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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 11/19

Garnet Barnsdale|Nov 17, 2020
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 328 - 1064 / $1882.90 (-$267.10)
Best Bets: 52 -- 95 / $169.60 (-$21.40)
Spot Plays: 17 - 97 / $137.40 (-$55.20)
Best Bet: LORD AND LEGEND (2ND)
Spot Play: MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 4,7,9 / 4,6 / 1,6 / 1,2,6,7 / 3,8,10 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 4 / 4,6,8 / 1,7,8 / 1,7,8,10 / 1,4,7,10 = $28.80
Early Pick 4: 1,2,6,7 / 3,8,10 / 4 / 4,6,8 = $36
Late Pick 4: 4,6,8 / 1 / 1,7,8,10 / 1,4,7,10 = $48

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

Tough race to kick off the early Pick 5. I'll take a stab with (7) JACKSON STORM, who showed some late interest in his debut and retains the driving services of Henry. (4) LAVECS MUSCLE GIRL has looked good winning her first two starts in London and she doesn't look overmatched here; using. (9) JOHNNY PING has improving form and he is in with a shot if he can work out a trip from out there. (3) SPUN FROM MAGIC is a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri and Super.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(4) LORD AND LEGEND worked out a nice trip last week on route to a fast win and he gets the call to repeat off that sharp effort in his first start over this track. (6) BIG CITY NEWS gets a barn change here and he's worth a look for the Pick 5 making his first start for Auciello. (8) SOLARCTIC showed some zip in deep stretch last week that hinted at improvement and he could add some value to the exotics this time. (1) WINDSUN AZAR is capable of better but from the rail post he is likely to get away poorly again; using on the bottom only.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(6) BLAZING TRAIL was facing much tougher when last seen here in July and he should have a big shot against this group tonight; top call. (1) MUSICAL SPELL was close up throughout last week and he pops at big odds at this class level every once in a while; price look. (9) HOLDIN ACES was moving quickly at the end of the mile last week, but he draws poorly again and he will need some racing luck tonight. (2) SONOFAMILLIONAIRE was close at this level three starts back and he can take a slice here.

Race 4: 2 & 3YO NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

(6) NUMBER ONE HIT, a $100,000 Harrisburg buy, looks ready for a big try in his debut and he draws the best post. He gets top billing here. (2) COOLSUNSHINE made some nice late gains in his debut and with that race under his belt he is likely to get driven more aggressively this time. He is on my multi-race tickets. (1) TRAVEL BAN is a homebred brother to a couple of winners who looks ready for a good try in this debut; using. (7) MAGNUS SEELSTER faced similar to these three starts back and he almost got the job done that night. He should be in the exotics mix.

Race 5: CLAIMING $15,000 TO $20,000

(8) EMPTYTHETILL raced tough chasing some wild fractions last week and he stayed game to the end. Racing off the claim here he has a big shot. (10) STATE OF PLAY finished just behind the choice in another solid effort and he should get a good setup for his late kick. (3) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ steps up looking for three straight wins and he could get a good trip here then convert racing close to expected leader (5) UPTOWN FUNK. The latter was too sharp last week and set too fast a pace. He could last longer on the front end here making his second start back.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW3 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) LT Pick 5

(4) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE is developing a nice late kick and he should be tough vs. these if he lays a bit closer early in the mile tonight. (1) LINGER HANOVER went too fast too early last time. He can last a lot longer here with a more even drive. (6) HIGH GEAR NO FEAR brings some decent form north from Indiana and he picks up McNair. I'll use him in the Tri and Super. (9) WINDSONG PATRIOT often finishes on the edges and he might be a good one to use on the bottom of the Super at a price.

Race 7: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000 Pick 4

(6) JEWELS DRAGON was a decent third here racing one level higher on Monday night and he draws well here. I'll give him the nod in this spot. (8) CORTEZ THE KILLER had the freshest legs late in a mile where the early fractions were insane and he rolled by them all. He is a threat right back but he may not get the same setup. (4) E L WILD SPIRIT was in a tough spot last time and he rallied decently. He is another in with a shot. (7) PRINT MEDIA hasn't been far back in two starts at this level and he could round out the Tri or Super in this race.

Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

This is an easier spot for (1) WESTSLUCKY TERROR, who should be prominent throughout and he might make front before the 1/2 and be long gone. (7) BETTOR CAT gets a huge driver change here and he has upset potential; Filion speed blast coming? (8) NICKLE BAG keeps dropping, keeps getting hammered at the windows and keeps disappointing. What price will you take tonight? (9) PRINCE ADAIR was flying late last week and he can take another slice here.

Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW3 or $36,000

(10) CHARLOTTE CHAPLIN faced tougher in her past two starts and she should improve in this spot; slight nod in a wide-open space. (1) EMOTIONS DURABLES just won a Racing Under Saddle event and she fits this class well, plus picks up McNair; using. (7) NO ANGEL HERE has a good record this year and she can contend here if she stays flat. She is another possibility in a race that could produce a surprise winner. (8) TALAHASSE SEELSTER is capable of flying off the gate and if she clears, she may go a long way on the lead.

Race 10: CLM $15,000 for NW $40,000 LT

(4) HUNGER PANGS was brutalized last week and still hung on decently for a share. He gets top call here. (10) LIVIN LARGE is worth a look here shipping in from B.C., dropping into a conditioned claimer and moving into the Auciello barn. (7) GAMBLER PANIC had a local start and now he picks up Roy, who is likely to send him hard at the start. He has a shot here. (1) RIOT was a close second last time he raced in a conditioned claimer and he should be good for at least a share. (2) GIDDY UP MAX rarely misses a check. I'll use him on the bottom here.

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