Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 9/4

Meet Stats: 201 – 576 / $1096.10 (-$52.90)

Best Bets: 28 – 53 / $105.60 (-$0.40)

Spot Plays: 18 – 53 / $141.30 (+$35.30)

Best Bet: BETTERHAVEMYMONEY (2ND)

Spot Play: WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,4,6/2/1,2,6/2,7/1 = $3.60

Late Pick 5: 3,4,6/2,3,6,8/3,7/4/2,7,8 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 2,7/1/3,4,6/2,3,6,8 = $24

Late Pick 4: 2,7,8/2,6/2,5/3,5,9 = $36

Race 1: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) STONEBRIDGE HELIOS produced the kind of late rush you don't often see to get up from a near-impossible spot last time and he will be hard to hold off here if he gets a reasonable trip. (6) BOB LOBLAW keeps improving and he is a Grand Circuit winner now. His good tactical speed makes him a threat right back; using. (1) KOLBY TWO STEP took the fastest mark of any of these last time when he tripped out. He has done nothing wrong so far and he is another in with a shot here. (8) AVIATOR will probably get overlooked from his wide draw tonight. I see him landing in the Tri or Super.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(2) BETTERHAVEMYMONEY raced too good to lose last week. A slightly easier trip will make him very tough to beat here. (6) MAGICAL ARTHUR went from Grassroots to Grand Circuit successfully last week and he is razor-sharp and sure to be factor tonight. (7) DYNOMITES PEAK has an explosive late brush and the short field helps him here from a trip standpoint although pace could be an issue. I'll use him underneath in this spot. (1) CENTURY INSPECTOR's potent early speed will put him in a good spot early again and he can hang around to take another share.

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Race 3: GOODTIMES ELIMINATION 3YO

(6) FASHION FRENZIE is in peak form and he is one that I'll use on top due to the risk involved with the likely favorite (2) DANCINGINTHEDARK M. The latter is obviously the fastest colt in here, but his recent gait issues are worrisome for a horse that will likely be odds at post time. (1) ON A STREAK, last year's Breeders Crown winner, is good enough to win this and his trainer excels on getting his stock ready for big races. I might be more interested in him next week though; small share predicted. (4) LOGAN PARK should take another share racing close to the front.

Race 4: GOODTIMES ELIMINATION 3YO - Pick 4

(2) SONOFAMISTERY should improve sharply here getting away from Hambo winner Captain Corey and he gets top billing vs. these. (7) LOCATELLI similarly is in an easier spot and he should pose a challenge if he stays flat this time; using. (3) DAY AT THE GYM gets Jamieson back for this and he could add some value to the Tri as one of the longer shots in here. (1) MACHO MARTINI hasn't been the same horse this year and he hasn't finished in the top two once. Could he wake up in this spot? Maybe, but what we have seen from him so far this year makes that likelihood small.

Race 5: ROSES ARE RED FINAL

(1) LYONS SENTINEL has only one loss in her past five starts and that race might have been the best one of the five with her finishing 3rd in the Haughton after getting an impossible trip from post 10. She looks imposing here. (4) JK FIRST LADY was freshened for this by trainer Takter and she is worth a look as a likely overlay based on her past few starts. (6) PEAKY SNEAKY was third to the choice in two straight starts and she is an obvious one to use in the Tri or Super in this spot. (7) ROCKNIFICENT looked good winning here last week but this is tougher and a small share is predicted for her this time.

Race 6: NORTH AMERICA CUP ELIMINATION 3YO - Pick 5

(6) ROCKYROAD HANOVER's best race came on a big track two starts back where he was first up in the Cane Pace and just kept coming, and I'll side with him in a race where he has a good chance but is likely to get sent postward as an overlay. (3) BULLDOG HANOVER is hard to fault as he has been lights out recently, but he has faced mainly local horses so I’m not prepared to take 3 to 5 in this spot. (4) LAWLESS SHADOW's blinding speed shouldn't be underestimated as he will likely be the one to catch in this spot and Doc Moore will have him on his toes. (1) SOUTHWIND GENDRY will likely be looking to make a late charge and he can round out the Tri or Super tonight.

