBEL is getting closer every week and he looks like the main danger here; using. (1) MACHALKO was well-beaten by the choice last week, but he should get a decent trip and take a slice tonight. (4) MOONWATCHER’s debut was okay and he is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics tonight.

Race 7: Horses Who Started in a Pop Up Event, NW $40,000 in 2021

(8) PHEONIX's trip gave him no chance in the Pop Up Event final last week. I'll give him the nod here expecting a more aggressive steer. (7) AUSSIE LOVER has caught fire recently and while his price is gone now, he should still be a strong factor here. (5) MUSCLES FOREVER is another that should get an improved trip this week and he has upset potential in this spot; using. (9) WHAT A RUSH can pass a few of these late. Give him a look for the bottom of the Super.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000 - Pick 4

(10) MISSION THREE took a while to get in gear last week but you could see he was the winner at the 1/16th pole when Macdonald fed him racetrack. He is best in here and he gets the nod despite drawing worst. (8) OAKROCK ELDORADO raced tough when shaded by the choice. He is in with a decent chance here. (1) ON CRUISE CONTROL should get a better trip tonight and he has upset potential starting from the inside. (3) EAST BOUND EDDIE is racing well and he never gets bet. He can take a slice at a price.

Race 9: Claiming $17,500 for NW $76,000 LT

(1) CUTTING CLASS makes his second start for Moreau and this is a good spot for him; top call. (4) MACHED UP was better last week and he should be in the mix again tonight racing on or near the lead; using. (5) ROCK AND TWIST’s late kick should play well here and he is the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (7) KOUNNIS looked tremendous winning last week but she steps up and faces males now and I expect her to take a small share.

Race 10: Pop Up Event 1st Leg F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $30,000 LT

(3) SPORTSDRINK hasn't done much in 2021, but she raced better last week when dropped in for a tag and I'll give her the call to upset here. (9) DELIMAS was flying late last week and she is likely the one to beat here. (10) EMMY LOU HAYES is worth a look going for the hot Barrington barn in her local debut here. (1) ALDREZDUP NOWRTGO can improve off last week's decent effort and land in the Super tonight.

Race 11: Pop Up Event 1st Leg F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $30,000 LT

(2) BLACK BETTY was bet like she couldn't lose here on 12/2 and she circled the field late with ease, aided by a slowing late pace. She looks best here; top call. (5) DILLY TARYN was used up early when facing much better in the Harvest Series final. She has a much better chance vs. this group. (10) WINE TYME has raced well in all three starts here and she never gets bet. I'll use her in this late Pick 4. (1) LATTE SEELSTER paced a nice back 1/2 last week without threatening. She can close for a slice here starting from the inside. (4) KATYS DELIGHT comes up tagged here and she should be part of the High-5 at a minimum.