Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 8/19

Top Pick Stats: 355 - 1074 / $1,844.50 (-$303.90)

Best Bets: 57 - 101/ $204.40 (+2.40)

Spot Plays: 19 - 101/ $117.70 (-$84.30)

Best Bet: SILVER LABEL (11TH)

Spot Play: CARRERA HANOVER (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 1/1,2,5/3,4/2/2,3,6,8 = $4.80

Middle Pick 5: 7/1,3,8/1,2,6/2,5/3 = $3.60

Late Pick 5: 2,5/3/6/3,5,8/1,5,7,9 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 2/2,3,6,8/7/1,3,8 = $2.40

Late Pick 4: 3/6/3,5,8/1,5,7,9 = $2.40

Race 1: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 3: 2YO PACING COLTS & GELDINGS **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

Unbeaten (1) DO BETTER should keep his perfect record intact facing many that he has already beaten and some new shooters that don't get the heart racing. (5) ENFORCER raced well in defeat when behind the choice in the Battle of Waterloo. He should round out the Exacta here. (6) T H MCMURRY showed talent when he won a Gold in his second start, then he broke, and he has now missed a month. You'll get a good price if you like him tonight. (3) NIJINSKY is improving, and he can take a share here.

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Race 2: NW $26,500 L5

(7) POWERTRAIN showed he still has some power in his third start back and I'll give him the call to repeat off that sharp win. (2) WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH wasn't disgraced in two Grand Circuit starts but I wonder if he will get overbet in this spot. (5) CENTURY HEINEKEN will likely use his gate speed in this spot, and I could see him getting brave on the engine; using. (6) FABRIZIO N comes to play every week but some of these are tough; small share predicted.

Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 3: 2YO PACING COLTS & GELDINGS

(3) CHAIN GANG had a good tightener for this Gold where he showed he is over his bout of sickness. He gets J Mac back too, and he is the one to beat. (4) STORM SHADOW wasn't beaten far by the choice in that race, and he figures to be the main threat here. (5) COWBOY CARGO has been right there in the two races where he stayed flat. He can close for a share here. (6) ALWAYS A THRILL gave the big chalk a race in the Battle of Waterloo, but this is no easy spot. I'll use him on the bottom.

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Race 4: NW $14,000 L5 or $114,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000 - Pick 4

This is a field that (2) COLD CREEK QUESO is supposed to beat on the class drop and he should get an aggressive steer tonight; top call. (1) SHADOW IN RED paced a 53 2/5 back 1/2 in his first start racing off the Auciello claim, and he could add some value to the Exacta here considering how sharp he is. (3) POINTS NORTH is the other dropper in here and he should improve enough at this level to land in the Tri. (6) UNCLE SHANK A rode a perfect trip to a new life's mark in his local debut. These are tougher and I don't see him getting the same trip; small share predicted.

Race 5: PEACEFUL WAY ELIMINATION: 2 YO FILLIES

(6) DRAWN IMPRESSION won as she pleased on debut, and she looked the part of a good one; call to repeat. (2) CHDEVAL RAPIDE got a rough trip in her latest start now she gets post relief. She rates highly here as does (3) SUNKIST BEAUTY who has done nothing wrong in her three starts and is clearly fast enough. (8) TACTICAL STRIKE showed on debut that she has talent then she broke. I can see her making the final is she stays flat.

Race 6: WILLIAM WELLWOOD ELIMINATION: 2 YO OPEN - Pick 5

(7) MY WAY was expertly trapped in by the leader until it was too late in the NJSS final on Hambo day. I think Tetrick rolls him here and leads all the way. Unbeaten (2) SEND IT IN HANOVER is the obvious threat and he will likely be the one that the choice will have to fend off late. (6) WINTER SOLDIER has a big late kick, and he may be one to watch for next week's final. I don't see him getting pace to chase here. (5) MASSTERCRAFT is close every race in Golds. He can be part of the exotics here.

Race 7: PEACEFUL WAY ELIMINATION: 2 YO FILLIES

Local star (1) WILLYS HOME RUN faces her toughest test to date, but she should be up to it based on the was she has dominated in her last three starts. (3) INTERNATIONALMODEL has produced big late speed in her two wins, and she is the obvious one to fear. (8) TANDEM HANOVER could get brave on the lead if Dunn sends her as expected; price look. (2) GO FOR GAAGAA NO hasn't missed the top four yet and she should be part of this Super, too.

Race 8: WILLIAM WELLWOOD ELIMINATION: 2YO OPEN

(2) CARRERA HANOVER raced well all three times that Gingras drove, and I'll take a price stab here in a race with no standout. (1) MARS HILL never got into contention in the NJSS final, but this is a better spot, and he figures to be right there tonight. $310K yearling (6) AMAZING CATCH looked good breaking his maiden recently but he offers little value at 9 to 5 in the morning line; your call. (4) TOP MAST is in tougher here, but he is consistent and in the mix.

Race 9: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 3: 2YO PACING COLTS & GELDINGS - Pick 5

Double millionaire Tall Dark Stranger's full-brother (2) TOTAL STRANGER ships north to try the OSS Golds and this looks like a good spot for him to break his maiden. (5) MIRAGE HANOVER fell short at 1 to 9 in the Dream Maker elim then skipped the final. His best obviously puts him right there with these. (3) CRUSH KILL DESTROY had no shot starting from the worst post in the Battle of Waterloo final, but he did close to get a check. He should be part of the exotics tonight. (4) VIS A VIS BLUECHIP qualified nicely for this, and he is worth using underneath.

Race 10: WILLIAM WELLWOOD ELIMINATION: 2 YO OPEN - Pick 4

(3) T C I has been flawless since getting beat on debut and he is the clear one to beat here. (2) SOAR HIGHER just broke his maiden in a Gold event in a good effort and he can be an Exacta factor here. (5) FLIGHT LANDING may be happy to not see Send It In Hanover lined up on the gate with him tonight, price look. (8) MRSTERY DEAL is capable of getting a piece at a price.

Race 11: FILLIES and MARES FREE FOR ALL PPS #1-#4 drawn and PPS #5-#7 drawn

(6) SILVER LABEL is currently the top aged pacing mare on the continent and if she brings anything close to her best, she will be too much for these. (5) SO MUCH MORE probably needed last week's start after missing some time and she can be expected to improve here; Exacta factor. (7) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN couldn't be any sharper and she is an obvious exotics player. (3) PROHIBITION LEGAL makes her first start as a four-year-old facing her razor-sharp stablemate. I'll give her one here and watch her for next week.

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Race 12: Winners of 4 but not more than 6 or $80,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $60,000

Sophomore (3) WRITE ME A ROSE fell just short last time he tried this class, and he gets a slight nod in this spot. (8) MATAI LOUIS N tried to bottom out the field last week and fell on stride short. He should be the one to catch again here. (5) RON has been racing well and McNair could move him up tonight. He is another in with a shot. (1) BETTERHAVEMYMONEY likely gets a decent trip and takes another small share.

Race 13: NW $8,300 L5 or $12,000 L8 AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(9) NO FREE LUNCH drops again, and Macdonald has some options here but chose him. He should be heard from tonight in a race that has the look of one that may fall apart late. (1) MAGICAL ARTHUR paced a big back 1/2 now he drops again. He will likely be more aggressive now and he would be no surprise. (7) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES is razor-sharp, and he will be passing horses late; price look. (5) WIND BLOWN gets McClure back and he can last for a share this time. (6) ROCKME ROLLME is another dropper that should be part of the exotics in this spot.