Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 11/10

Meet Stats: 60 - 1853 / $3,081.50 (-$688.50)

Best Bets: 94 - 173 / $314.20 (-$31.80)

Spot Plays: 44 - 174 / $300.70 (-$47.30)

Best Bet: MYSTIC WILD ROSE (1ST)

Spot Play: BIG ACE (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 4/5,8/4,5,6/7/5,6,8 = $3.60

Late Pick 5: 6/5,6,9,10/3,4,6,7/5,6/2,7,9 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 7/5,6,8/6/5,6,9,10 = $12

Late Pick 4: 5,6,9,10/3,4,6,7/5/2,7,9 = $48

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) MYSTIC WILD ROSE sticks out here and she only needs to be put into the race early to blitz this group. She should be more aggressive starting from the middle of the gate tonight. (2) NOOTKA gets a notable driver change here and this four-time winner could improve sharply; Exacta factor. (3) GETITGETITGOTIT has missed some time but she is fast enough to contend for a share tonight. (5) FEEL ITINYOURHANDS should flash early speed and stick around for a share.

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Race 2: Pop Up Series 4YO and Younger NW1 or $5,000 LT

(8) BRASH LADY was driven with confidence in the first leg of this series and she easily vaulted past the leaders in the lane. She will likely repeat as a big chalk here. (5) MAKE IT EASY tried to rally from the back last time but she couldn't get close to the choice. On paper, she seems like the only other option for Pick 5 tickets. (7) TIJUANA SEELSTER adds Lasix racing off the shelf and she looks capable of sneaking into the exotics at a price. (4) BELVEDERE FRANKLIN will likely sit a trip racing close to the front and take a slice tonight.

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Race 3: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(5) CHERIE AMOUR looked good taking a new life's mark here last week. She gets McNair now whose aggressive style should fit this filly like a glove. (4) HIGH ROLLING A was completely out of position but she kept trying hard. Getting off the rail should help tonight and driver Roy is hot, having taken four wins here Monday night. (6) CLOVER is worth a look for the early Pick 5 moving into Auciello’s barn off the claim. (1) FURIOSA was a closing 2nd to the choice last time and she should close for a slice here.

Race 4: 2YO and 3YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000 LT - Pick 4

(7) BARRETT HANOVER was a strong debut winner vs. similar last week and he should repeat as the chalk here. (4) PROFUNDO was flying late in that race and he can be an Exacta factor here. (3) ALLSTAR CHEDDAR was too far back but he raced okay. I can see him closing late to land in the Tri. (6) BACK TO THE FUTURE can improve enough in this second start to grab a small slice.

Race 5: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $62,000 LT

(8) BIG ACE was going to be right there on the wire if he didn't make a speed break at the 1/8th pole last week. His price will go way up here and I'll take a stab with him to upset. (6) HES REALLY KEEN was bet like he couldn't lose last week and he set some fast splits and converted. He should be tough right back. (5) TOUGHSONOFABEACH is razor-sharp and hard to leave off multi-race tickets as he shoots for a threepeat. (3) LAND OF ROYALTY tries hard and he should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 6: Pop Up Series 4YO and Younger NW1 or $5,000 LT - Pick 5

(6) ZIP ME UP was an easy winner in leg 1 and he looks solid to repeat vs. these. (1) TYMAL TWYLA, 3rd to the choice last week, likely rounds out a chalky Exacta tonight. (3) COMMEMORATIVE will likely rally to land in the Tri in this short field. (4) LILYS LASS qualified decently for this. I can see her taking a share.

Race 7: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $27,500 LT - Pick 4

(9) TOUCHEM ALL JOE ran out of racetrack last week when chasing the 4 to 5 chalk. That was another strong effort and he gets top call here racing off the claim despite drawing wide. (6) CAN BE A TREASURE finished just behind the choice and he draws better than that rival here. He is in with a decent chance. (10) NOBLE INTENTIONS drops in for a tag and he is fast enough to beat these if he can work out a trip from post 10; using. (5) SMART THINKING closed decently last week after starting from a wide post; price look for the exotics.

Race 8: Pop Up Series F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $5,000

(3) MENDING FENCES tried to leave last week and was forced to take a seat. She closed well and I'll give her the nod this time to take down likely favorite (7) SUNBURNT. The latter got the job done as the 3 to 5 chalk but she got a perfect trip. I'm inclined to try to beat her as an underlay here. (6) ACADEMY SEELSTER followed the choice throughout and fell short in the lane. She is another in with a shot. (4) CHEDDA CHEDDA tried the front against the top three choices and couldn't last. Sits and rallies this time?

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 for NW $53,000 LT

(5) LITTLEBEARCAT rallied well to beat most of these last week and she gets the call to repeat. (6) SUNSHINE SALLY had no real excuse last week but her speed still makes her dangerous vs. these; using. (7) MIGHTY MELISSA tripped out and she had a clear shot up the inside in the lane but she could do no better than reach up to get 2nd narrowly. I'll use her underneath here. (1) ONE LAST BET likely closes for another small share here.

Race 10: NW $2,000 L3 AE: OPT CLM $15,000

Tough race here at the end of multi-race tickets. (9) DAWSON SPRINGS lacked room briefly in early stretch and once he altered course and found racetrack, he closed well. I'll take a stab with him expecting to get a good price from his wide post. If (7) NEVER MIND N will probably wire this field if he minds his manners and stays flat, but his gait issues are right there staring up at you from the program. Your call, but I'd be leery of taking a short price. (2) DEAL WITH LUCUS made a threatening wide move last week in the lane then flattened out late. He should be in the exotics mix tonight. (3) TREASURED TEE gets needed post relief tonight and he can be much closer early. He can take a share. (6) LESTENPERCENT should be sharper for this second start back and I can see him closing for a small share.