Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 9/16

Top Pick Stats: 429 - 1252 / $2,314.50 (-$289.50)

Best Bets: 68 - 120 / $236.50 (-$3.50)

Spot Plays: 22 - 120 / $145.80 (-$94.20)

Best Bet: CAVIART BELLE (3RD)

Spot Play: OSCEOLA (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 5,6/1,3,6/6/5,7/2,3,5,6 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 3,5,6/4,8/4,7/1,2,5,6/4 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 5,7/2,3,5,6/3,5,6/4,8 = $9.60

Late Pick 4: 1,2,5,6/4/2,3,5,10/2,7 = $6.40

Race 1: SHES A GREAT LADY ELIMINATION 2YO FILLIES **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) MY GIRL EJ shows recent narrow defeats to unbeaten Geocentric and fast filly Caviart Belle. I think Miller takes no prisoners here. (6) IT'S A LOVE THING is improving with each start and she figures to be the main threat to the choice. (1) ROCKET DEO's good gate speed should facilitate getting position early and finishing in the Tri. (3) REIGNING JADE should be good for a slice if she stays flat.

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Race 2: CANADIAN TROTTING CLASSIC ELIMINATION 3YO OPEN

Goodtimes winner (6) SOUTHWIND COORS indicated a return to best form in the Simcoe and he gets a slight nod here. (1) UP YOUR DEO is classy and fast but Svandstedt probably won't be in a hurry with him early in this elimination race. I'd be wary of price here. (3) CHAPERCRAZ is one of few that normally leave hard in here and I could see Bongiorno making a mid race move and trying to get away on the field; using. Local hope (4) TUSCAN PRINCE should be in the mix if he stays flat this time.

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Race 3: SHES A GREAT LADY ELIMINATION 2YO fillies

(6) CAVIART BELLE couldn’t have looked any better dominating in the Eternal Camnation and she is the clear top pick here but she will be a big favorite. (4) WATCHING YOU comes off a good try in the Champlain and she could offer some Exacta value here. (3) ELODIE HANOVER was no match for Pass Line but not many are. She is in the exotics mix here. (1) BETTOR SISTERS should close late to land in the Super.

Race 4: ELEGANTIMAGE ELIMINATION: 3 YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(7) QUICK STOP was getting to the winner in the New Jersey Classic final. She is sharp and has improved her late speed in recent starts; top call. (5) RIGHTEOUS RESOLVE is stuck on one win this year but she was better last time when nailed late by a razor sharp Climb The Pole. She would be no surprise here. (4) BARONESS HILL is in the mix every race and she should be in the Tri here. (2) PURE HOPE S is improving but this is a tougher spot; using underneath.

Race 5: NW $26,700 L5 AE: NW 9 or $140,000 LT

(5) EMMETTS BUDDY has looked awesome winning two in a row and he should get a setup for his powerful late kick; a threepeat looms. (2) SOUTHSIDE EDDY faces tougher here but he is razor sharp and just took a new lifetime mark; using. (6) SAULSBROOK VICTOR is in a better spot here and he should be a threat but I prefer to use him underneath. (3) ROCKABILLY REBEL N is hot but this is tougher. Small share predicted for him tonight.

Race 6: CANADIAN TROTTING CLASSIC ELIMINATION 3YO OPEN - Pick 5

(6) OSCEOLA raced tough in the Simcoe and he should get a good trip racing near the front tonight; top call. (3) WINNERS BET had little chance with the trip he got from the 10 hole two weeks ago and he figures to be the main threat here. (5) GAINES HANOVER took an overdue win in the Simcoe and he isn't without a chance here. (2) CELEBRITY BAMBINO will be an early speed presence but I'll try to beat him as the likely favorite in this spot where there are other viable options that will offer better prices.

