Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 10/13

Garnet Barnsdale|Oct 11, 2022

Meet Stats: 562 -- 1709 / $2,835.60 (-$582,40)

Best Bets: 84 -- 157 / $285.70 (-$28.30)

Spot Plays: 44 -- 160 / $300.70 (-$19.30)

Best Bet: WINMEBAK (7TH)

Spot Play: CONTROL THE SMILE (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,6/3,7/2,4,5/2,5,6/2,5,7 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 2,5,8/5/1,2,6/3,4,8/9 = $5.40

Early Pick 4: 2,5,6/2,5,7/2,5,8/5 = $27

Late Pick 4: 1,2,6/3,4,8/9/3,5,8,9 = $36

Race 1: Harvest Series 1st Leg for Ont. Sires 2YO Colts and Geldings **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) THE HAZLETON took some action vs. Gold colts and he finished fast albeit without threatening. He beats these if he isn't too far back at the 3/4 pole. (6) MR EXPERIENCE is 0-for-10 but he comes off the best mile of his career and he is in with a shot tonight; using. (4) ZIP ME UP had clear leads in two straight but he couldn't seal the deal. I'll play to beat him tonight. (5) KINNDER THINKTWICE hasn't missed the board in Quebec and he should be in the exotics mix.

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Race 2: Harvest Series 1st Leg for Ont. Sires 2YO Colts and Geldings

(3) SAUBLE ACE fired a sub-55 back half to win going away in his debut and he gets the call to repeat off that impressive effort. (7) SLICK N QUICK was decent racing in Grassroots company this summer and he figures to be the main threat here; using. (6) BETTER B SIRIUS was only three lengths back in Gold company last time and driver Hudon has been hot lately. I prefer to use him underneath in here, however. (4) MATTS GEM finished quickly in both starts. He could better this placing with a good trip.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000

(5) FOX VALLEY ONTARIO was good last week, showing speed both early and late. He gets a better post and driver Henry now; top call. (2) HEARTBREAK BEAT was a nice maiden winner on debut then raced in a fast NW2 dash. Dropping back to NW1 gives him a good shot tonight. (4) SOUTHWIND COORS was unlucky in defeat last week but he is no lock here and he will probably get over bet. I'll play to beat him. (1) MILLIONDOLLARRIDE can pass a few of these to take another small share.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) Pick 4

(5) SHESUNDERTHERADAR threw in a clunker last week but she is one of few in here that typically leaves fast. I expect Roy to try to send her down the road tonight. (2) BUCKHEAD RIDGE showed some late life last Thursday and he gets McNair for the first time tonight. He will be on my multi-race tickets. (6) JOKIC is the obvious class of this field but he has missed a month and he will likely get heavily-bet; your call. (1) MUSCLE UP THE GOLD is 1-for-21 and he strikes me as one that closes too late at any level. I'll use him underneath.

Race 5: Claiming $15,000 for NW $20,000 LT

(7) TRION DE VIE was 2nd in a fast race last time Jamieson drove him in a claimer and he can beat these if he is close enough at the 3/4 pole. (5) COIN FLIP has been a win machine everywhere he goes this year and he gets McNair now racing off the claim. He could drop a couple of seconds here and he is in with a good chance. (2) TITANIUM ALPHA was a good 2nd at this level two starts back and he is another in with a chance. (1) NELSONEDDY HANOVER is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics in this second start off the claim.

Race 6: Harvest Series 1st Leg for Ont. Sires 2YO Colts and Geldings Pick 5

(2) HE WILL has been a win machine on the B tracks and he comes off an impressive 8-hole win at Flamboro Downs. He is sure-gaited and he gets the top driver here; top call. (8) SAYONARA ROYALTY finally stayed flat in his second start and he won well. I'm not sure how much he can be trusted, but he will be the one to beat if he stays flat. (5) LOOKSLIKAGOODFELLA tried Golds and he was over his head in there. He is in with a much better chance vs. these. (9) SUMKINDOFMAGIC raced okay with McClure in the bike last week and he should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 7: Harvest Series 1st Leg for Ont. Sires 2YO Colts and Geldings

(5) WINMEBAK had a tough trip but still took a share in a Gold race at Flamboro Downs and he is the clear pick here getting back to the big track. (2) WATCH MY CHIPS was too close to a fast pace in the Grassroots final. His previous two good efforts make him a contender here. (3) TELLLAURAILOVEHER should get positioned near the front early and ride a trip to a share. (4) WISE THINKING should be an exotics factor if he stays flat tonight.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT Pick 4

(1) SAINT ANTOINE was aggressively driven by Young last week and she was unlucky in defeat. A repeat of that effort should get her a win tonight. (2) THE PINBALL WIZARD should contend if he stays flat and he will likely offer a good price; Exacta factor. (6) HEAVENS PIC is another that broke last week that will be in the exotics mix if he stays trotting this time. (4) QUITE FAST was no good at even money last week but his best effort gets him a share in here.

Race 9: Harvest Series 1st Leg for Ont. Sires 2YO Colts and Geldings

(8) HES SURE GOOD lands in a spot where he could blast to the front and lead all the way. He should offer a good price; top call. (3) SCRIBBLERS had a troubled trip two starts back but he had clear sailing last week and won well. He should be right there again. (4) HES A SWEETHEART is in the mix coming out of the Grassroots final where he broke at the start. (2) FADE TO LIGHT's last start is probably a toss because nothing went right from the start. He should be part of the Tri or Super here.

Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

This race screams upset to me and I'll try (9) CONTROL THE SMILE who could make front and get soft fractions. Richardson won't be shy to send him forward leaving the gate. (6) NOBLE INTENTIONS and (5) DON'T POKE THE BEAR both appeared to have dead aim on the leader in the lane and hung last week. They aren't trustworthy, but this isn't a strong field, either. I just wouldn't take a short price on either. (7) L A LA RUSH can take a share if he stays flat this time.

Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT

(5) NIGHT SHADOW was 7-to-5 from the 10-hole which isn't something you see every night at this track, and he overcame a troubled start to get the job done. He faces tougher now, but that ensures a good price; call to repeat. (3) STAYTHIRSTY DE VIE should improve sharply exiting Grand Circuit company tonight; using. (8) SIP OF BOURBON fits better here and he has a shot to take his first win of the year tonight. (9) HASHTAG MONEY comes off a good effort in defeat at this level and he is another in with a shot in a race that has several options for the late Pick 4. (2) SPORTS BOX should close late to take another small share.