Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/1

Meet Stats: 639 -- 1935 / $3,206.10 (-$663.90)

Best Bets: 99 -- 183 / $332.80 (-$31.20)

Spot Plays: 44 -- 184 / $300.70 (-$67.30)

Best Bet: MUSCLE ENVY (6TH)

Spot Play: ANGELINA HANOVER (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 3,4,5/2,3,7/3,5/1,3,4/7,8 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 5/2,6/3,4,6/5,6/6,8,10 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 1,3,4/7,8/5/2,6 = $12

Late Pick 4: 2,6/3,4,6/5,6/6,8,10

Race 1: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) PROFUNDO gets in a 7-horse field here which might be the most important factor for him because he should be close enough at the top of the stretch to be able to pounce on the leaders; top call. (3) WINDSUN TITAN brings a string of 2nd-place finishes with him from Flamboro Downs and he gets McNair for the first time, which can be a deadly angle. He is in with a decent shot vs. these. Homebred (4) HOT SHADOW qualified fast enough on 11/11 to suggest he can contend at first asking. He is another possibility for early Pick 5 tickets. (2) BACK TO THE FUTURE's race two starts back stamps him as a contender for a share if he can stay flat this time; using underneath.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

It's reasonable to expect that (3) ANGELINA HANOVER will improve returning faster after missing three weeks between her last two starts. She gets a better post too and will likely be on the move earlier tonight; top call. (2) COMMEMORATIVE was close in the Popup series with Hudon driving and she is one of only two winners in this race. She figures to contend here. (7) CM SAVEWILL GL is in easier here and he keeps Macdonald, but he has had 25 chances and still shows a goose egg in the win column; your call. (8) ALCINA has yet to be moved early enough in a race to threaten for the win and from a wide post she will likely close late for another slice.

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Race 3: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 for NW $50,500 LT

(5) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH looks good to repeat here getting a better post after beating many of these last week. (3) JACKIE DAVIS showed some late zip last week and now she gets Macdonald in the bike. She is the most likely upsetter of the choice. (7) SUNSHINE SALLY will probably flash speed leaving the gate, yield to the choice and stay for a share; same as last week. (8) SHES ROCKANDFAME has only missed the board four times this year. She's worth using in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT Pick 4

(1) STORM TROTTER looked good breaking his maiden and I'll give him the nod to repeat in a spot where he should offer a better price facing NW2. (3) DAY AT THE GYM is easily the fastest in here on his best day and he has shown that he races best when fresh. He will be hard to beat if he is completely over the lameness issues that sidelined him in the summer. (4) BRASH LADY shoots for a fourpeat and is another in with a shot in a race with a few options. (2) TIJUANA SEELSTER is unlikely to get away on these like he did to maidens last week. I'll use him underneath.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(8) BRYDOWN LOUIE's debut race wins this easily and we already know he can win racing off the shelf; top call. (7) JUJU HANOVER raced well in defeat from post 10 in the Popup series final and he is the main danger; using. (5) DON'T POKE THE BEAR always looks good on paper but he is 0-for-32 and typically one-paced in the lane. He can round out this Exacta, though. (6) BETTINGONTHEBEACH can take another small slice in this spot.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

0-for-25 (5) MUSCLE ENVY will likely never get a better chance to break her maiden than in this field. Henry will probably look to send her right down the road. (1) OUT ON A MISSION finally got a clean line last week. I can see her taking a decent share here if she stays trotting again. (8) SAYONARA ANGEL drops back into a maiden race and she will probably close from the back and land in the bottom of the exotics. (3) GIVE ME KARETS K is another that should close late to take a small slice.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000 Pick 4

(2) MALVOLIO won the hard way last week and now he gets the leading driver; call to repeat. (6) MAJOR ON THE BEACH had an eventful trip in that same race, was claimed by Auciello and he gets McNair. He is the obvious threat. (8) THANKYAVERYMUCH closed well but was placed. He will probably come on late for a slice here. (7) ROCKINMYDREAM raced well in defeat to the choice and he should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 8: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $68,500 LT

(6) AVID had no room for the entire stretch drive last week and could only follow the first-over and second-over rivals until they cleared close to the wire. He finished with pace for 3rd and I'll take a stab with him tonight expecting a good price. (4) HES REALLY KEEN tripped-out to win, but he is right there every week and he tends to make his own luck; using. (3) ASSASSINS CREED was under the gun most of the way last week and he couldn't seal the deal on the lead. I imagine he will try to stalk and pounce here; he's not out of it. (5) YARM typically finishes on the edges no matter what trip he gets. He can round out the Tri or Super.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(6) SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET reversed her form and jogged at this level last week. If she repeats that mile, her rivals are likely racing for 2nd tonight. (5) HIGH ROLLING A is sharp and capable at this level; price look. (4) MY DAY comes off a solid closing effort at this level but she is more likely to take a share than a win. (2) CLOVER should be close throughout and stick around for a share.

Race 10: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $28,500 LT

(6) TUF COOPER took some action on the barn change last week and he took a new life's mark while getting the job done; call to repeat. (8) TOUCHEM ALL JOE raced much better last week and he can be a late threat here now that he is returning to form; using. (10) TRION DE VIE was predictably hammered at the windows racing off the claim and he fell just short to the choice. He should be a threat again despite drawing widest. (3) CAN BE A TREASURE was only 3/4 of a length behind the choice and he can take another slice here. (1) CORONAONTHEBEACH is capable of better than he showed last week. Give him a look for the bottom of the exotics.