Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 10/22

Meet Stats: 282- 897 / $1639.10 (-$154.90)

Best Bets: 45 - 79 / $147.20 (-$11.80)

Spot Plays: 13 - 81 / $108.50 (-$53.50)

Best Bet: WARRAWEE WHISPER (6TH)

Spot Play: BIG BANG BANG (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,7 / 3,4,5 / 4,6,8 / 2,4,10 / 3,9 = $32.40

Late Pick 5: 3 / 4,6,7 / 4,5,7 / 3,5,8 / 1,9 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 2,4,10 / 3,9 / 3 / 4,6,7 = $18

Late Pick 4: 4,5,7 / 3,5,8 / 1,9 / 2,6,7 = $54

Race 1: HARVEST SERIES 1st Leg Ont Sired 2YO Colts and Geldings **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) WARRAWEE WINDSOR's best races to date were his two most recent starts and I expect that he will get a more aggressive steer this time facing a field that he should beat. (7) PUBLICITY SEEKER's sharp win against maidens two starts back stamps him as a contender vs. these and he could be the one to catch. (5) INSANITY made a wide move on the final turn that he couldn't sustain in the same race where the choice finished second, but he could get a much easier trip here facing softer and he is in with a shot. (6) DEALIN MAGIC tried to leave from the widest post, tucked then came on again late in a decent effort; consider for the exotics tonight.

Race 2: 3YO NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) DAVID LLOYD GEORGE was picked off in the very last stride by a rival that paced up a storm late and he has a big shot against this group; top call. (5) KINGS JESTER closed with a nice rush racing over an off track and he looks next best to me. (3) REVENANT BLUE CHIP has some things to like and if he gets a better start this time, he has a chance to upset. (6) HES SWIFT got a needed clean line coming off a break in stride and he closed out the mile decently. He should be a factor here for a minor share.

Race 3: HARVEST SERIES 1st Leg Ont Sired 2YO Colts and Geldings

(4) BIG BANG BANG gets away from the very tough Second Bruiser and that should give him a good chance to take his second win here; top call. (8) BIG TEDDY paces right around 1:53 every race and that makes him a top contender in this race. McNair will likely send him hard for position leaving the gate; using. (6) RAU RU shows a 1:51 4/5 win two starts back aided by some mid-race battling that produced fast fractions, but if this race falls apart late, he will likely be the one sailing by the winded leaders. (9) BET ON BLAKE comes off a nice effort but he draws worst here, so I'll use him underneath.

Race 4: CLAIMING $8,000 Pick 4

(10) WORKING CLASS HERO raced well off the Shepherd claim and I'll give him the nod here in a spot where he can likely pick up some cover. (4) COOL ROCK drops and finally draws a good post. This might be the spot where he puts an end to his winless drought. (2) SUNSHINES FINEST took all the money at the windows and he beat the choice by a length last time. He's hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (3) DINNER AT THE MET is likely to set the pace again and stick around for a slice.

Race 5: F&M CLM $15,000 for NW $46,000 LT

(9) KIT takes a big drop into a conditioned claimer and you have to think that she will be put into this race leaving the gate; top call. (3) KOUNNIS drops out of the same race and she should improve sharply; using. (1) TOBINS CHOICE produced a strong effort to win a stakes series for sophomore pacing fillies in the Maritimes and she isn't out of place in this spot; using. (5) TUGGINGONCREDIT is another dropping into a claimer and she should be in the exotics mix.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 5

(3) WARRAWEE WHISPER is going to be a big favorite here after taking home a check in the inaugural Mohawk Million and it's hard to imagine him not beating this group of maidens. (1) ALPINA's race two starts back is good enough to make her an Exacta factor in this spot, and she is likely going to deploy stalking tactics again. (2) SPUN FROM MAGIC should show speed and stick around for a slice. (6) CAVALIER GEORGE is capable of landing in the Super if he can leave a bit better this time.

Race 7: HARVEST SERIES 1st Leg Ont Sired 2YO Colts and Geldings

(6) NO FREE LUNCH produced a nice late kick to get up to win last week and this is a field that he can attack late, too; call to repeat. (4) SHAZAM BLUE CHIP has enough speed for these and his qualifier raced over an off track signals readiness; using. (7) LAST BET is probably unlucky to be stuck on one win and he is likely to show speed here again. He is another in with a chance. (2) SEIZE CONTROL is likely to start quicker here leaving from a better post and he can land in the Tri or Super.

Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT Pick 4

(5) MAGICS WIZARD made two moves to take an impressive maiden win last week and while these are obviously tougher, his price will likely make the risk worthwhile; slight nod. (7) LEXUS MARKUS has raced well in Grassroots company and he is a good fit here. His strong gate speed will put him in contention early and he is a contender. (4) LMC BUMBLE BEE looks good here off her third in a Gold race but that was against strictly her own gender and while she is in the mix, she could get over bet; your call. (6) TITANS DREAM comes off an improved effort and he is worth a look for the Super and Tri.

Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $15,000

(5) VINES TO HEAVEN was re-claimed by trainer Fritz, who had her two starts back when she got a tough trip from post 9. Starting from the middle of the gate, she gets top call here. (3) DREAM ALL NIGHT could get a great setup for her potent late kick with a few expected leavers lined up on the far outside. I'll use her in this Pick 4. (8) SOPHIST sat a nice trip but she was still good enough to come on and register a quick 1:52 1/5 win. Off that effort she is hard to toss. Nothing went right for (7) HIGHMOON SUNSHINE in her first race off the claim and I wouldn't be surprise if she changes tactics and blasts off the gate this week; using underneath.

Race 10: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,000 LT

(9) CHEDDAR THIS was bet like she couldn't lose last week after finishing last of nine in her debut and she produced an impressive mile to break her maiden. If she repeats that mile, she can double-up despite drawing widest. (1) JM BETONSIX lacked room at a critical point in the lane when fifth behind the choice and she is in with an upset chance here. (8) AILEY HANOVER is capable of taking a share vs. these if she gets put into the race early; using underneath at a price. (4) MACH ME ONEMORE gets hot teamster Filion for this and she is another to consider for Tri and Super bets.

Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $25,000 LT

(2) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE set big splits and was picked off by a fresh (7) ASSASSINS CREED late last time. This race should come down to these two again, with a slight nod to the former who should get an easier trip this time. (6) GONNAHAVEONEMORE can improve sharply here leaving Grassroots company and he is another to consider for the late Pick 4. (5) GOLDEN SAND should leave better than 10th tonight and that puts him in the mix to land in the Tri. (10) DONTBLVMEJUSTWATCH dropped and popped at Flamboro and he is worth a look for the High-5 as he faces tougher now.