Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 11/26

Meet Stats: 343 - 1107 / $1968.50 (-$245.50)
Best Bets: 53 -- 98 / $173.20 (-$22.80)
Spot Plays: 19 - 101 / $165.80 (-$36.20)
Best Bet: CHELSEAS MAGIC (6TH)
Spot Play: UNIQUE BEACH (1ST)
.20 Early Pick 5: 3,5,8 / 6,8 / 4,7 / 8 / 4,5,7,8,10 = $12
.20 Late Pick 5: 5 / 3,7,10 / 8 / 4,6,8 / 1,5,7 = $5.40
$1 Early Pick 4: 8 / 4,5,7,8,10 / 5 / 3,7,10 = $15
$1 Late Pick 4: 3,7,10 / 8 / 4,6,8 / 1,5,7 = $27
Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) UNIQUE BEACH has the fastest mark of any in here and he qualified well for a barn that sends them ready off layoffs; top call. (5) BIG CITY NEWS should contend again after being picked off late last week; using. (3) STORMY HALL GB jogged vs. easier at Flamboro but he set strong fractions that night and he can contend here. (9) GONNAHAVEONEMORE can pass a few of these late and land in the Tri or Super at a price.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT
(6) ALPINA is 0-for-20 but she has the best recent race and this might finally be the spot where she graduates. (8) SHE STARTED IT showed some promise last year along with some gait issues. She is worth a look on the barn change tonight. (5) TOM D BAKER should find this group easier after racing in the Harvest series; consider using underneath. (2) KEVIN ANTHONY can improve in his second start and he is another who may sneak into the Super at a price.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: 2YO and 3YO NW1 or $7,000 LT
(4) MAGNUS SEELSTER made two moves last week and fell just short in a good effort. He looks tough in here with his main rivals drawing poorly. (7) DAGGER WATCH was really flying late in that same mile but he ran out of racetrack. He is in with a chance tonight, but he will likely need some racing luck. (10) NUMBER ONE HIT blasted right to the front last week but he was under assault immediately then he raced evenly from there. He can improve here, but the following post position is a concern with the #1 and #2 horses showing no gate speed to this point. (3) FEAR THE SHADOW is in an easier spot here but he is also 0-for-21 at this point. What price will you take tonight?
Race 4: CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 to $15,000 Pick 4
(8) MISTER MAGIC continues to roll and he won last week despite being parked uncovered most of the way. He is always the one to beat in this class, the only real concern being that he has gait issues that pop up every once in a while. (9) TIKI TAKA was closing in on the choice late in the mile and he got claimed. He should be the main threat despite drawing widest. (3) JOHNNYS REVENGE and (5) ADVERSITY are two that can pass a few of these late and they merit consideration for the bottom of the Tri and Super.
Race 5: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000
(7) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS drops and draws better with his nose back on the gate this week and I'll give him the nod in this spot. (4) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ has caught fire in the Johnson barn and he has won three straight using a variety of styles. He will be a threat again. (8) P L IDAHO can be inconsistent at times, but his win at this class level two starts back from post 9 qualifies him as a contender. (10) REAL WICKED should be passing horses late here and while he isn't impossible in this spot, I prefer to use him underneath.
Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) Pick 5
(5) CHELSEAS MAGIC should find these rivals much easier than stakes company and she should convert as the favorite. (2) NO ANGEL HERE drops one level and if she can leave a bit better, she has a shot vs. these. (4) ROWLEN gets a driver switch here coming off a brief rest and if he behaves this time, he can contend. (9) TYMAL TAROT was beaten less than two lengths at this level when he was 114 to 1 three starts back and he could be part of the exotics at a price in this field.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 Pick 4
(3) IDEAL JET does his best work when he can control the race on the front end and against this group it looks like there is a good chance that he can blast and last; top call. (10) TREMENDOUS PLAY is an obvious threat as he drops back down, but the 10-hole could be tricky here; demand a price. (7) REVOLVER N is another that should improve on the class drop. His race two starts back would be good enough to win this. (8) DOWN ON MY LUCK can move up here making his second start over the track after showing speed last week; using on the bottom.
Race 8: CLAIMING $8,000
(8) SUNSHINES FINEST faces way easier here in his second start since being claimed by Moreau and I expect an aggressive Filion steer this time; top call. (7) MASTER SMILE raced okay here last time in this class and he can be an Exacta factor. (9) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP has compiled a solid record in the past two years but he draws widest here. He can share if he gets away from the gate decently. (1) SHIFTY LEO has improved in his past couple of starts and he might sneak into the Tri or Super.
Race 9: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10
(4) GLOIRE DREAM had a tough trip as the chalk last time and he was passed late by two closers. He is still a viable contender and his price might be a bit better this time; top call. (8) WINGS UP improved with Henry driving last time and he is in with a decent chance here despite drawing wide. It's very possible a more aggressive approach is coming from him. (6) LMC MASS OAK has a good late kick that should play well in this field and I'll use him on late multi-race tickets. (1) GREAT MAGIC frequently takes shares at this level. Put him on the bottom of Tri and Super tickets.
Race 10: CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $40,000 LT
(5) SAM MCKEE HANOVER raced once at this conditioned claiming level and the result was a game win three starts back. He should bounce back here after trying much better in the Harvest series. (1) MACH DEISEL failed as chalk but he was claimed by a high percentage barn and he should be dangerous here; using. (7) LIVIN LARGE raced okay out of the second tier in his first try over this track. He has upset possibilities. (9) JUSTA BANDIT would be rated higher from a better post but from out there I can only use him underneath. (2) SPORTSNEST should sit a decent trip here and take another share.

