Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 10/20

Garnet Barnsdale|Oct 18, 2022

Meet Stats: 566 -- 1720 / $2,854.20 (-$585.80)

Best Bets: 85 -- 158 / $288.20 (-$27.80)

Spot Plays: 44 -- 160 / $300.70 (-$19.30)

Best Bet: HE WILL (1ST)

Spot Play: HES A SWEETHEART (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 5/3,6,7/5,10/1,2,3/7,8,10 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 5/3,4/1,3,7,9/2,4,7/1,2,5 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 1,2,3/7,8,10/5/3,4 = $18

Late Pick 4: 1,3,7,9/2,4,7/1,2,5/2 = $36

Race 1: Harvest Series 2nd Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) HE WILL dominated last week in the opening leg and he should be tough to beat as he seeks his fifth straight win. (4) ZIP ME UP was right there, passed by a big chalk late in the mile last week. He should be the main threat. (3) LOOKSLIKAGOODFELLA was too far back last week, but he managed to close for a share. He can be closer early in the mile tonight and that makes him an exotics factor. (6) SNAPCHAT SAM should close for another small share this week.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: Harvest Series 2nd Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings

This race will likely be a battle of the two first leg winners (6) WINMEBAK and (3) SCRIBBLERS. Slight nod to the former who paced a quicker final 1/4. (7) WISE THINKING needed a clean line last week and he produced a sharp final 1/4 while not threatening. He has upset potential tonight. (1) TEEN TATTLER can get another good following trip and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(5) CM SAVEWILL GL brings a 0-for-21 record to the track tonight, but this looks like a field that he is supposed to beat and Jamieson will likely look to send him right down the road. (4) ALCINA brought $82,000 at Harrisburg and her lone qualifier was decent. The tote might provide some clues with this one. (10) BRASH LADY was good at the end of her mile last week and she can show more improvement here; upset chance. (7) FATHER DANIELS can close for another small share.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $22,500 LT Pick 4

(1) MATS MVP raced well last week, put into the race early from his outer post then staying for 2nd behind a dominant winner. He looks best here. (2) SAINT ANTOINE set the pace and finished just behind the choice. She should be the main threat. (3) NO TURNING BACK's speed makes him dangerous here and he could be the one to catch turning for home; using. (7) RADIO LAB fits better in this spot. He can land in the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $10,100 LT

Debutante homebred (7) MYSTIC WILD ROSE is the second foal from her dam. The first, Intothemysticmoon (6-2-3 from 13 starts, $78K, 1:51 3/5 S), is currently riding a two-race win streak at this track. This filly looks ready and she gets the nod. (10) TALL DARK BEAUTY is in against easier, but drawing worst coming off a sick scratch makes her beatable tonight. I wouldn't take a short price here. (8) SUNBURNT is 0-for-11 but she seems to fit here. She is another in with a chance. (9) POWDER PLAY can pass some of these in the back 1/2 and take a share.

Race 6: Harvest Series 2nd Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings Pick 5

(5) THE HAZLETON was unhurried early last week but he steamrolled late and he looked good doing it; call to repeat. (2) FOX VALLEY ONTARIO was right there last week and he could get the jump on the choice tonight. He should be the main threat. (4) STONEBRIDGE BOMBER should improve in this second start back from a brief rest; using underneath. (9) IMPRESSIVE DUDE can close from the back to take another slice.

Race 7: NW3 (F&M4) or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $40,000

(4) ANGELS EXPRESS got a driver change to Filion last week and he crushed NW2 rivals. Roy takes over now but he should repeat here on the class rise. (3) STORMONT MOLLY is in easier here and she should get put into play early by Filion, who appears to have picked her over the choice; using. (9) IMA STANDUP GUY was good last week closing for a share from far back. He can be close for another slice in this field. (2) KEVIN ANTHONY likely takes another small share in this spot.

Race 8: Harvest Series 2nd Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings Pick 4

(9) HES A SWEETHEART raced tough first-up last week and drawing wide should help his price tonight; top call. (1) SAUBLE ACE was too far back for too long last week as the chalk. He is capable if he gets more aggressive. (3) SLICK N QUICK, dominant in the opening leg, is hard to leave out here. (7) BAR DOWN JIM closed too late last week. He's another in with a shot.

Race 9: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $22,500 LT

(2) HOW THE HELL raced well here last week but he couldn't repel surging Jokic late. He gets the nod vs. these. (7) PENCILS DOWN will get bet on the class drop from the Gold Superfinal but keep in mind that she is 2-for-29 to this point. (4) LENIS should find these easier and he adds Lasix tonight. He is in the mix. (3) POCAHONTAS likely sits and rallies for a share.

Race 10: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $75,000 LT

(2) COIN FLIP had an impossible trip last week but he kept coming. Assuming he gets a better trip tonight, he gets top call. (1) TOUGHSONOFABEACH rolls right back into action after finishing 3rd in a tougher claiming handicap on Monday night and he should be right there vs. these; using. (5) HELLO ROCKY races well at this track. He fits here and he is another to consider for late multi-race tickets. (3) JOE KING closed nicely at the end of the mile last week and I'll use him underneath.

Race 11: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $31,000 LT AE: NW $1,100 L3

(2) TOUCHEM ALL JOE doesn't win often, but I like the way he closed last week with Macdonald driving for the second consecutive week; top call. (10) TRION DE VIE responded to the driver change to Jamieson and he should be a threat right back despite drawing widest. (9) POINTTO SWEET LOU figures to be better on the class drop here but he could get over bet; your call. (7) WOODMERE FENN should improve moving in three posts tonight; using. (8) TITANIUM ALPHA should be in the High-5 and he could better this placing if he gets a good trip.