Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 10/27

Garnet Barnsdale|Oct 25, 2022

Meet Stats: 582 - 1766 / $2,910.20 (-$621.80)

Best Bets: 89 - 162 / $301.60 (-$22.40)

Spot Plays: 44 - 164 / $300.70 (-$27.30)

Best Bet: SOUTHWIND ONCORE (4TH)

Spot Play: SIMCOE SEELSTER (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 4,7,8/1,4,6/2,3,8/2/3,8 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 2,3,8,9/1,3/3,5,7/4,7/2,3,4 = $28.80

Early Pick 4: 2/3,8/2,3,8,9/1,3 = $16

Late Pick 4: 1,3/3,5,7/4,7/2,3,4 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT**Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

$260,000 Harrisburg purchase (8) BARONESS HILL lands in a good spot to debut and she can beat these if she gets put into the race from her outer post. (7) MUSCLE ENVY improved when she dropped into a maiden race now she gets Henry in the bike. An aggressive try is likely tonight. (4) MAKE IT EASY showed in the spring that she is fast enough to beat these and if she is over her gait issues, she will be a big threat here; using. (9) BUMPY JACK should close late again and land in the bottom of the Tri or Super.

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Race 2: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $60,000 LT

(1) TOUGHSONOFABEACH raced well off the Moreau claim last week and this looks like a race that he will control on the lead; top call. (6) COOLSUNSHINE took a shuffle after taking the early lead last week, then he re-rallied. I could see him getting a great trip racing near the front tonight in a race that might feature a slow early pace; using. (4) FROWNIES MIRACLE passed them all in the final 1/4 last week which isn't something you see every night. He is sharp and dangerous. (3) LAND OF ROYALTY should be along for another small share in this spot.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: NW $2,800 L3 AE: Starters for a purse of $7,500 or less L3

(2) SO NOT COOL was cut loose last week after getting two troubled trips in a row previously. He raced well and I think he parlays that effort into a win tonight. (3) RICKY RESOLVE had a rough trip and he still took a check last week. He is worth a look at a price tonight. (8) SHES GOT PIZAZZ seems obvious on the class drop tonight but I wonder if she will get overbet. I'm inclined to try to beat her starting from the widest post. (1) VICTOR INVICTUS gets Hudon back tonight and he should be good for a share at this level.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $23,000 LT - Pick 4

(2) SOUTHWIND ONCORE arrives from Ohio in terrific form and finds a good spot to continue his winning streak. He will be a single for me. (6) NO TURNING BACK is right there every week but he has taken six slices from 10 starts so far and another share is likely for him tonight. (1) ILUVMYMIUMIUS should be in the mix if she stays flat tonight; using underneath. (4) MUSCLE UP THE GOLD was close last week despite drawing the rail and he can take another share here.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $10,100 LT

(8) MYSTIC WILD ROSE was probably tons the best on debut but she started her move too late. She probably wins now as chalk. (3) POWDER PLAY raced better last week and I can see her posing a threat tonight at a square price. (2) FEEL ITINYOURHANDS takes frequent shares and her good tactical speed puts her in the exotics picture here; using underneath. (10) SUNBURNT would be rated higher if she drew better. A small slice is likely her ceiling starting from out there.

Race 6: F&M CLM HDCP for NW $62,000 LT - Pick 5

Tough race here. I'm going to stab with (9) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH making her second start back facing easier. (8) CLOVER is capable vs. this group of claimers and she gets Macdonald for this; using. (3) REYS IN A ROCKET jogged in fast time here two starts back and looking at that line makes her hard to toss. (2) ONE LAST BET should be able to rally for a share in this spot.

Race 7: NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000 - Pick 4

(3) SIMCOE SEELSTER was much better in his last two starts and from a good draw tonight he gets top billing. (1) WARRAWEE XALT either wins or breaks it seems. He requalified well over an of track and he will be a big threat if he stays flat. (8) STORMONT MABEL was good in the Grassroots final for sophomore fillies now she is in open company after missing 3 1/2 weeks. I'll use her underneath. (5) L DEES PATRICK is in for a tag here and he is capable at this level. I prefer to use him underneath in this spot, however.

Race 8: CLM $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $33,350 LT

This race screams upset to me and I'll take a shot with (3) NELSONEDDY HANOVER who is improving and should be more forwardly placed early in this race. (5) TOUCHEM ALL JOE is an obvious threat on paper but he will likely get overbet with J Mac in the bike; your call. (7) YARM had a tough trip over the good track in London but he is another that will get bet that is hard to trust at this point. (1) POINTTO SWEET LOU can close for a small share in this spot.

Race 9: NW $2,800 L3 AE: Starters for a purse of $7,500 or less L3

(4) CROSSFIT raced here Monday night vs. tougher and he swings right back into action and drops in class. Slight nod in a tough race. (7) TREASURED TEE was forced to trot a big opening 1/4 to clear from the 9-hole last time and the taxing early pace doomed him. I can see him getting a much easier trip on the engine here and that makes him a big threat; using. (2) SONOFAMILLIONAIRE comes off a solid effort but he is an infrequent winner that is likely best used underneath. (3) MAGIC WANDA likely sits an inside trip and rallies for a share tonight.

Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $23,000 LT

(4) PRECISE FASHION ships north and lands in a good spot and she should have a big shot in here. (2) THE PINBALL WIZARD got a needed clean line now he gets a key driver change. He could improve sharply here. (3) RADIO LAB is sharp and he will likely get more aggressive from this post; using. (1) PENCILS DOWN comes off a good closing effort and while I don't love the rail post for her, she is another in with a chance. (6) SAINT ANTOINE should be good for a small share in this spot.