Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 8/28

Meet Stats: 183 – 530 / $999.40 (-$60.60)

Best Bets: 26 – 49 / $98.80 (+$0.80)

Spot Plays: 17 – 49 / $122.00 (+$24.00)

Best Bet: PROHIBITION LEGAL (12TH)

Spot Play: PLAY JET RAY (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,8,9/1,6/1,4,5,10/4,6/2,3,5,8 = $38.40

Late Pick 5: 1,2,4/4,9/3,4,6/3,6/3,7,8 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 4,6/2,3,5,8/1,2,4/4,9 $48

Late Pick 4: 3,7,8/1,4/5/1,2,7,9 = $24

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $66,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) CENTURY HEINEKEN wasn't far behind the best sophomore pacer in the country last week and I'll give him the nod here hoping he will offer a square price from his outside post. (1) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N has been used hard in both of his last two starts with mixed results. If he finds a live helmet to follow tonight, he could win this. (9) NO PLAN INTENDED is another Grassroots performer that fits well here but it's hard to predict how he will be raced from a wide post tonight; demand a price. (4) LETS GET PICKLED has excelled racing out of the Bishop barn, but he took a lucky win last time when two rivals that were surely going to beat him to the wire locked wheels, allowing him to rally past late. I'll use him on the bottom tonight.

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Race 2: NASSAGAWEYA 2YO OPEN

(6) NAUTICAL HANOVER is still a maiden but he was getting really good at the end of the Dream Maker series. He can roll by these late if he is close enough at the 3/4 pole. (1) AVIATOR had a good first-over tightener for this in a race where the final 1/4 was paced in 27 1/5. He should be a big threat tonight. (4) CENTURY INSPECTOR is hard to toss coming off a nice effort that got him 2nd in a Gold race; using. (2) CONTACT ZONE was an easy winner vs. Grassroots foes but this should be much tougher and I'll play to beat him in a spot where he will likely get overbet.

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Race 3: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,500 L10 or NW $115,000 LT

There are several ways you can go in a very tough race here. I'll side with (1) COLD CREEK CABO, who was less than five lengths back in a track-record equaling mile at Georgian Downs. (5) WIND BLOWN set some big splits and was unlucky to get beat by a rival that enjoyed an inside ride for the first 15/16ths of the mile. He has a decent chance here despite moving up one level. (4) REAL WILLEY moved up with McNair in the bike as many do and I'll use him in this Pick 5 tonight. (10) HES SWIFT has a knack for blowing up the tote board and he is sure to be a big price from the 10-hole tonight. There are worse bombs that you could throw a flyer down on.

Race 4: NASSAGAWEYA 2YO OPEN - Pick 4

(6) BETTERHAVEMYMONEY came up a bit flat last time after a very hard race in the Battle of Waterloo two starts back. He has had some time to recover and I'll give him the nod to bounce back here. (4) WEARINMYSIXSHOOTER invades for the Takter barn and he brings sharp form north. He is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (2) BOB LOBLAW was hard-used in a Gold race last time and he responded with a good effort. He has upset potential here if he can work out an easier trip. (8) ATLAS HANOVER should be good for a share in this spot and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 5: SIMCOE 3YO FILLIES

(3) TWIN B SUNKISSED has caught fire in her past two starts and her price should be good here moving up from the Grassroots; call to upset. (5) VOELZ DELIGHT has been one of the best in this division all year and she should be the one to beat here; using. (8) GAME OF SHADOWS would be rated higher from an inside post. She is capable, but, she is going to have to work out a trip from out there. (2) GOOD NIGHT MOON had a good first-over tightener for this and she is another that merits a look for multi-race tickets.