Race 7: METRO PACE ELIMINATION: 2 YO OPEN

(8) LEGENDARY HANOVER might face his biggest test here because the opening 1/2 will likely be faster than any that he has encountered to date, but he should be up to it. (4) CHAIN GANG took heavy action last week when 2nd to the choice and he gets Zeron this week. He will probably turn the tables one of these times, maybe tonight? (6) HUNTINGFORCHROME has a fast mark and high speed and he has upset possibilities here. (1) BOOMING ECONOMY will likely get a good trip from the inside and land in the exotics.

Race 8: ELEGANTIMAGE ELIMINATION: 3 YO FILLIES

(4) BOND comes off a game win and Svandstedt’s stock tends to fire fresh. She is the one to beat here. (7) TACTICAL MOUNDS scored a lifetime-best win in an impressive mile from the widest post last week in the New Jersey Classic final. She is sharp and dangerous. (1) CALL ME GOO showed her mettle jogging in the Casual Breeze, and Doc Moore's stock couldn't be going any better. She will probably offer a good price if you like her tonight. Local hope (5) CLIMB THE POLE is on a roll and she should be in the exotics despite facing tougher tonight.

Race 9: METRO PACE ELIMINATION: 2 YO OPEN - Pick 4

(1) CAPTAINS QUARTERS has done well in his past two starts despite being out of position due to post position. He should get a better trip here and he should offer some value; slight nod. (2) MIRAGE HANOVER has done little wrong so far and he is drawn well here. He obviously has a big shot tonight. (6) CLEVER CODY gets and acid test here but he couldn't be much sharper. He is another contender in what shapes up as a competitive elimination. (5) REMEMBER THE ALAMO converted in a Grand Circuit race last week and he gets McNair back now. He has potential to ascend this week and next and upset possibilities.

Race 10: MILTON STAKES FINAL: FILLIES & MARES 3 YEAR OLDS & OLDER

(4) SILVER LABEL got two tighteners in over this track now she gets Zeron back for this lucrative Grand Circuit race. Her best wins this. (6) GRACE HILL is having a great year and she got a nice qualifier in over this track. She is 5 for 6 at Mohawk Park, including a win in last year's Breeders Crown. She is obviously very dangerous. (2) MIKALA wasn't far behind the choice in the Lady Liberty in a good effort on Hambletonian day and could trip out here. She is another in with a chance. (5) PROHIBITION LEGAL, stablemate to the choice, tripped out and edged that rival and her best puts her right there with these, but I'm inclined to use her underneath this time expecting her to get a tougher trip chasing faster fractions.

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Race 11: 5YO and younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

(5) DRAGON ENERGY added Lasix and looked sharp winning at this level last week and he gets the call to repeat here. Gold sires stakes sophomores (3) BETTER B BOLD and (2) MIDNIGHT NATION are both more than capable at this level but the Superfinals are coming in four weeks, so it's doubtful either will be going full throttle here. Your call but I'd demand a price on either. (10) SERIOUS DRAGON should improve in this second start for the Stable, but he must overcome the widest draw. His price will be much higher than 4 to 5 this week if you still like him.

Race 12: NW $14,700 L5 AE: NW 8 LT – HIGH FIVE MANDATORY PAYOUT

(2) HP MOMENTUM is in top form and he should get a good setup for his late kick here. My tickets for this mandatory High-5 bet will focus on him in the top two positions. (7) NO FREE LUNCH took a few starts to reach his best form and he is sharp and dangerous now. He is another that should be flying late here. (4) POINTS NORTH was a strong winner last week and he can be a factor again despite stepping up in class. (6) ROCKME ROLLME has Brennan listed and if he drives, he will likely send this gelding for as far as he goes. He should get a piece of this. (1) CENTURY HEINEKEN gets McNair back and that makes him a threat in a spot where he could trip out. (5) RON rarely misses a check. He is a good one to use underneath here. (11) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER is capable of sneaking into the High-5 from his second tier post and he will offer a big price with Plante driving this time.

My 20-Cent Tickets: 2/1,4,6,7/1,4,6,7/1,4,5,6,7,11/1,4,5,6,7,11,12 = $38.40

1,4,6,7/2/1,4,6,7/1,4,5,6,7,11/1,4,5,6,7,11,12 = $38.40