Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/15

Meet Stats: 644 - 1947 / $3,237.10 (-$672.90)

Best Bets: 100 - 184 / $335.10 (-$32.90)

Spot Plays: 45 - 186 / $304.40 (-$67.60)

Best Bet: MATTS MVP (2ND)

Spot Play: UPGRADE VALLEY (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 4,6/1,3/1,7,8/8,9,10/1,3,5 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 7,8/6,9/5,6/2,5,6/2,4,7,9 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 8,9,10/1,3,5/7,8/6,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 6,9/5,6/2,5,6/2,4,7,9 = $9.60

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) SERIOUS MOJO's first start following a short break was decent and he gets off the rail now. I expect more aggression in this spot and he gets top billing. (6) SERIOUS DRAGON got an impossible trip from the worst post now he draws best. He can improve sharply in this spot; using. (8) DONT POKE THE BEAR couldn’t have got a better trip last week but he just couldn't reach up. I have to keep trying to beat him at this point, knowing that he will always take money because of the narrow misses. (3) BRYDOWN LOUIE should take another small share racing close to the front.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $25,000 LT

(1) MATTS MVP gets first time J Mac here in a winnable spot and he gets top billing. (3) CADILLAC produced a good late kick in his local debut and he is in with a decent chance tonight. (6) R ROYAL PORT has been flashing good speed in his qualifiers and he can lead part of the way here and stick around for a share. (7) SHES BEER LEAGUE blew up before the start and was refunded last time. I think she sits and rallies for a slice if she stays flat tonight.

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Race 3: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(8) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH maybe went a bit too fast early last week when racing off the claim and she got picked off late by (7) SUNSHINE SALLY. These two will likely wage a similar battle here. Take your pick. (1) REYS N A ROCKET immediately improved racing for Moreau off the claim and she is worth using here as one that may trip out and vault past the top two choices late. (3) MY DAY probably sits and rallies for a slice here.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

Tough race here that screams upset. I'll take a shot with (10) R HOT TODDY who qualified well and could lead all the way if McClure sends him. I expected (9) GIVE ME KARETS K to get a more aggressive drive last week. Maybe moving in one post he will leave a bit better. I'll use him on multi-race tickets. (8) ALCINA got too long of a trip last week. She can win if she gets a better trip. (2) WANIA should be able to close for a small share in this spot.

Race 5: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $60,000 LT

(3) YARM draws much better tonight and he gets the nod in a race with several viable contenders. (1) BELECHICK looked good winning at this level last week and Moreau has been running hot. He is an obvious threat here. (5) SHES WATCHING ME comes off a very good effort and he is capable of producing high speed when he stays flat; using. (6) LAND OF ROYALTY got a tough trip and still took a share last week. He should be part of the Super again.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $25,000 (F&M $30,000) LT - Pick 5

(7) LILYS LASS raced well last week and she was beaten by a fast-improving rival. She looks good in here. (8) FLYING FORMATION is worth a look on the barn change to Budd alone and he will be on my multi-race tickets. (3) INN AT RODANTHE was better last week and he can take another share in this field. (5) MUSCLE UP THE GOLD can get up for a small share with his typical late rally.

Race 7: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000 - Pick 4

(6) CATCHMEONTHEBEACH had a good debut race from the 10-hole now he draws best. I'll call him to turn the tables on (9) WARRAWEE YANKEE this time but use both on multi-race tickets. (3) THE WILL TO PLAY draws better tonight and he should be closer. He can land in the Tri this time. (4) CHESAPEAKE SUNRISE should race close to the front again and take another slice.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(6) UPGRADE VALLEY paced a big mile in defeat last week and he should be tough to beat in this field starting from the best post. (5) ROCKINMYDREAM picked off the choice late and he should be the main threat again. (2) THE LEGEND HANOVER flashed speed from the worst post last week and he finished with broken equipment. Drawing better here, I can see him making it into the Tri here at a price. (7) FOUR FOR ORR can pass a few of these late and take a small share.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(5) LITTLEBEARCAT races out of the hot Moreau barn racing off the claim tonight and she should be hard to hold off. (2) CLODAM BAYAMA was live last week but she got too tough of a trip racing uncovered on the rim. I'll use her expecting to get another square price tonight. (6) SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET was a good 2nd to the choice last week. She's in the exotics mix again. (3) WHATINEEDISAMAN should get a decent trip racing near the front and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 10: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $31,000 LT or NW $1,080 L3

(9) TRION DE VIE gets hot driver Filion who won five races on Monday night and he comes off a solid try. I think he blasts and tries to last this time; top call. (7) JITTERBUG FLIP is worth a look on the class drop into a claimer for Auciello; using. (4) THE TWIST paced the long mile last week and stayed game. He's in with a decent chance here. (2) ZIPPIDY ZOOM showed some zip but got shuffled last week; price look. (1) POINTO SWEET LOU should be good for a small slice starting from the inside.