Race 6: ETERNAL CAMNATION 2YO FILLIES - Pick 5

(2) I LOVE ONGAIT should get an easier trip here starting from the inside and she gets top billing in her Grand Circuit debut. (1) FADE OUT paced her best mile to date last week and she should be a player tonight. (4) AMERICAN TICKET comes off a sharp try and she brings Gingras north with her. She is an obvious threat. (7) ONE LAST BET was a distant second to a filly that freaked last time. She should be in the exotics mix at a minimum in this field.

Race 7: NW $5,000 L5 or $13,800 L10

(4) PLAY JET RAY gets McNair here and he quite often wakes these types up; call to upset. (9) TRACEUR HANOVER is the class of this field and he should be blasting and looking to lead this all the way; using. (5) MAJOR CUSTARD is 0 for 2021, but he was only a head back last time he raced in this class. He isn't impossible in this spot. (8) JKNR LIKETELL can pass many of these and take another slice tonight.

Race 8: SOMEBEACHSOMEWHERE 3YO OPEN

(6) WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH ships north with three very sharp miles in tow and he is strictly the one to beat here. (3) DESPERATE MAN has improved his form in his last three starts and he should be an Exacta factor here starting from a good post. (4) SECOND BRUISER was used too hard last time in the first 1/2. He should go better here and take a share. (1) STONEBRIDGE REX was dominant vs. Grassroots foes while uncorking a big mile. Let's see if he can repeat it in Grand Circuit company.

Race 9: FILLIES AND MARES OPEN-ROSES ARE RED ELIGIBLES PREFERRED

(6) ROCKNIFICENT should be able to get to the 1/2 in 54 and change this time which is what she needs to get the job done; top call. (3) SO MUCH MORE brings her 'A' game every week and she is the one to fear. (2) GIAS SURREAL was good here last week and she could be even better coming back on a 7-day rotation tonight; using underneath. (7) MACHNHOPE has 18 wins in her last 52 starts and she isn't out of this but I prefer to use her underneath.

Race 10: PREFERRED HANDICAP - Pick 4

(3) BEST IN SHOW takes a big step up here but he was impressive last week and he could double up if he repeats that effort. (7) CENTURY FARROH is always a threat racing on or near the front and he should be the one to beat here. (8) SINTRA is hard to toss because he rarely throws a clunker, but from the widest post I'm inclined to try to beat him tonight. (6) MAYHEM HANOVER did well to take a share in a track record mile at Georgian and he should be in the Tri or Super here.

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Race 11: SOMEBEACHSOMEWHERE 3YO OPEN

(4) BULLDOG HANOVER raced very tough uncovered on the rim last week to win another Gold and he is the one to beat here. (1) BETTOR SUN has shown he can light up Grassroots rivals now he has to prove it in Grand Circuit company. He should be the one to catch. (2) JIMMY CONNOR B is starting to fulfill his potential and I see him being part of the Tri tonight. (6) POWERTRAIN should take a piece of this if he stays flat tonight.

Race 12: ETERNAL CAMNATION 2YO FILLIES

(5) PROHIBITION LEGAL paced one of the more impressive miles of the meet in her last start and she should be tough to beat here. (7) TREACHEROUS KISS is a maiden but she merits a look for the Exacta going for Gingras/Takter here. (1) SPEAK YOUR MIND has a better chance starting from the inside here and she can take a share. (2) CHERYLS SHADOW can take a small share off a following trip tonight.

Race 13: NW $8,700 L5 or $17,000 L10 AE: NW1 in 2021

(2) ROCKME ROLLME takes a big class drop here and he should be tough in this spot facing much easier. (7) BETTORBUCKLEUP is another dropping for a hot barn and he is one to fear tonight. (9) POINTOMYGRANSON couldn't go with Best In Show late in the mile last week, but then no one could. I'd like him better if he drew closer to the inside but he isn't out of this. (1) GROOVY JOE had no chance racing against some of the best Open pacers at Georgian. This is a much better spot but I prefer to use him underneath tonight. (4) WILDRIVERBUMBLEBEE should improve in this second start back; consider him for the bottom of the exotics.