Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/14

Top Pick Stats: 558 - 1696 / $2,928,20 (-$463.80)

Best Bets: 84 - 159 / $301.80 (-$16.20)

Spot Plays: 29 - 162 / $182.10 (-$141.90)

Best Bet: BET THE BB (1ST)

Spot Play: SAVOIR DUHARAS (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 7/3,4,5/4/2,3,7/4,6,8 = $5.40

Late Pick 5: 2,8/1,4/1,2,4,7/5,7/7 = $6.40

Early Pick 4: 2,3,7/4,6,8/2,8/1,4 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 1,4/1,2,4,7/5,7/7 = $3.20

Race 1: 2YO colts and geldings NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) BET THE BB is clearly fastest here and he has more wins than the rest of the field combined. He should kick off the early Pick 5 as a short priced winner. (4) BET ON SUNSHINE, first up in a fast race last time, looks next best and he should complete a chalky Exacta. (2) BIG BOY MALLOY has done nothing wrong so far but he will need to be much faster here; small share predicted. (1) RISKY LIGHTNING gets Borth, who also qualified him. He is capable of landing in the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 2: F&M CLM HDCP $14,000 to $18,000

(5) ALWAYS B A STAR fits better vs. these and she gets McNair tonight. She should get a good trip racing close to the front throughout; top call. (4) DOLLYDAYDREAM gets Lasix here and she had little chance last time in a race that went 1:52-flat. She should bounce back in this spot. (3) KICKIN COWGIRL raced okay in the Pop Up series and she is another that fits well in this claimer. She is another possibility for the early Pick 5. (6) ALESSANDRA should pass a few of these late and take a share.

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Race 3: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) LOOKS LIKE GAME ON jogged at this level last week and this field doesn’t look much tougher; call to repeat. (3) DANCING DOVER recovered from a break to take a share and he can be an Exacta factor here if he stays flat this time. (7) EBULLIENT is a good one to use underneath with six slices in his seven starts. (5) P C PETERBILT got hammered on the driver change to Henry last week and he blew up. He loses that teamster now and his price will climb again. He can land a share if he behaves.

Race 4: CLM $20,000 for NW $31,500 - Pick 4

(2) NO PARTNERS paced well enough to win last week and he looks best vs. this group; top call. (7) BETS SHOW OFF got hopelessly hung out in the Harvest Series final and he has upset potential here; using. (3) BETTORHOLDONTIGHT is risky dropping in for a tag after breaking in his last start, but he is another that is capable if he produces an effort close to his best. (1) BRING YOUR FIRE, 3rd behind the choice last week, is in the exotics mix again tonight.

Race 5: F&M CLM $20,000 for NW $38,450 LT

(8) POP THE BUBBLY is in easier here and her good late speed should play well vs. these; top call. (4) GOING YARD was good racing on three day’s rest last time, getting up for the win at this level and she is one of the best ones on paper here; using. (6) SIRI SEELSTER missed a couple of weeks but she rates with these dropping in for a tag and she is another in with a shot in a race that has no standout. (1) TWO ACROSS MARION should be able to close for a small share in this spot.

Race 6: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $22,000 LT - Pick 5

(8) FASHION PRESIDENTE goes to cagey trainer Budd here and I’ll take a shot with him looking for a price with the probable favorite (2) COLLECTOR S possibly being vulnerable. The latter comes off a good effort and he trotted a fast mile, but what price will you take looking at his breaking history and a stale date that shows him missing close to two months? (3) P L QUINELLA raced okay last week, and he can take a slice here. (6) SOCIAL DISTANCED likely finishes on the edges here moving up off a maiden win vs. much easier.

Race 7: F&M CLM $20,000 for NW $38,450 LT - Pick 4

(1) ULTRA shifted out to a wide path on the final turn last week and lost a lot of ground but she kept coming. I’ll stick with her here hoping for a slightly better trip. (4) MISS DEW WRITE was nailed right on the line last week now she gets McNair She is in with a decent chance tonight. (8) LADYSMITH raced okay last week but she had no real excuse as the losing chalk. She loses J Mac now and I’m inclined to try to beat her. (3) ULTIMATE SPEED filled out the Super at a huge price last week. Give her a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $9,000

The two fresh Demers claims could battle for the win here. (7) HAPUNA BEACH looks sharper than (4) HELLO ROCKY, so he gets the edge. (2) SUNSEEKER is right there every week, and he is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (1) WOODMERE GAELIC hasn’t been beaten far in two starts with Borth at the controls. He is worth a look for deeper multi-race tickets.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(7) BETCHULOVEME drops in for a tag where she fits better, and I’ll stick with her. (5) SHAKEITIFYOUGOTIT worked out a good trip for herself last week and she converted. She is a threat here starting from another good post. (1) BOOKIE BABY is worth a look for the exotics dropping out of the Pop Up series. (3) HILLBILLY JET is better than she showed last week and she gets Tyler Jones in the bike tonight; price look.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $9,000

(7) SAVOIR DUHARAS fired a 28-flat kicker last week which is by far the fastest of any in here and he will be hard to hold off here if he is in range turning for home. (10) HES GOT SWAGGER races off the Lester claim after tiring late in the mile last week. He should be the one to catch again. (2) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE battled gamely last week, and he is in the mix again, but I wonder if he will help set things up for the choice. (6) DREAMFAIR MOXY had a clear shot in the lane, but he couldn’t gain. Another small share is likely for him tonight. (3) BIG PETES STYLE takes frequent shares, and he is a good one to use on the bottom.