Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 8/7

Meet Stats: 132 – 387 / $745.30 (-$28.70)

Best Bets: 19 – 37 / $76.60 (+$2.60)

Spot Plays: 15 – 37 / $102.40 (+$28.40)

Best Bet: THE GREEK FREAK (10TH)

Spot Play: JIM BLUE (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,5/1,2,5/4,7/2,3,6,9/8 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 1,2,5/2,4,8/1,2,8/3,4,6/5 = $16.20

Early Pick 4: 2,3,6,9/8/1,2,5/2,4,8 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,2,8/3,4,6/5/5,8,9 = $27

Race 1: F&M NW $33,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000 **$100,000 GTD Pick 5**

(3) TREACHEROUS REIGN invades Mohawk Park and she lands in a spot where she should have a very good chance of winning for the second time this year; top call. (2) KARMA SEELSTER has been knocking heads with the best mares on the grounds every week and she has been right there most of the time. She is an obvious threat tonight. (5) MAJOR OCCASION A was third to the top two mares on the grounds last week and neither fits this class tonight. She is in with a shot here. (7) MARLOE HANOVER should be good for another small share in this spot.

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Race 2: F&M NW $8,500 L5 or $17,000 L8 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(5) TOWN DELINQUENT has caught fire in her past two starts and while she faces tougher here, she might be this good right now. (2) WESTBEACH, the choice's stablemate, faces easier here and she is likely looking to try to take these all the way on the front end; using. (1) GOODNIGHT IRENE seems to race best with Macdonald in the bike and he returns here. Her last effort was good and she's not out of this. (6) TUAPEKA JESSIE N is capable of better than she has shown in recent starts. She can make it into the Super tonight.

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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(7) JIM BLUE understandably tired last time after pacing to the 3/4 in 1:21 4/5 chasing an unyielding leader. He should last much longer here and he gets the nod. (4) MR CHARISMA raced well here in the slop two starts back vs. tougher and he is in with a good shot here. (10) DO YOU SEE IT should blast for position and hang around for a share at a price. (8) ISLAND BEACH BOY has become a money burner and I can only use him underneath at this point.

Race 4: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 or NW $60,000 LT - Pick 4

The only thing that stopped (2) UNIQUE BEACH in Saratoga was the second-tier post. He could fire a big one first time racing out of the Fellows barn; top call. The other U.S. invader (3) UNLOADED N seems to fit well here in this first start for perennial leading trainer Moreau; using. (6) NICKLE BAG never got a breather last week. This should be a better spot and he is the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (9) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N gets away from the tough Hes Swift and he should take a share here.

Race 5: NW $30,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $80,000

(8) WARRAWEE VITAL makes his second start back over this track and he returns to a 7-day cycle tonight. He could be sitting on a big mile and I expect an aggressive Henry steer. (4) HAIL CHRISTIAN N just took a new life's mark here last week and he is the obvious danger racing on or near the front again. (5) MATTICULOUS GB got a great trip last week but the top two were just too good and he couldn't reach late. Another small share is likely for him tonight. (3) MAYHEM HANOVER should close late for another share.

Race 6: NW $12,000 L5 or $24,000 L10 or NW $75,000 LT - Pick 5

(5) HES SWIFT tried to make a big move on the final turn in a 12-horse field last week and he did well to get 4th. He should get a much better trip here racing close to the front and he gets the nod. (1) SWEET DEISEL has one win this year and it came at this level with McNair driving. That pilot returns here and they race at a level similar to the one he was at for that win; using. (2) BEYOND BETTER got to stretch his legs in a fast race facing better. He is worth a look against this group. (6) ROCKIN N TALKIN should be closing late here for a share.

Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $34,000 LT or NW1 in 2020-2021 AE: Grassroots starters in 2021

(4) LOU ED ZEPPELIN gets a driver change from Toscani to Drury tonight; look out! (8) SHADOW IN RED was excellent here last week shaving a few seconds off his lifetime mark. He is hard to leave out coming off that performance. (2) QUICK TOUR raced decently in a tough race and he can land in the Tri here. (7) TWIN B EAGLE is capable but his gait issues keep resurfacing. I'd need a price to play him.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 4

Interesting Gold race here with 12 of them lined up and two of the best ones drawing wide. I'm thinking (2) SECOND BRUSIER could get a golden trip and he should offer a good price; slight now. (1) BETTOR SUN was out in 54 3/5 and home in 54 2/5 to take a new mark of 1:49 flat when beating easier. McNair in going to be looking to seat them all heading into the first turn, isn't he? The 2020 Battle of Waterloo winner is a threat to lead all the way. (8) BULLDOG HANOVER has already shown that he can endure a long trip and win one of these races. He is hard to leave out. (9) LAWLESS SHADOW gets Mark Macdonald for this and he is another that will be looking to blast early in a race that could get western in a hurry. I'll use him on the bottom expecting him to get stung.

Race 9: NW $8,000 L5 or $18,500 L8

(4) GROOVY JOE looked sharp winning with Lasix added last week and he gets the call to repeat here. (3) CAPTAIN VIDEO tied his life's mark and he is another who is razor-sharp right now although he does seem to be a bit trip dependent. (6) HERVEY HANOVER paced a big mile in defeat that included a 26 4/5 third 1/4 blast to the front. He certainly isn't out of this. (2) CASIMIR RICHIE P is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics on the class drop.

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Race 10: NW $16,000 L5 or $26,000 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(5) THE GREEK FREAK gets the driver change he needs here and he should improve sharply with McNair in the bike. (3) NOCTURNAL BLUE CHIP fits better here and he is another that should get a better result tonight; Exacta factor. Takter trainee (4) FORTIFY exits some fast races at the Meadowlands and he isn't out of place vs. these but I prefer to use him underneath. (1) COLD CREEK CABO should sit a trip and take a small share.

Race 11: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,200 L10

(8) LETS GET PICKLED was live last week racing out of a new barn with Jamieson driving but he was unlucky, having to move wide early due to a dead flow. He was pacing well at the wire and he can beat these with a slightly better trip. (9) BIG BULLY drops and gets Macdonald here and he was a winner last time he raced at this level four starts back; price look. (5) GRAND POOBAH hasn't raced this low in a while and he came close twice racing one level higher. He makes sense racing at this level; using. (1) CORTEZ THE KILLER finished ahead of the choice last week and he should be part of the Super tonight. (10) MAJOR HILL is another dropper that should take a check despite drawing widest.