Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 9/17

Meet Stats: 509 - 1574 / $2,611,70 (-$536.30)

Best Bets: 79 - 144 / $269.50 (-$18.50)

Spot Plays: 38 - 145 / $262.50 (-$27.50)

Best Bet: SAVETHELASTDANCE (3RD)

Spot Play: POWERTRAIN (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,6/2,5,6/4/6/3,4,6 = $5.40

Late Pick 5: 5/1,3,4/4/5,6,7,9/2,4 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 6/3,4,6/5/1,3,4 = $9

Late Pick 4: 5,6,7,9/2,4/5,6/2,5,8 = $48

Race 1: 3YO Fillies **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) WARRAWEE XENIA delivered a devastating late kick to get a Grand Circuit win last time and she gets the call to repeat here. (2) ADARE CASTLE is always the one to catch and beat it seems and she could get a bigger jump on the choice this time; using. (3) SAUNDRA was right there vs. a good filly in the Simcoe and she is in with a chance in a race where intent is a factor. (5) MISCHEVIOUS ROSE should close late for another share.

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Race 2: NW $12,000 L5 or $22,000 L8 of NW6 LT

(2) CADILLAC BAYAMA was first up in a very fast mile now he drops. He can beat these if he gets a better trip. (5) COMMANDING OFFICER had no room whatsoever in the lane two starts back then jogged last week. He stapes back up but he is sharp and dangerous. (6) LEGION SEELSTER gets post and class relief and he has been flying home recently. He is another one in with a chance in a good betting race. (9) THATLL BE SPORTY likely sits and rallies here; using underneath at a price.

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Race 3: SHES A GREAT LADY ELIMINATION 2YO Fillies

(4) SAVETHELASTDANCE looked like a really good one right from the start, now she is getting faster which is bad news for her rivals. She adds Lasix here and she gets top billing. Shipper (7) CHARLESTON has done little wrong so far and she should be the main threat. (6) REGGAE HANOVER has looked really good winning her last two starts and she should be an exotics factor here. (5) HORIZONTAL can take a slice at a price here.

Race 4: METRO PACE ELIMINATION 2YO OPEN - Pick 4

(6) SAVE AMERICA should be as tight as a drum here coming back in seven days from his Grand Circuit win and he should be better this week. He is the clear top choice. (3) ACE OF ACES got a golden trip following the choice and he had a clear shot at him in the lane but he couldn't go by. More of the same is likely here. (2) MOMENT IS HERE produced a good closing effort in that same race and he is in the mix again. (1) GOLDIN GREATNESS finished 3rd to the choice three starts back. He should close for a slice here.

Race 5: NW $25,000 L5 or $155,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $100,000

(6) POWERTRAIN just paced a 52 1/5 back 1/2 and he moves to the best post tonight. Speed blast coming? (3) WHEELS ON FIRE faces his easiest test in several starts and he is an obvious threat. He is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (4) LAWLESS SHADOW got a good trip and he had a clear shot in the lane, but he ended up getting passed by the choice. He is likely a fringe player again. (2) SAULSBROOK VICTOR is typically around the money and I see him taking a slice off a following trip tonight.

Race 6: SHES A GREAT LADY ELIMINATION 2YO Fillies - Pick 5

(5) SYLVIA HANOVER has been nothing short of sensational winning two Grand Circuit wins in a row and she will be very hard to beat at a short price here. (1) CAVIART DAVIA hasn’t been able to handle the choice in two straight and she likely completes another chalky Exacta here. (6) BELLISIMA HANOVER was first up against the choice last time and that was never going to work out. I think she sits and rallies for a share here. (7) BANKERS LUCK never missed the top 4. She is in the Super here, too.

Race 7: 3YO Colts and Geldings Grassroots starters

(4) KAPORAL gets away from white-hot Kobra Kai tonight and he should handle this group. (1) CHUCKY HANOVER won one of these races two starts back then stepped up to try the Grand Circuit. He is the obvious threat. (3) TWIN B JAMMER had no chance of closing into a 26 4/5 kicker last week. He is worth a look at a price tonight. (6) DYNOMITES PEAK likely sits and rallies for a small share in this spot.

Race 8: METRO PACE ELIMINATION 2YO OPEN

Unbeaten (4) STOCKADE SEELSTER is getting faster and he is the clear one to beat as the big favorite here. (6) TICKERTAPE HANOVER is blossoming at the perfect time and he is the most likely upsetter here. (2) STORMALONG gets his nose back on the gate tonight and I can see him getting a good trip and landing in the Tri at a price. Lightly-raced (5) ANTS MARCHING has gait issues but also flashed some talent. He can be an exotics factor if he stays flat.

Race 9: OPEN HANDICAP - Pick 4

(9) TATTOO ARTIST was terrific in defeat to Bulldog Hanover in the Pacing Derby and he gets top call here. (5) WARRAWEE VITAL should be much better moving to the middle of the gate tonight. He’s another one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (6) CODENAME CIGAR BOX would have won easier if a rival didn't pop the pocket on him at the 3/4 pole last week. He is too sharp to ignore. (7) POSEIDON SEELSTER is sharp and he should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 10: MILTON STAKES FINAL F&M 3YO and Older

(4) TEST OF FAITH was patiently handled in her elimination and she got up on the line. She tends to be more aggressive in finals with the big money on the line. I wouldn't be surprised if she wins by open lengths here. (2) MIKALA was a very good 2nd to the choice last week. She has upset potential here. (1) SO MUCH MORE was dead game in defeat and she likely looks for more of a trip tonight. I'll use her underneath. (3) GRACE HILL flew late to take her elim, but it was two seconds slower than the choice's race. I'll use her on the bottom here.

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Race 11: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

(6) SOUTHSIDE EDDY was trapped and loaded until deep stretch last week and once he finally found racetrack, he absolutely flew to get up right on the line. I'll give him the call to repeat off that win. (5) MOMAS SON BYRNE couldn't have been more impressive taking a new life's mark while winning off the Auciello claim; using. (4) ST LADS STERLING is more than capable but he tends to underperform in non-stakes to this point. I'll use him underneath. (8) BETTERHAVEMYMONEY got a late start to his sophomore season and he is improving. He can take a slice here.

Race 12: NW $6,000 L5 or $12,000 L10 AE: N/A $1,880 Per Start in 2021 or 2022

(8) B STONEY drops again making his second start since being a sick scratch and he should offer a good price here; top call. (5) JM JACK OF HEARTS tends to perform best at levels similar to this one and he is another that figures to improve on the class drop; using. (2) WOODMERE STEALDEAL was okay last week in a tough spot chasing a sub-1:50 winner. He is in the mix here. (10) ARTIES IDEAL is interesting in this spot with Henry picking him over the choice but I think he takes a small share starting from the worst post. (4) RESPECT OUR FLAG draws better here and he can come on late to grab a check.