Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 10/1/26

Top Pick Stats: 546/1765 (-$930.60)

Best Bets: 63/159 (-$50.10); Spot Plays: 35/162 (-$94.00)

Best Bet: MADIGAN (Race 4)

Spot Play: TREACHEROUS WIND (Race 6)

Early Pick-5: 1,2,3/7,8/1,3,5/1/9 $3.60

Late Pick-5: 2,3,6/8/7,9/4/1,5,7 $3.60

Race 1: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (OS 3) RACES OR $20,000 (OS $25,000) LIFETIME.

I’ll look for (3) TWIN B SHOWBIZ to get away in decent enough order and use her late kick to outfinish her main rivals. (2) MONKEY TALK has excuses in his two starts at this level and could be set to improve with a positive post switch. (1) SPIROS was overmatched against the conditioned types he faced the other night. Look for him to rebound for a piece.

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Race 2: 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(8) JULIARD SEELSTER certainly looks the part after just one qualifier. We’ll see just how much she steps forward on debut. (7) LETS GO FISHIN just missed when last trying overnight company. I expect her to be right there again. (5) CAFFEINE QUEEN still has some upside potential and really hasn’t done much wrong yet. The right trip could see her get the job done.

Race 3: 2 YEAR OLDS: NW 1 (FM 2) RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(1) WHOOPDEDOO HANOVER gets a major post switch this week and should be a win contender if she gets away in decent order. (3) D A VOLUSIA likely had more to show us on debut but made an early miscue. He could be involved at a price. (5) LADY JAG was decent in her latest when racing from well off the pace but needs to show me more before I can become a believer.

Race 4: 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(1) MADIGAN trotted nicely on debut and looks to build off of that against a field that hasn’t shown much yet. (5) SPOILED TO A T was able to navigate the rail in her latest and trotted home nicely. She has the ability to win if she puts it all together. (9) BLUEGRASS BABE returns to Mohawk where she trotted some decent miles to begin her career.

Race 5: FILLIES & MARES 4YR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 (WINNERS FOR A PURSE $12,000 OR LESS 3 RACES) RACE OR $10,000 LIFE. NO ALLOWANCES. AE: 3 YO N/A $1,065 P/S IN 2026.

(9) WHT BLONDE HANOVER trotted a nice mile in her return and could be in line to pounce at a price if she steps forward. (6) DOUNEEDTHEMACHINE is inching closer to a win given her current form. She is hard to overlook. (5) UNSURPASSABLE busted near the back of the pack when trying to get involved. She likely tries to follow a helmet into contention.

Race 6: 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. WITH ALLOWANCES.

(2) TREACHEROUS WIND paced a solid mile on debut but hasn’t worked out a favorable trip since then. He could provide a price if placed closer to the lead. (3) WE WANT EAZY has a lot of raw speed but likely doesn’t have enough punch to hold off rivals or make a second move. (6) SIR GALLOWAY is progressing nicely and gets away from two okay colts. He could easily get the job done this week.

Race 7: FILLIES & MARES, 2 & 3 YEAR OLDS NW 2 RACES OR $15,000 (ON SIRED $18,750) LIFETIME. AE: 3 YR OLDS N/A $1,450 P/S IN 2026.

(8) SOPHIES SECRET paced home strongly in her latest and got herself a check from post ten. She should find herself right in the mix again. (6) SWEET LAKE should enjoy facing a slightly easier field tonight. She has plenty of early speed and should sustain her bid. (5) LUCY LOU WHO made an equipment break in her latest. That came after two sharp miles. She is a threat from this post.

Race 8: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES. AE: 3 YO NW $100 L8.

(7) PETE GREEN made a strong recovery after an early miscue and still got a check. He could be gone if he puts it all together. (9) ILOVEMESOMETACOS just tied the best mile of his career and should be right there again despite the wide draw. (6) NICKSIN finished fifth behind Ilovemesometacos and could still continue to improve given the limited starts.

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Race 9: 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(4) GLAM ROCK was out of position in a race that produced a final quarter sprint. She has the requisite speed on both ends of the mile. (1) A MOMENT OF GRACE hasn’t done much wrong in two career starts and looms as the main threat. (5) RULING MONARCH gets away from the rail where she broke from last week. I think a conservative drive could be in order.

Race 10: FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(5) HILARYS HITLIST got shuffled in her latest and I think is worth another try. Her price will likely be inflated. (7) SHOW MUST GO ON qualified nicely behind two superstar fillies and could be in line to return with a sharp effort. (1) FREIGHT TRAIN BABY has been the most consistent as of late and should be right in the mix again.