Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 11/24

Meet Stats: 625 -- 1883 / $3,144.90 (-$640.90)

Best Bets: 96 -- 178 / $321.80 (-$34.20)

Spot Plays: 44 -- 179 / $300.70 (-$57.30)

Best Bet: ASSASSINS CREED (3RD)

Spot Play: THANKYAVERYMUCH (9TH)

Early Pick 5: 4,9/4,6,7/7,8/3,4,5,9/2,7 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 4,9/7,8,9/1,4,5/5,7/1,9 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3,4,5,9/2,7/4,9/7,8,9 = $48

Late Pick 4: 7,8,9/1,4,5/5,7/1,9 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) BETTOR THAN PRIDE paced a 55-flat middle 1/2 in the Pop Up series final then predictably tired from that effort. Facing straight maidens here, he has a good chance to graduate. (9) SERIOUS MOJO blew up before the start of that race and he is another that figures vs. these if he can stay flat. (1) CHIEF CORLEONE's debut from the widest post over a good track was decent and he is in the exotics mix again tonight. (2) BETTORHOLDONTIGHT qualified nicely on 11/17 and he can land in the Super if he keeps his gait issues under control.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $24,500 LT

Netherlands shipper (4) LIONS WISH NL goes for the leading trainer and he looks ready to fire in this North American debut; top call. (7) BETTINA HANOVER exploded to a big win when Young took over the reins last week and she should be the main threat here. (6) LILYS LASS will likely sit early then rally, which is probably her most effective style of racing, and she is another contender in this spot. (1) INN AT RODANTHE steps back up off a good effort; small share predicted.

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Race 3: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $68,500 LT

(8) ASSASSINS CREED went a big first-up trip to prevail last week and he gets the call to repeat facing basically the same field. (7) AVID rode the choice's live cover but he couldn't get past him late. He has been razor-sharp for several weeks and he races off the claim tonight; using. (4) HES REALLY KEEN has been right there in three straight starts at this level but he couldn't repel the top two choices last week. I'll use him underneath here. (2) TOUGHSONOFABEACH got shut off in the lane until it was too late last week. He is in the exotics mix.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

Wide-open race to kick off the early Pick 4. (3) C S GOLDPOLICY is in easier here and his race two starts back is probably good enough to beat these; slight nod. (4) DOME ROYALLY trotted a good back 1/2 on debut after breaking at the start. The obvious risk with him is that he shows two breaks in a row. He will have a shot vs. these if he stays flat. (9) ALCINA gets away from promising Baroness Hill and this is obviously an easier spot. I just wonder if she will offer any value starting from a wide post. (5) TIJUANA SEELSTER is another that should fit better vs. this group and she is in with a shot.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) MYSTIC WILD ROSE couldn't convert at 1-to-9 last week but the rival that passed her may have just freaked that night. She gets the nod to get the job done tonight. (7) ACADEMY SEELSTER will find maidens easier as she drops out of the Pop Up series; the one to fear. (1) RIBBON RIDGE raced okay in the Pop Up series final and she gets the leading driver here. She should be in the hunt for a share. (4) YIPPIE HANOVER should be in the mix for the bottom of the exotics in this spot.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,500 LT Pick 5

(9) WHAMMER JAMMER arrives from Kentucky on a win streak and he stacks up well vs. these; top call. (4) TANGO SEELSTER fits better in this spot and he should be heard from tonight; using. (5) JK MIKI MANTLE is typically in the mix but he seems more likely to take a share vs. a win. (1) BRING YOUR FIRE got McNair, won the Pop Up final. Now he loses McNair. I'll use him underneath tonight.

Race 7: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $27,500 LT Pick 4

(8) GRINGO STAR gets a barn change and adds Lasix. I'll take a swing with him in a race with no standout. (9) TRION DE VIE won well last week but he exits a hot barn. He is a contender but no lock. (7) CORONAONTHEBEACH gets off the rail tonight so his chances should improve in this spot; using. (6) THE TWIST takes regular shares and I can see him closing for a slice.

Race 8: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000 LT

Unbeaten (4) PALLADIUM HANOVER is in tougher tonight but he should be up to the task; top call. (1) SHANGHAI JAMES blew up racing on a good track last week. His effort two starts back makes him a contender here; using. (5) PROFUNDO keeps closing too late. He will probably win when he gets put into a race early but it's hard to predict when that will occur. (6) THE WILL TO PLAY should improve off a decent debut race. He's another in with a shot.

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Race 9: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(5) THANKYAVERYMUCH ships in to Mohawk Park in solid form and he moves into a high percentage barn. He looks good vs. these. (7) LYONS IMAGE figures to improve in this spot and he can be a big speed threat. He will be on my late multi-race tickets. (6) ROCKINMYDREAM has faced much tougher in his last two starts. He should wake up here and he is worth a look.

Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 for NW $57,500 LT

(9) SCOTTISH CHEDDAR is razor-sharp and she should extend her win streak to four here. (1) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH raced the tough Littlebearcat first-up last week and she hung in there for a slice. She will be right there tonight if she can find a live helmet to follow. (8) SHES ROCKANDFAME was aggressive last week and she hung around for a share. She should be in the exotics mix again. (4) GRITTY GRACIE got hung out forever and now she draws better. She can sit and rally this time. (6) JACKIE DAVIS brings good form in from the B tracks. She should be part of the High-5 racing from close range.