Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Sunday 12/26
Meet Stats: 411 - 1186 / $2,167.20 (-$204.80)
Best Bets: 60 - 107 / $208.80 (-$5.20)
Spot Plays: 29 - 109 / $198.20 (-$19.80)
Best Bet: COMMANDING OFFICER (11TH)
Spot Play: FOXY FIJI (10TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,5/3,4,6/1,4/3,6,9/1,2 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 2,7,9/4,5,6/1/2,5,6/5,8 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 3,6,9/1,2/2,7,9/4,5,6 = $54
Late Pick 4: 5,8/4/2,3,5/2,5,9 = $18
Race 1: Claiming $17,500 for NW $83,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(2) CUTTING CLASS comes right back at the same level he just won at and he draws great here; call to repeat as the likely chalk. (5) MACHED UP tried it first-over last week vs. the choice and that didn't work, so maybe JJ blasts this week and looks to race in the choice's pocket; using. (8) A BETTER MAN brings some good form in from Flamboro Downs and he did win over this track this year; using underneath. (10) ROYAL SHIP is getting closer each week and he could add some value to the bottom of the Tri or Super.
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Race 2: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,600 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 AE: Pop Up Starters
(4) TRACEUR HANOVER drops and likely pops as the chalk here. (3) FABRIZIO N was 2nd to a big favorite but set back last week. He fits well here and he is in the mix; using. (6) INTRIGUED AGAIN has really moved up since switching barns and he could do here on the class rise if he gets a decent trip. He is another for early Pick 5 consideration. (2) HES SWIFT tried to make two moves in a strangely run race where the winner uncorked a wild 25 2/5 kicker to sail by the leaders. He can take a share here.
Race 3: F&M NW $9,300 L5 or NW $18,000 L10 r NW $77,000 LT
(1) LAURAS LOVE gets both class and post relief here after missing a check from post 10 last week and she looks best vs. these; top call. (4) KENDALL SEELSTER has a similar profile as the choice and she should be put into the race earlier today; using. (8) MYSTIFYING was decent in her first local start after having been off a month and she is worth a look for the exotics at a price here. (5) SETTN A PRECEDENT is back in form and she can close for a piece of this despite facing tougher today.
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Race 4: CLM HDCP $12,000 t0 $18,000 - Pick 4
(6) RADLEY HANOVER was way too far back last time, but he gets a much better post now and he should rebound with a better effort; top call. (3) JUSTA BANDIT has been just a bridesmaid for several starts in a row and he is a contender, but you can't take a short price on him at this point. (9) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ is right there every week. He is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (7) PRESTIGE SEELSTER goes back to Moreau after being used up early with the claim in last week and he should improve here; using underneath.
Race 5: NW $16,000 L5 or $37,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000
If (1) THE GREEK FREAK can reproduce his wicked winning mile from last week, he likely won't get beat here; top call. (2) SWEET DEISEL gets to drop and move inside and that makes him a threat today; using. (7) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER also drops and post 7 is probably better for him than the rail. He is worth a look for the exotics today. (3) WIND BLOWN looked like a winner at the head of the lane last week, but there was no holding off the choice who kicked it into another gear late; using underneath.
Race 6: Valedictory Pacing Series 3YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 5
(2) CENTURY HANNIBAL showed last week that he is the fastest horse in this series and he should be hard to beat as he seeks the repeat tonight. (9) CHANTEE never misses the Exacta it seems and he probably offers value today starting from an outer post. (7) VP ROCKIN took a lot of action last week but he didn't make a move until late. His 25 3/5 kicker showed that he is sharp and he should be in the exotics mix again. (3) TAKE A GAMBLE tripped out to win on of the divisions of the first leg of this series but this seems like a tougher field and he will likely take a smaller share this time.
Race 7: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT
(5) DEAL WITH LUCUS was confidently driven to an easy win vs. NW2 and this isn't the strongest NW3 field; call to repeat. (4) MAGIC CAPE gets away from the hot Truffles Too this week and that gives him a better chance. He is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (6) AWORLDLY GOODTIMES took no money at the windows last week but he flashed home in 27 3/5 to take third. He has upset potential today. (7) JCS ROYAL TEASE has been really good in his three starts since returning from a break and he should take another slice here.
Race 8: PREFERRED
(1) WHEELS ON FIRE got trapped inside last week then rallied too late. I expect him to cut the mile here; top call. (5) SO MUCH MORE showed her heart racing first up and beating many of these boys last week. (7) JIMMY FREIGHT obviously needed his start last week after missing two years. A more conservative approach is likely today and I'll use him underneath. (6) BEYOND BETTER is right there every week and he can beat these with the right trip.
Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW 3 or $34,000 LT AE: 3YO or CLM $25,000 or NW $1,150/start LT
(6) KISSINBYTHEBEACHES was picked off late in the mile when the track seemed to be favoring middle-of-the-track closers last week. A similar effort can get the job done vs. these. (2) SAULSBROOK VICTOR was the one that chased the choice down and he looked good sailing by in deep stretch. He can be right there again today. (5) HIPPYJOHN stole one on the front end last week but he doesnt need the lead to win and he isn't out of this. (10) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE is razor-sharp right now and he probably won't get bet much here from the 10-hole. He is worth using on the bottom.
Race 10: NIAGARA PACING SERIES FINAL 3YO Fillies - Pick 4
(8) FOXY FIJI looked good winning here last week and she could be the third choice here starting from an outer post. I'll look for some value with her. (5) AWESOME HILL has been dominant in this series so far and she is the one to beat here. (2) JUST DAISY had to pace faster fractions last week and that softened her up late. She is another obvious contender but she could be in a similar predicament tonight; your call. (10) RACING FORTHE MARK picks up the leading driver after producing a nice late rally last week and she can get a piece of this at what should be a good price.
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Race 11: 5YO and Younger NW6 or $80,000
(4) COMMANDING OFFICER was dominant at this level two weeks in a row and a threepeat looms here. (6) SHADOW IN RED's first start back following a break and he can improve enough to be an Exacta factor today. (8) MAPPOS LION sat chilly and avoided some confusion at the head of the lane then he easily sailed by the leaders when he was fed some racetrack. He should be in the exotics mix tonight. (2) STONEBRIDGE REX should be up close early and stick around for another share.
Race 12: F&M NW $18,500 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $115,000 LT AE: 3YO
Missing a month between starts didn't matter to (2) TWIN B SUNKISSED last week as she was a strong winner vs. easier. She can take another here. (3) REALIZATION should be the one to fear on the class drop and starting from the inside; using. (5) MAJESTIC VIRGIN might have gone too slow early last week because she couldn't shake her persistent stablemate late in the mile. She isn't out of this. (6) BET ON BECKY is capable of better and she is another possibility, but I prefer to use her underneath.
Race 13: NW $8,500 L5 or $18,500 L5
(5) SPRINGBRIDGE JIM got used up on the engine after leaving from post 10 last week. He gets post relief now and he could bounce back in a big way; top call. (9) NIGHT WATCHMAN should be pointed towards the front leaving the gate today and that gives him a chance vs. these; using. (2) RESPECT OUR FLAG is another that draws better and he should produce a good late kick tonight; using. He is another possibility for the late Pick 4. (4) REAL WILLEY is a good one to use underneath on the class drop. (1) GRAND POOBAH likely sits a nice trip here and lands in the High-5.