Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 11/18

Garnet Barnsdale|Nov 16, 2021

Meet Stats: 357 -- 1058 / $1,897.90 (-$218.10)

Best Bets: 53 -- 96 / $179.70 (-$12.30)

Spot Plays: 26 -- 98 / $184.00 (-$12.00)

Best Bet: ROCKNROLLS SHADOW (2ND)

Spot Play: ROYALTY AGREEMENT (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 5,7/4/1,3,6,9/1,5,6/1,2,8 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 6,8/6,7/4,7/5,6/4,5,8 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 1,5,6/1,2,8/6,8/6,7 = $36

Late Pick 4: 6,7/4,7/5,6/4,5,8 = $24

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7K LT AE: NW2 N/A $800/Start in 2021 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) R PRECIOUS PEARL makes her 18th attempt at breaking her maiden and she may have found a field she can beat here. She gets top billing as the likely chalk. (5) CASH HUDSON is probably the one the choice will need to handle as he should be steered more aggressively tonight with that clean line out of the way. (2) TYMAL TEMPO trotted a sub-29 kicker last week which makes me think he can close for a small piece here. (10) SOUPS ON is another that could sneak into the Super at a price.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) ROCKNROLLS SHADOW qualified 4th behind three horses that have won 49 combined races. Facing maidens is actually a huge class drop out of that qualifier and being that he was beaten only six lengths, he gets my nod. (6) SHIP DISTURBER figures to contend again tonight but he is hard to love at a short price at this point; your call. (7) FLIGHT ONEFORTYSIX is probably good enough to win this but he may not get put into the race until it's too late. I'll use him underneath. (5) FLASH TOTHE FINISH should be good for a share dropping out of the Harvest series.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $25,000 LT

(9) SHEZA GAMER gets a driver switch to Young and lands in a spot where it looks like she can clear to the front; slight nod in a tough race. (3) CARD COLLECTOR has produced two exciting back half brushes in a row to win at long odds both times at Flamboro Downs. She goes for a trainer sending out her first starter tonight and she could pop here. (6) C U PRINCESS raced okay here last week when facing a winner that was repeating. She is in with a shot vs. these. (1) NOTHINGCOMPARESTOU should be in the top flight leaving and she might sit a nice trip racing close to the front. She isn't impossible in this spot.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $34,000) LT Pick 4

This is a tough race because the two that rate the highest both come off breaks in stride. Of those, I'll side with (1) GQ MAGIC, who showed three starts ago that he has the speed to win this. (6) L DEES PATRICK has the fastest mark of any of these but he shows breaks in three straight starts. I'd need more than the 8-5 he offered last week. (5) HONE THE TONE blew up the tote board two weeks ago here and he has to be considered right back. (7) ALL THE TRIMMINS can close for a slice if he stays trotting tonight.

Race 5: Claiming $17,500 for NW $75,000 LT

(8) CUTTING CLASS is on a roll winning off first-over trips and he should be tough to get past as he shoots for the threepeat. (2) MACHED UP was closing last week despite being victimized by a slow pace. He can go better here; using. (1) CENTURY GIGALO took a new life's mark last time he raced at this level five starts back. He is hard to toss. (3) JUSTA BANDIT was also victimized by the pace last week. He is in the hunt again but I prefer to use him underneath in this spot.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT AE NW2 N/A $800/start in 2021 Pick 5

(6) ROYALTY AGREEMENT flashed some good late speed despite being out a long way last week and he gets the nod here starting from the best post. (8) ARLANDA was narrowly defeated at this level two starts back and she should be in the hunt if she stays flat tonight. (2) LOUIS is improving and he should be good for another share in this spot. (1) KRYPTONITE is worth a look for the bottom of the Super at a price.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000 Pick 4

(7) LUKE AND DUKE fits this class like a glove and he will be the one to beat again here racing form close range; call to repeat. (6) ON CRUISE CONTROL was already passed by the choice when he got hooked up in a jackpot at the head of the lane last week. He should be on the pace again, however and he is in with a shot here. (9) REAL WICKED has been on a roll out of town and he can close to make it into the Tri tonight. (5) WINDSONG NAPOLEON is consistent and worthy of a look for the exotics.

Race 8: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,000 LT

(7) PULL ME THROUGH closed nicely late to win last week but she got set down for causing interference in the stretch. She looks best here. (4) WINDSUN SHIRAZ was first-up trying to advance in the quickest quarter of the race in her debut, which wasn't going to work. She can improve here and is worth a look for the late multi-race tickets. (3) PUTYOURBETDOWN likely would have been part of the Super if not interfered with last week. I'll use her underneath tonight. (5) SANTACRUZ SEELSTER should pass a few of these in the back half; consider for the bottom of the Super.

Race 9: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000

(5) SPECTRUM SEELSTER got a golden trip last week, but he did pace home in 27 1/5 to take a new life's mark while winning; gets the nod to repeat here. (6) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ raced tough on the rim and was unlucky in defeat last week. He should be the main danger. (7) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS tripped-out to win last week. I'll use him underneath expecting he won't get the same golden trip. (4) MACHIN A TRICK should be good for a small share closing from the back.

Race 10: Claiming $17,500 for NW $35,000 LT

(4) THE SHINING was relentless in pursuit of a leader that enjoyed soft fractions last week and he gets the call to repeat off that impressive effort. (8) G A SPEED JOEY raced tough against a hot horse and he is the obvious threat; using. (5) ELROY SHINER picks up the leading driver and he gets a good post. He is another possibility for the late Pick 4 and Pick 5. (7) BAD EYE BILL was motoring late on the far outside after breaking early. I see him as a fringe player vs. these. (10) BLUE MONK could sneak into the Super or High-5 at a big price in this spot.