Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 10/19

Top Pick Stats: 498 – 1477 / $2,665.60 (-$288.40)

Best Bets: 78 – 139 / $274.90 (-$3.10)

Spot Plays: 24 – 141 / $150.20 (-$131.80)

Best Bet: HASHTAG WATCH ME (3RD)

Spot Play: SOMETHING ROYAL (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,6/2,5,9/2,6/1,3,6/10 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 8,9/1,3,6/1,4,5/6/5,9,10 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 1,3,6/10/8,9/1,3,6 = $3.60

Late Pick 4: 1,3,6/1,4,5/6/5,9,10 = $5.40

Race 1: Pop Up series Ont. Sired 3YO fillies NW $20,000 in 2023 Leg 3 AE: Leg 1 and Leg 2 starters **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5

(3) OLIVIAS GOLDNUGGET took all the action at the windows last week and was perhaps unlucky in defeat. She has a good chance to lead these all the way. (6) JAYPORT ANNA MAY got a clear lane late when the leader drifted out several lanes and she got up to edge the choice. She looks like the main threat here. (4) SOS JEWELS closes well most nights, and she should be good for another share here. (5) VALLEE DOREE looks best of the rest in this small field; using underneath.

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Race 2: 2YO colts and geldings NW1 or $5,000 LT

(9) LOCKDOWN ROMEO raced well in his first race for new connections and he has a good chance to lead all the way in this spot; top call. (2) STAR HAIRDRESSER stacks up well in this field and he gets a driver change to Filion tonight. He should be the main threat. (5) DEVILS KISS comes off two good tries in a row after getting McNair and he is another in with a shot. Debutant (8) GOOBER SMACK has two siblings with combined records of 0-2-0 from 13 starts; small share predicted.

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Race 3: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $40,000 LT

(6) HASHTAG WATCH ME ships in from Flamboro Downs on a roll and he gets the leading driver tonight. He will probably prove hard to beat at a short price. (2) SUNSHINE LOVE exits a race where the winner cut some wicked fractions for the class and just kept going. He should be a threat vs. these tonight. (4) SELF ISOLATION closed a big gap to take a slice. He should be closer early in this mile and come on late for a spot in the Tri. (3) WOODMERE BANKROLL can get a good trip racing near the front and stick around for a share this time.

Race 4: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT Pick 4

(1) CACTUSTOTHECLOUDS, an even money winner here at this level last week, likely repeats here at another short price. (6) CENTURY JAGUAR moves to the best post tonight and he should be closer to the front early in the mile. That gives him a chance to upend the choice. (3) STORMONT DIVIDE is another that figures to be closer to the front early in the mile tonight. He can take a share. (8) TWIN B SHOWMANCE raced well at long odds going first-up last week. He is in the exotics mix.

Race 5: Pop Up series Ont. Sired 3YO colts and geldings NW $20,000 in 2023 Leg 3 AE: Leg 1 and Leg 2 starters

(10) NOTHINGBUTADREAMER jogged and paid $2.10 in Leg 2. If he stays flat, more of the same is probably coming here. (9) CONNOR looked good winning as chalk and he is the logical alternative to the choice. (4) TYRONE BOW TIE has been good in both of the first two legs but he will probably find the top two choices too tough here; using underneath. (7) DWS POINT MAN looks next best and he should land in the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 6: F&M CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $40,000 LT Pick 5

(9) HURRIKANE MSRODINE and (8) SNAKE EYES HANOVER were 1-2 when facing similar two starts back then they tried a tougher NW2. Dropping back in for a tag here, they will likely battle for the win. (2) QUEEN OF SOUL frequently takes shares. She is a good one to use underneath. (1) DIALMEUP will probably sit an inside following trip and land in the Super.

Race 7: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

(3) JONNY BOOTS gets post relief here in a spot where he fits well. An aggressive Sorrie steer is expected; top call. (6) TANGLEWILD ROAD rallied too late last week. She could do in here if she is closer at the head of the lane; using. (1) QUEEN INDEED is 0 for 15 but she adds Lasix and she should be good for a share tonight. (9) QUICK FIX raced well at a huge price last week. He is worth using underneath at a price tonight.

Race 8: 5YO and younger NW 2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT

(1) NORTHERN IRONMAN capitalized on a good trip and drive last week and he showed he can get position starting from the rail. He steps up but this doesn’t look like a tough NW2; call to repeat. (4) SWEET DETRMINATION was first-up in a 28-flat third 1/4 and that wasn’t going to work. I can see her blasting to the front this time and she is in with a decent chance. (5) TEMPLETON ships north, faces easier, and gets Macdonald. He is another to consider for late multi-race tickets. (6) JAY RICHARD NYCE won well but he loses Bob McClure and the owner/trainer takes the lines tonight. I’ll use him underneath.

Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(6) DOLLYDAYDREAM had every intention of showing the way last week and she paid a price but still lasted. Starting from the best post here she is strictly the one to beat. (4) PROUD OF MY ROOTS got hung out chasing the choice and now she draws better. She can be an Exacta factor here. (5) SHAKEITIFYOUGOTIT was also out the route that night after starting from post 10. Drawing better here should help her land a share. (7) HILLBILLY JET got a good trip following the choice and she couldn’t get past her in the lane. I’ll use her on the bottom this time.

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Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(5) SOMETHING ROYAL goes for McQueen off the claim and he had her for one start this spring following a claim, and she won by 15 at Flamboro Downs. I’ll take a shot with her at a price tonight. (10) KICKIN COWGIRL drops and goes for a new barn here. I could see Henry trying to send her down the road at this level; using. (9) BETCHULOVEME comes in from Flamboro on a nice roll and she is another that is worth using on late multi-race tickets. (1) AZUCAR PIPEDREAM steps up off the claim and she is a good one to use underneath considering how she uses her good tactical speed to take frequent shares. (2) LISAS ALL IN, winner of three of her last six, is another that should be in the mix for a small share.