Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 9/23

Top Pick Stats: 440 - 1304 / $2,370.20 (-$237.80)

Best Bets: 70 - 124 / $242.00 (-$6.00)

Spot Plays: 23 - 125 / $145.80 (-$94.70)

Best Bet: CAVIART BELLE (5TH)

Spot Play: AMERICAN HISTORY (12TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,4,5,6,9/1,2,8/1,4/3,5/3 = $12

Late Pick 5: 6,9/2,4,6,7,8/4,5/5,8,9/2,3 = $24

Early Pick 4: 3,5/3/6,9/2,4,5,6,8 = $4

Late Pick 4: 5,8,9/2,3/1,2,7/4,7,9 = $10.80

Race 1: NW $15,000 L5 or $26,000 L10 AE: NW7 or $100,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

Great betting race here to kick off an outstanding card. (2) FABRIZIO N scored an upset last time he raced this low, and he could trip out and score an upset here. (9) LEVINE hasn’t raced since 9/3, but Zeron probably isn't shipping him north for the scenery and he faces easier in this spot. He is one of several in with a chance. (6) THE GREEK FREAK dropped and popped now he steps back up. His sub-1:50 speed puts him in the picture. (4) MATAI LOUIS N races tough every week and he should be right there again tonight.

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Race 2: FREE FOR ALL TROT

(2) FASHION FRENZIE bounced back from the Yonkers International Trot with flair, and he gets the call to repeat here. (1) AMIGO VOLO will be a big threat here if he is okay coming off a vet scratch; using. (8) PEMBERTON’s best race beats almost anyone, and he will offer a good price in this spot. He is another to consider for the early Pick 5. (6) ONEY HALL is in great form, and he will be in the exotics mix again.

Race 3: FILLIES AND MARES PREFERRED

Superstar sophomore (4) SYLVIA HANOVER doesn't need to win this race, but if she is in contention at the 1/8th pole, she will be very hard to beat. (1) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN will likely be the biggest threat exiting the Milton. (5) SO MUCH MORE has had a ton of hard races over the past several months and she may be getting a bit tired now, but there aren't many gamer than her and she should take a share in here. (3) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON is razor sharp and she is in the exotics mix here despite facing tougher.

Race 4: ELEGANTIMAGE FINAL 3YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(3) ROSE RUN YOLANDA had to wait for room in the lane last week and when she finally found it, she closed full of trot. I'll give her a slight nod over the filly that beat her, (5) BOND, who should be the one to catch again. (6) RIGHTEOUS RESOLVE rode a golden pace trip on the engine to victory in the slower elimination. I see her taking a share this time. (8) TACTICAL MOUNDS was patiently driven, and she closed for a slice last week. She can land in the exotics at a price tonight.

Race 5: SHES A GREAT LADY FINAL 2YO FILLIES

(3) CAVIART BELLE is a legitimate superstar that will take beating here at a short price. (5) IT’S A LOVE THING keeps improving and she flashed impressive sub-26 late speed to win her elim. She can complete the Exacta here. (7) MY GIRL EJ came close to beating the choice four starts back and she should be tighter for this start, but beating the choice will likely be a tall order here. (2) ODDS ON PLATINUM never misses the top four. Use her on the bottom.

Race 6: FREE FOR ALL PACE - Pick 5

(6) WARRAWEE VITAL seems to save his best races for these big cards and I'll call him to upset facing some rivals who may be using this race as a prep. (9) TATTOO ARTIST is currently one of the best older pacers on the continent and he will be hard to beat if he gets put into this race early enough. (4) LINEDRIVE HANOVER seems to race best at home, and he should be in the mix vs. these. (7) FUNATTHEBEACH N races best on a 1/2-mile track, but he can land a share in this spot.

Race 7: METRO PACE FINAL 2YO OPEN

(7) CAPTAINS QUARTERS was hammered at the windows last week, but he never got going in time to threaten the winner. I think he gets put into this race earlier and chases the leaders down late. (2) LEGENDARY HANOVER kept his unbeaten record intact, but he looked vulnerable late to me. He will need more than a 28 kicker to keep his streak alive. (6) CLEVER CODY wants the front, and he will probably take a back seat to no one early in this mile. Doc Moore's stock has been on fire and this colt is in with a chance here. (4) CAPTAIN LUKE flew late last week, and he can close for a share here.

Race 8: CANADIAN TROTTING CLASSIC FINAL 3 YEAR OLD OPEN

(5) CELEBRITY BAMBINO changed his racing style after the Beal four starts back and he looked good powering down the middle of the track to win his elimination last week. He gets a slight nod over the other elim winner (4) UP YOUR DEO who was also impressive last week. (7) WINNERS BET followed the choice home, but he couldn’t catch him. He is often one paced late and I'll use him underneath here. I’d like (9) GAINES HANOVER more if he drew better. From out there, he likely closes late for a slice.

Race 9: MOHAWK MILLION 2YO OPEN - Pick 4

(5) DRAWN IMPRESSION draws perfectly here and if she is recovered from her illness, she can rally past these to take home half a million. (8) TCI is 8 for 9 and he regularly uses his speed to control races and steal breathers. He's hard to leave out at this point. (9) SECURITY PROTECTED closed from an impossible spot to finish 3rd behind the choice last time. He has upset potential here. (10) EMOJI HANOVER is a good one but beating this group from post 10 is unlikely. I'll use her underneath.

Race 10: NW $22,000 L5 or $34,000 L8 AE: NW $150,000 LT

(2) JABBERWOCKY always gets sent on a speed mission when Zeron drives, and he is the one to catch again here. (3) COLD CREEK QUESO finished a nose behind the choice last week and he figures to be the main threat. (1) LIVINTHEBEACHLIFE will likely sit a covered trip then look to rally late; price look for the exotics. (4) RON takes frequent shares, and he can close for a small slice vs. these.

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Race 11: 5YO and younger winners of 2 but not more than 5 or $49,500 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

(2) BETTER B BOLD raced tough first up at this level last week to just miss and he gets the nod tonight. (7) SERIOUS DRAGON, left, sat in, then had no racing luck as he was trapped in until very late. Post improvement gives him a chance tonight. Sophomore stakes colt (1) VERDUN fits well here but I wonder what kind of trip he'll get starting from the rail. I'll use him underneath. (9) BROOKDALE MIKI comes off a strong effort but is hindered by a wide post draw here; small share predicted.

Race 12: NW $9,200 L5 or $14,500 L10

(4) AMERICAN HISTORY had no shot starting from the 12-hole behind a horse that doesn't leave quickly last time. Getting no money from that start allows him to drop here and he will likely get sent on an all-out speed mission; top call. (9) NO FREE LUNCH was also in a tough spot racing in that same 12-horse field last time and he closed well but also missed a check. He should be heard from late tonight. (7) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER races well at this level and he is another to consider for late Pick 4 tickets. (10) CODENAME CIGAR BOX is another dropper that should improve, but a small share is likely for him starting from the widest post. (5) WIND BLOWN can sit a trip racing near the front and land in the bottom of the exotics.