Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 11/17

Garnet Barnsdale|Nov 15, 2022

Meet Stats: 614 -- 1853 / $3,097.30 (-$688.50)

Best Bets: 94 -- 174 / $314.20 (-$33.80)

Spot Plays: 44 -- 175 / $300.70 (-$49.30)

Best Bet: MENDING FENCES (3RD)

Spot Play: SHANGHAI JAMES (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,10/2,6,8/1,7/2,7/2,10 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 2,3,9/3,4,8/6,8/2,7/6,7,10 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 2,7/2,10/2,3,9/3,4,8 = $36

Late Pick 4: 3,4,8/6,8/2,7/6,7,10 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) STORM TROTTER qualified well for this return race and he draws well. I expect an aggressive try here. (10) TKO was a $172,000 Lexington buy that didn't race at 2 but his debut in London was really good and he can be a threat here despite drawing widest. (5) HANDSOME HANK is capable of closing for a small share in this spot; using underneath. (2) HI SKOR SHYLOU flashed big speed and stopped in his debut. I think he sits and rallies for a slice tonight.

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Race 2: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 for NW $52,000 LT

Good betting race here. (2) SHES ROCKANDFAME brings some great from with her from the Maritimes and she picks up the leading driver; slight nod. (8) GRITTY GRACIE comes in sharp after her nice qualifying win on 11/11 and she should be a big threat here. (6) SCOTTISH CHEDDAR ships in from London hot and she is worth a look for the Pick 5. (5) SUNSHINE SALLY likely shows speed and sticks around for a small share.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: Pop Up Series Final F&M 4YO and Younger

(1) MENDING FENCES was given an aggressive steer by McNair last week and she responded, digging in gamely late in the lane. She is the one to beat in this final coming off that sharp effort. (7) ACADEMY SEELSTER was game in defeat that night and she should be the main danger. (6) SUNBURNT had a clear run up the inside in the lane in that race but she couldn't pass either of the top two. I'll use her underneath. (5) COCKTAIL CAROL followed the choice and closed okay. She is another for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 4: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $28,500 LT Pick 4

(7) TRION DE VIE goes for Barrington and gets a driver upgrade after being claimed out of a strong effort; he likely converts as the chalk here. (2) CAN BE A TREASURE flew late to finish just behind the choice. He is the logical alternative. (3) PROMISE ME A WIN is another that was close in that race and he is in the exotics mix again. (8) TOUCHEM ALL JOE should contend for a share if he stays flat.

Race 5: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000 LT

(10) SHANGHAI JAMES, 2nd to a promising colt last week, has the speed to overcome this draw and I can see him leading all the way here. (2) PROFUNDO produces sub-27 kickers every week but he is never close enough to capitalize. He will be in range to make better use of that late speed one of these times, but I wouldn't take a short price expecting it. (5) BACK TO THE FUTURE improved last week and he can take another share. (8) CHESAPEAKE SUNRISE is another that was a bit better last week that is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT AE: NW1 in 2022 Pick 5

(2) STREET GLIDER raced okay vs. NW2 at Flamboro and he fits well vs. these; price play. (9) ARCHSRAINBOW won't need to improve much on his 11/11 qualifier to be a threat vs. these. He will probably be the one to catch here. (3) DEITY SEELSTER was in vs. tougher in the Pop Up series. She can be part of the exotics against these. (5) DOME ROYALLY improved his late speed in his second qualifier and he is worth using on the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7: Pop Up Series Final 4YO and Younger Pick 4

(3) LILYS LASS was terrific last week when making her first start since July and she is the one to beat here. (4) MAKE IT EASY was probably going to win if the leader didn't interfere with her late in the stretch and she should be the main danger. (8) ZIP ME UP should get a more aggressive steer in this final and she is in with an upset chance. (2) BRASH LADY came out and locked wheels with a rival and she was set back. She is a speed threat again, but I prefer to use her underneath in this spot.

Race 8: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(6) CHERIE AMOUR tracked some strong splits and made her move at the 3/4 before pulling away late to take a new life's mark when claimed. She is hot and the one to beat here. (8) LITTLEBEARCAT is the other mare that is running hot right now and she also gets a barn and driver change. She should be the main threat. (5) CLOVER will likely improve in this second start for Auciello and land in the Tri or Super. (4) MY DAY should get another good trip racing near the front; using underneath.

Race 9: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $68,000 LT

(2) AVID is on a big roll and he managed to win easily last week even after breaking early in the mile. A lifetime-best performance in this second start for Moreau is likely here; top call. (7) TOUGHSONOFABEACH is the other hot horse in here. He dug in for the threepeat last week and he figures to be the one to catch. (8) HES REALLY KEEN went a big trip uncovered last week and more of the same is likely here with him starting from the widest post; using underneath. (3) COOLSUNSHINE is a good one to use on the bottom of the Super based on recent results.

Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(10) CHIEF CORLEONE is a homebred 1/2-brother to solid local pacers Chiefs Beach (11 Wins, $147K, 1:51 1/5) and Chiefs Dream Girl (10, $190K, 1:51) who lands in a good spot for this debut and appears fast enough to beat these. He will have a big shot if he gets put into the race from out there on debut. (6) DG RAINRUNNER finished well last week and he should be able to get positioned near the front again leaving from the best post; using. (7) RUNNING ON LUCK raced okay in London on Monday night and now he gets McNair for the first time; price look. (8) INKED IN PINK exits a fast race and he figures to be closer vs. these; using underneath. (3) L A LA RUSH should be closer early tonight and I can see him sneaking into the exotics.