Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 11/5

Meet Stats: 306- 987 / $1,754.50 (-$219.50)
Best Bets: 51 - 87 / $166.40 (-$7.60)
Spot Plays: 14 - 89 / $116.40 (-$60.20)
Best Bet: DAY DELIGHT (7TH)
Spot Play: LEVY TAYLORE (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 2,5,7/6/3,6,10/1,4,5/2,7 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 4,6,7/8/7,8/2,3,9/1,2,4,7 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 1,4,5/2,7/4,6,7/8 = $18
Late Pick 4: 7,8/2,3,9/1,2,4,7/3,6 = $48

Race 1: F&M CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) KIT landed a perfect trip last week and converted but in a race that doesn't appear to have many leavers she should be able to work out another good trip and I'll give her the call to repeat. (2) ROBMOTION BLUE CHIP was right there the whole way in that race after leaving from the widest post. She might be the one sitting the pocket trip this time and I'll use her in this Pick 5. (5) ZARCONIA SEELSTER has shown improvement with McClure in the bike and she has upset potential this week. (10) KOUNNIS provided the perfect target for 'Kit' last week and she should contend again but she will likely need to take the overland route here; demand a price.

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES FINAL ONTARIO SIRED 2YO Colts and Geldings

(6) PUBLICITY SEEKER has dominated this series so far and he will be very tough to beat in here if there are no miscues. (2) WARRAWEE WINDSOR was a clear 2nd to the choice last week but no match. A chalky Exacta looms in this stakes series final. (7) GO MAGIC goes for top connections but a smaller share is likely his ceiling here. (4) MYSTIC was third to the choice last time and he should be closing for a share again.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: CLAIMING $8,000

This race should come down to a battle between the claimed horses and I'll give (6) LEVY TAYLORE the edge over (3) CROCADILE CANYON thinking that he will get the jump. (10) BARRYS SHELBY also races off the claim and I can see him passing some of these to make it into the Tri. (8) TOMITTA BAYAMA can show some speed here and stick around for a slice.

Race 4: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 4

(5) E L WILD SPIRIT continues to be popular at the claim box and he goes for Fellows here who has one of the highest percentages racing off the claim. An improved post adds to the appeal; top call. (1) YS LOTUS fits well here based on the company he has been keeping at Flamboro Downs and he should be the main danger. (4) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE took all the action at the windows last week and he raced tough but the strong early fractions took their toll. He is one of the main contenders again. (3) MISSION THREE should be passing a few of these again and take a smaller share.

Race 5: HARVEST SERIES FINAL ONTARIO SIRED 2YO Colts and Geldings

(2) NO FREE LUNCH is peaking for this series final and he gets the nod over the other obvious contender (7) RAU RU based on post advantage. The latter really dug in when challenged from all sides in deep stretch last week and he should not be taken lightly here. (10) ALL CHEDDAR had a very tough trip last week and he stuck around for a share; using underneath. (8) SHAZAM BLUE CHIP should blast then last for a smaller slice.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 5

(6) JOHNNY PING passed some horses while the entire field was chasing a runaway leader who wasn't stopping last week. That wasn't a bad effort and I'll give him the slightest nod in a very tough race. (7) WILLYWIN comes off a good effort where he was close up throughout and he should contend here, possibly at a square price. (4) SPUN FROM MAGIC fits well here and has some of the best form; another in with a shot. (8) R PRECIOUS PEARL is worth a look for the exotics getting Macdonald back this week.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(8) DAY DELIGHT finds a very soft spot here and I'd be surprised if he doesn't go right down the road vs. these. (10) FASHIONONTHEBEACH was 2nd vs. similar at Flamboro Downs two starts back and he has some exotics appeal at a price here. (5) SILVER BEAST is worth a look for the exotics on the driver change. (2) FREDDY BEAR has fared well at this level before and he could better this placing if he works out a good trip.

Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) - Pick 4

(8) LINGER HANOVER likely scores a threepeat here if he stays flat. It might be that simple. (7) FORTUNE TELLN LADY raced huge on the rim the whole way last time and she was still coming on at the wire. She is the logical alternative. (6) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE closed nicely last week and he should come on again here for a share. (3) VICTOR INVICTUS was no match for the choice last time and I see him as a fringe player tonight.

Race 9: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000

(3) LORIS ROCK STAR produced a huge effort to just miss last week and he is a clear top choice for me here. (2) STATE OF PLAY was ahead of the choice the whole mile and held him off and he is the other obvious contender. (9) P L IDAHO can be quirky, but he is worth a look for the exotics at least on the class drop. (6) PRINT MEDIA brings some good form in from Flamboro and he draws well. He can take a slice.

Race 10: 3YO NW1 or $7,750 LT

(2) SHES WATCHING ME is out of a mare that has produced 13 winners from 14 starters including millionaire Lady Dillinger. This colt showed enough late speed in his lone qualifier to get the call to upset. (1) STORMY HALL GB has shown high speed over the Flamboro 1/2-miler and he may be the one to beat here. (4) HES SWIFT faces easier here and he should get put into this race early again; using. (7) LORD AND LEGEND races out of the Moreau barn for the first time here and he should be a good price; consider for the exotics.

Race 11: CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $40,000 LT

(3) SPORTSNEST has drawn poorly in both starts at this conditioned claiming level. He should wake up in this spot leaving from a much better post. (6) MACH DEISEL flashed good late speed last week here and he may get his butting pushed earlier this time; using. (7) HUNGER PANGS first try at this class level last week was good and he is another in with a chance. (10) SUNSHINE LOU should be good for another small share in this spot. (2) DENMARK SEELSTER figures to sit a good trip here and land in the bottom of the High-5.