Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 7/18

Meet Stats: 83-293 / $456.20 (-$128.80)
Best Bets: 14-26 / $48.50 (-$3.50)
Spot Plays: 6-27 / $45.10 (-$8.90)
Best Bet: SPRINGBRIDGE DUEL (4TH)
Spot Play: DON'T STOP BELIEVIN (9TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,4,8/2,4,5/3,8/9/3,5,9 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 3,4/3,4,10/2,9/1,3,9/5,8,9 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 9/3,5,9/3,4/3,4,10 = $18
Late Pick 4: 2,9/1,3,9/5,8,9/3,6 = $36

Race 1: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE:OPT CLM $30,000 **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(8) GHOST DANCE goes back to Gallucci's barn here, qualified well and he retains McClure for this race. I'll take a stab with him in a wide-open race. (4) PLAY JET RAY, 2nd to the choice on July 7th, drops a couple of classes here and he should be a player in this spot. (1) ELLIS PARK steps up off a game win and he has won several levels higher than this in the past; using. (7) CAPTAIN TREVOR is worth a look coming off a sharp try last week.

Race 2: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(4) LAPPED BY LINDY drops to the bottom conditioned level because he broke last week and missed a check and if he trots the whole mile here, he should be tough to beat against these. (5) HONOR ABOVE ALL raced well against class dropping Hemi Seelster last week and he should be one of the main contenders here. (2) MARQUIS VOLO appears to be coming around. I'll use him as a Pick 5 price option. (6) PINK PISTOL should show speed early here and she can stick around to take a share.

Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $90,000 LT

I'm going to take a stab with (8) BEACH BLANKET BOOK here because there is no Tattoo Artist in here and because (3) BEAUMOND HANOVER has a history of being conservatively driven in these conditioned races. The latter is obviously the best horse and can and should win if the intent is there. (5) SO MUCH BETTOR comes off a sharp try and he can take a slice in here. (4) EXAMINER HANOVER, 2nd to Beaumond Hanover last time is capable of bettering this placing with a decent trip.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS - PICK 4

(9) SPRINGBRIDGE DUEL impressed in his debut and I don't think the 9 hole will stop him here. (4) TWIN B HEART THROB tried hard following the choice and he could round out this Exacta. (6) NO BETTOR JOY was no secret on the board, and he dug in gamely. He can compete for a share here. (8) TWIN B FIGHTER was sharp in his debut, but the outer post likely dooms him to a smaller share here.

Race 5: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(3) REVOLVER N was bought this month by Team Cullen after pacing two good miles in New Jersey and he lands in a spot here where he should make an impact immediately; top call. (9) FANCOURT would have been favored last week when entered at this level but he was a late scratch. He fits well here again, and he should be an Exacta factor. (5) ROOTIN TOOTIN comes off a solid win racing against easier but the class jump will boost his price here and he is worth a look for the exotics. (4) PEDRO HANOVER fits at this level and his qualifier was good; price look for the exotics.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO COLTS AND GELDINGS - Pick 5

(4) DESPERATE MAN impressed winning his debut and many of his rivals here are moving up from Grassroots races. He should be tough looking for the repeat. (3) SOCRATES BLUE CHIP was handcuffed by a slow pace in his debut, but he fired home in 26 2/5 and that’s likely why he gets moved up to the Gold division. He is in with an upset chance here. (1) UNCONTROLLABLE's blowout win in Grassroots company in his debut also gets him promoted here and he should be on the ticket. (8) MAGNUM MOON should be passing some of these late again to round out the Tri or Super.

Race 7: NW $17,000 L5 or $26,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: NW $5,000 L4

(4) POINTS NORTH set some big splits vs. tougher now he drops to a spot where he should be tough; top call. (10) HERVEY HANOVER fell just short last week, and he could get a nice pace setup here; using. (3) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER should wake up here facing easier while making his fifth start of the year. (7) MAKE SOME LUCK is on a roll and he should be good for a share here.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $52,000 LT - Pick 4

(9) INDICTABLE HANOVER didn't have the greatest trip last week, but he persevered, and he is likely just better than these. He should win again if not hampered too much by post 9. (2) VELOCITY RUKKUS gave it his best shot against the choice last week in a very good effort and he should be a big threat again. (3) NIGHT WATCHMAN was passed late by a horse that left the course briefly and probably should have been demoted. He should share here. (8) ANETO is an honest sort that tries hard every week. Give him a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super.

Race 9: NW $22,000 L5 or $34,500 L8 or NW $140,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $55,000

(3) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN fits well here and he never gets bet; call to upset. (1) EASY LOVER HANOVER is the class of this group, but he hasn't raced in three weeks. What price will you accept? (9) EAST END typically races well in this class but from post 9, I'll use him underneath. (5) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT never misses the Super. Tonight should be no exception.

Race 10: F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(5) DON'T STOP BELIEVIN has been driven as though she is live the past few starts, and she has had some unlucky trips. She'll get a nice pocket ride one of these times and maybe its tonight. (9) SKATER CHICK tired very late as the odds-on chalk last week when dropped to this level. Her price climbs now and she could upset with the right trip. (8) FOOL ME AGAIN raced tough while making several moves last week but she needs to find more finishing power; using underneath. (3) MANHATTAN NIGHT fits better at this level. Toss her in Tri and Super bets.

Race 11: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10

(3) REGAL SON hasn't been used much from second-tier posts in three straight starts now he draws well and could be sitting on a big mile. I'll give him a slight nod over (6) HIGHLAND TARTAN who is obviously the one to beat but is likely to get hammered at the windows. (10) BORN OF FIRE produced a nice effort at big odds last time and he might be worth including on late Pick 4 tickets. (1) TYGA HANOVER is always around the money and he figures to take another share here. (5) SWEET N FAST should be passing a few of these late; using on the bottom.