Race 7: NORTH AMERICA CUP ELIMINATION 3YO

(8) WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH impressed me last week as he really turned on the jets in the final 1/8th to take the win. He could be a great value play starting from the widest post. (6) PERFECT STING has never missed the board but he isn't as dominant this year as he was at two. He's the one to beat but he isn't invincible. (3) ABUCKABETT HANOVER is a bit of a hit or miss type but his best race puts him right there with these. Price is the biggest factor for me when contemplating a bet on him. (2) PIRATE HANOVER produced one of the fastest final 1/4s ever seen on this track last week but I'm still inclined to use him on the bottom facing tougher here.

Race 8: MAPLE LEAF TROT 3YO and Older

Here is another battle of the exciting (7) MANCHEGO vs. (3) ATLANTA war. I'll side with Manchego who will likely look to control the race throughout, understanding that Atlanta is capable of taking her down. (2) BEADS is having an outstanding season and if anyone is going to take the mares down or split them for the Exacta it's likely going to be him. (6) LINDY THE GREAT almost never misses the board and he will contend for a good share again.

Race 9: FAN HANOVER ELIMINATION 3YO Fillies

(4) HOT MESS EXPRESS is clearly the one to beat coming off her only loss of the season at Pocono but she will offer a very short price tonight. (3) MACKIE HANOVER is in solid form and Tetrick will put her in good position leaving the gate. She has upset potential as a possible pocket rocket in the lane. (2) SCARLETT HANOVER has recaptured her best form recently. She should be good for a share here. (7) GAME OF SHADOWS was in an impossible spot racing fifth over at the 3/4 pole last week. I can see her passing a few of these late and making the final.

Race 10: CANADIAN PACING DERBY 3YO and Older Pick 4

(2) TATTOO ARTIST’s blinding speed has been on full display in his past two starts and if he can steal any kind of a breather tonight, he will be tough to catch. (7) ALLYWAG HANOVER has never been better and he can produce a big mile racing from anywhere. He is the one to beat tonight. (8) CATCH THE FIRE gets Zeron back tonight and he drives him best. He isn't out of this but I'm inclined to use him underneath from the 8-hole. (1) THIS IS THE PLAN gets his regular driver back, too, but the 1-hole is no bargain in a race where several should be blasting; using underneath.

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Race 11: FAN HANOVER ELIMINATION 3YO Fillies

(6) FIRE START HANOVER lands in a good spot here and Dunn will likely be looking to impose his will early; top call. (2) TWIN B SUNKISSED is on fire at the moment and Gingras takes the return drive. She is the other one that I'll use in the late Pick 4. (5) VOELZ DELIGHT has made the board in all nine starts this year and her streak should continue here. (3) NOTORIOUS PINK twice paced in 1:49 1/5 at the Red Mile while dominating weaker, but she could be overbet in this tougher spot. I'll use her underneath.

Race 12: NW $26,500 L5 or $30,000 L10 or NW7 or $170,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $55,000

(5) FORTIFY has big speed and teamster Dunn should fit him like a glove. I'll give him the nod in this spot. (2) MAYHEM HANOVER took a lot of action in the top class last week and he chased the winner home while racing first up. He should be a threat at this level. (1) ENAVANT qualified between starts which is a tactic his trainer uses frequently with some success. He is a tough grinding win machine that can't be tossed despite the class rise. (6) SWEET DEISEL is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics on the class drop.

Race 13: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(3) BEYOND BETTER was racing well before he went to Georgian and raced over his head. Put a line through that race. He gets Macdonald tonight and top billing here. (9) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER is likely going to set sail for the front on the class drop and try to bottom out the field and he is capable at this level; using. (5) WIND BLOWN should get a covered trip tonight and that gives him a chance to upset. He is another with a shot in a race that offers several viable options. (6) GROOVY JOE was moving well at the wire last week. He should get a piece of this. (1) HERVEY HANOVER drops again and he should be part of the High-5 at a minimum.