Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/10

Meet Stats: 371 -- 1191 / $2,120.40 (-$261.60)
Best Bets: 57 -- 106 / $186.70 (-$25.30)
Spot Plays: 21 - 109 / $177,50 (-$40.70)
Best Bet: SAM MCKEE HANOVER (1st)
Spot Play: VOODOO MAN (8TH)
Early Pick 5: 4/3,4,6,7/2,5,7,9/5,8/2,6 = $12.80
Late Pick 5: 4,6,9/5,8,10/2,5/5,8/1,3,6,9,10 = $36
Early Pick 4: 5,8/2,6/4,6,9/5,8,10 = $36
Late Pick 4: 5,8,10/2,5/5,8/1,3,6,9,10 = $60
Race 1: CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $54,500 LT $100,000 Pick 5**
(4) SAM MCKEE HANOVER blasted for command last week but he was forced to take a seat by the favorite, who then deftly kept him pinned in with pace for the entire stretch drive. This conditioned claiming company looks easier to me and this gelding is a strong top pick to kick off the early Pick 5. (6) JUSTA BANDIT fared okay in the same race when claimed but he had clear sailing in deep stretch and he couldn't catch the choice. He gets post relief and Henry here; should contend. (8) SHIFTY LEO should find conditioned claimers easier and he can get a slice here. (9) DONTBLVEMEJUSTWATCH fits well at this level but he has the worst post and he might have trouble with the top two; using underneath.
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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000
(3) JOHNNY PING moves inside and faces many with question marks. I'll give him the slightest nod in a race where anything goes. (6) SHE STARTED IT showed enough talent last year to suggest that she can be right there vs. these if she stays flat; using. (4) REGAL SEVEN is worth a look on the barn change alone and he's on my Pick 5 ticket. (7) DASH MASTER is a $20,000 Harrisburg buy who qualified well enough to contend for a slice.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: 2YO and 3YO NW1 or $7,000 LT
(7) BIG CHIC MAGNET qualified well enough to contend immediately and this isn't the toughest spot; top call. (2) ROCKNROLLS SHADOW's qualifier over a track rated three seconds slow was excellent and he has to be given a good chance vs. these. (9) BIG ACE had an eventful trip where he was bearing out and it was remarkable that he was beaten less than two lengths last week. Watch for equipment changes from trainer Brethour on this one. (5) MAGNUS SEELSTER has been right there at this level in two straight starts and he is another in with a shot.
Race 4: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000 Pick 4
(8) EMPTYTHETILL goes for a barn that clicks at a high rate racing off the claim and I'll give him the nod here in another race with a few possibilities. (5) STATE OF PLAY tripped-out when claimed but trainer Forgie can move one up off the claim and he should be a contender here right back. (4) OAKROCK ELDORADO keeps getting claimed and he will pop one of these times; maybe tonight? (7) PRINT MEDIA brings solid form into this race and he should be good for another share vs. these.
Race 5: CLAIMING HANDICAP $10,000 to $12,000
(6) LEADER TONIGHT is on a roll and moving into trainer Johnson's barn off the claim he should be tough as he seeks a threepeat. (2) BEACH BABY BEE raced well in his first start off the Moreau claim, but being that race was vs. lesser at London, he should offer a square price here and he could add some value to the exotics. (5) DARCEE N is another who raced well off the claim but he is more likely to take a smaller share in this field. (4) E L WILD SPIRIT goes to Shepherd off a poor performance. I can see him closing for a small share.
Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) Pick 5
(6) SOUTHWIND SYLVESTR draws the best post coming in off a good qualifier and he gets a barn change here. I like his chances here. (4) TYMAL RIGGS gets McClure back and is coming off a decent effort at Flamboro Downs. He should be in the mix here. (9) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE got a clean line and now he picks up leading driver Filion; should contend tonight. (5) CHELSEAS MAGIC appeared to get sleepy on the lead last time at 3-to-5 after she stole a 1:00 4/5 middle half. It wouldn't shock me if she rebounded here.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 7: CLAIMING $8,000 Pick 4
(10) AMERICAN RISK took a ton of money at the windows last week and he was nailed only very late. If he can get an alert start, I could se Henry making an early move to the front this time. I'll give him the nod. (8) CROCADILE CANYON keeps winning and getting claimed, and while post 8 is no bargain, he's hard to leave off Pick 4 tickets. (5) SPEED TO MARKET makes his second start out of the Auciello barn and he can improve and/or work out a better trip. That makes him a contender in this spot. (1) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP should work out a good following trip and take a slice.
Race 8: CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 to $15,000
(2) VOODOO MAN has had little chance since shipping west from Quebec due to drawing the 10-hole in every start. I look for Roy to put him into play early tonight; call to upset. (5) LMC MASS OAK is an obvious contender dropping in for a tag and he should be right there vs. these. (3) EXPLOSIVE JET was closing late without threatening the winner last week and she should be good for another smaller share tonight. (4) FLUFF ME UP should be an early speed threat again and stick around for a small share.
Race 9: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L7
(5) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN drops and gets post relief here and he should be tough in this spot; top call. (8) SPORTS COLUMN appeared to lack room for part of the stretch drive last week in a race he may have needed when coming off a rest. I can see him winning this racing from close range. (1) ST LADS THRILLER is another class-dropper who can improve in this spot, but I prefer to use him underneath. (3) AREUKIDDINMECABBIE can land in the Tri or Super if he gets an easier trip, which is likely in this spot.
Race 10: CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $54,000 LT
(9) LIVIN LARGE was game in defeat last time and starting from the widest post he should offer a square price this week; top call. (3) LOADED DECK has two wins in this class in the past month and he should be right there again vs. this group. (10) GAMBLER PANIC shows a big mile at this level on 11/19 and he isn't out of this. (1) SIDE HILL GOUGER should race better at this conditioned claimer level and he is worth a look for deeper Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets. (6) GIDDY UP MAX rarely misses a check. He's hard to leave out of Tris, Supers and High 5s.

