Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 1/13

Meet Stats: 19 - 64 / $110.50 (-$17.50)
Best Bets: 2 - 6 / $6.30 (-$5.70)
Spot Plays: 1 - 6 / $15.80 (+$3.80)
Best Bet: CLODAM BAYAMA (9TH)
Spot Play: HORSE TRADER (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 2,4,7/5,6/8,10/2,3,5/1,8,9,10 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 2,4,5/4/2,3/1/2,4,5,6 = $4.80
Early Pick 4: 2,3,5/1,8,9,10/2,4,5/4 = $36
Late Pick 4: 4/2,3/1/2,4,5,6 = $8
Race 1: Pop Up Event 1st Leg F&M Claiming $8,500 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(2) ERIKAS SHADOW faces mostly easier here tonight and she should get a good trip racing near the front; top call. (7) BLINK AND GONE won the race that the choice exits but she got as perfect a trip as a horse could get. She is a contender right back, but she might get overbet tonight. (4) REAR VIEW has been racing great in London and she is worth a look tonight. If the pace falls apart late, she could roll by them all. (5) FLYSANTANNA should improve enough racing off the Auciello claim to take a share tonight.
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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $8,300 LT
(5) RESOLUTIONS got the clean line that he needed last time and he has finished well in both starts. I'll take a swing with him in a race that screams upset. (6) TYMAL TEMPO will probably be heavily favored here coming off a solid effort first time hoppled and facing rivals with poor form. He is hard to back at a short price considering his previous gait issues. (4) PARTY LIFE made a wide move that he couldn't sustain last week. That wasn't a bad effort and I see him taking a share here. (3) DUKE DEO has speed and he is sure-gaited; using underneath.
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Race 3: NW $31,000 in 2021-2022 Minimum 7 starts
(8) HORSE TRADER raced big in the Pop Up Series final last week but the winner was just too good. He gets top billing tonight off that strong effort. (10) JCS ROYAL TEASE should be right there vs. these if he stays flat tonight; using. (5) TEXACO MAN should improve moving to the middle of the gate and coming back quicker; using underneath. (9) TUCKERS OUT was closing fast but he ran out of racetrack last week. He's not out of this, but from the wide post tonight, I prefer to use him underneath.
Race 4: F&M Pop Up Starters NW $40,000 in 2021-2022 - Pick 4
(2) SHES A SASSY BEACH was motoring late last week, but she was too far behind. She has clearly turned her form around in the past two starts and she gets top call here. (3) CATCH AN ACE just failed to hold on in the Pop Up final and she should be a contender here. She does seem to be a win-shy type, though, so I would demand a price. (5) CRANBERRY BRIE was first up as the pace accelerated last week and she understandably backed up late. She has upset potential tonight. (1) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY figures to take another small share in this spot.
Race 5: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,200 L10
This is a good spot for (9) LEGAL BETTOR who faced tougher in his three Pop Up starts and he gets the nod. (10) LUCKY LEONARD was absolutely airborne late last week and he is worth using here as he should offer a good price starting from the widest post. (1) IDEAL JET gets Macdonald after being used hard in the Popup final. He isn't without a chance in this spot. (8) HITMAN HILL dropped and popped at Flamboro and he set strong splits. He should be a speed threat tonight.
Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M4) or $22,500 (F&M $30,000) LT - Pick 5
(4) COLD RAGE should get put into tonight's race earlier now that he got that needed clean line last week and he has a good chance vs. these; top call. (2) WICKENBURGH is in easier tonight and he draws better. He is an obvious contender here; using. (5) VALI HANOVER comes back quicker here and he is another that I expect will be closer early. He should be a threat here. (1) OFF ROAD HANOVER is a consistent check earner and he can land in the Super.
Race 7: Pop Up Event 1st Leg F&M Claiming $8,500 - Pick 4
(4) VINES TO HEAVEN raced great last week, uncovered on the rim, only to be picked off in the final stride by the rival that she provided perfect cover for. She is a clear top pick for me in this field. (9) MISS ROCKADALI raced much better last week and she is the obvious speed threat here. (5) ROSELLA was claimed by trainer Arsenault for this and she can take a share racing close to the front. (8) E R RHONDA should be able to close for a slice in this field.
Race 8: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $14,000 LT
(2) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON paced a 55-flat back 1/2 after missing a month due to sickness and she is strictly the one to beat tonight. (3) COME ROLL WITH ME raced much better last time, making a couple of moves then falling just short. She should be an Exacta factor tonight. (6) BIG CHEDDAR hasn't been seen since her debut in a $106K Gold race. Tab the tote for clues here. (1) ALDREZDUP NOWRTGO was better last week. She can land in the Tri or Super tonight.
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Race 9: F&M Claiming $15,000
(1) CLODAM BAYAMA is clearly the best mare in here and she likely takes another win at a short price here. (2) BAYWATCHING will likely ride in the choice's pocket most of the race. (4) SOMETHING ROYAL should be good for another share in this spot, passing a few late. (6) MOSTLY DALI makes her fourth start in 11 days here. She is another that I'll use on the bottom.
Race 10: F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $35,500 LT
Price will be gone now with (6) DILLY TARYN, but she looked good rolling by late and she gets the call to repeat here. (4) SANTACRUZ SEELSTER responded to the driver change to Roy last week, but he opts for the choice now. Drury is a capable replacement and this mare is a threat right back. (2) LATTE SEELSTER was to far back last week. She can take a share if she lays closer here; using underneath. (5) C U PRINCESS is another who should be in the exotics mix as long as she stays flat tonight. (9) NOTHINGCOMPARESTOU should get position near the front early and contend for a slice.

