Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 7/11

Meet Stats: 67-239 / $370.60 (-$107.40)
Best Bets: 11-22 / $39.90 (-$4.10)
Spot Plays: 6-22 / $45.10 (+1.10)
Best Bet: INDICTABLE HANOVER (8TH)
Spot Play: LMC MASS OAK (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 8/1,2,5,7/1,3,6,8/1,6/1,2,3,7 = $25.60
Late Pick 5: 2,4/1,5,6/2/3,6,10/1,3,5 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 1,6/1,2,3,7/2,4/1,5,6 = $48
Late Pick 4: 2/3,6,10/1,3,5/1,2,3,5,8 = $45
High-5 Ticket: 1,2,8/1,2,5,8/1,2,3,5,8/1,2,3,5,8/ALL = $75.60
Race 1: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000 **$75K GTD PICK-5**
(8) FOOL ME AGAIN makes a second attempt in this class after trying a long first-over assault last week and tiring late. She can beat these if she works out a slightly better trip. (1) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE's rally fell just short now she gets her nose back on the gate. She should be one of the main contenders here. (5) LA ALWAYS A MARTINI blasted, took a shuffle then re-rallied vs. easier. She is a good one to use underneath at a price here. (7) BETTER DECISION N gets a better post to work from here and she can pass some of these late to grab a slice.
Race 2: NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000
(7) H P TITANIA RUNNER was no match for the hot Mister Magic last time but that was an improved effort and she fits well here; slight nod. (1) HIGHLAND DYNAMITE finished just ahead of the choice in the same race and she should be a threat here. (2) EIGHTOCLOCKSTORM requalified well for this and it isn't the toughest spot. He could do if he stays flat. (5) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO is worth a look making his second start following the Budd claim but I prefer to use him underneath.
Race 3: Two Year Olds
(6) NO FREE LUNCH couldn't go with a colt that was cutting a brilliant mile at first asking. He rates highly in this spot. (3) NEXT BIG THING closed nicely in a quick mile dominated by a sharp colt and he figures in here, too. (8) HIGHLANDBEACHSBEST is a full-brother to three good racehorses that won 43 races between them, all paced faster than 1:51 and all earned more than $160,000. He is worth a price look at first asking. (1) CAPTAINOFROCKNROLL is well-prepped for this for a barn that sends them out to win early and he would be no shock here.
Race 4: F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000 - Pick 4
(1) SUNDAY AFTERNOON is always good in this class and many times she doesn't get bet for some reason; top call. (6) SANDBETWEENURTOES came with a strong third quarter brush last week but she couldn't clear the leader who engaged in an all-out sprint with her. That was a good effort and she should be a main contender here. (5) SKATER CHICK should be heard from dropping from the top class with hot driver Filion at the reins. (3) VILLAGE JOULES keeps producing strong efforts and she can take another share here.
Race 5: NW $16,000 L5 or $32,500 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000
(7) YACHT SEELSTER is in top form and he should provide some value here stepping up and starting from an outer post; price play. (1) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT should be in the mix from the start and he could trip out in this spot; using. (3) HIGHLAND TARTAN improved with the drop to this level last week and he is another possibility in a contentious race. (2) TORRIN HANOVER should be closer early and that gives him a chance to share against these.
Race 6: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 - Pick 5
(2) LMC MASS OAK raced well in three straight starts at Georgian Downs. The last three times he raced at Mohawk Park in this class, he has finished 2nd, 4th and 1st. He could be the price play of the night. (4) HEMI SEELSTER tried to brush past Mister Magic on the backstretch last time, but the leader was having none of it as he trotted off to a new lifetime mark. He should be the one to catch on the class drop. (9) ON THE SLY takes a big class drop here and he is hard to leave out, even from post 9. (10) P C JUSTA DREAM should move up here and pass a few of these late; using underneath.
Race 7: NW $30,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $80,000
(1) LEGION SEELSTER just took a new life's mark and although this is a tougher spot, the way he won suggests he might be up to it; slight nod. (5) SPORTS COLUMN was on a roll before he was forced to move into the Preferred ranks, and he should bounce back with a better effort here. (6) MATTICULOUS G B is another class dropper in with a shot in a tough race. All (3) SPORTSLINE does is win and if you like him here to take a fourth straight victory, you should get another square price on him.
Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $54,000 LT - Pick 4
This is a field that (2) INDICTABLE HANOVER is expected to beat but he will probably be 1 to 9 on the board. (1) ANETO tries hard every week and he could add some value to this Exacta. (10) RHYTHM IN MOTION finished just behind the choice last time, but it's hard to predict what kind of trip he might get here starting from the second tier. I'll try to beat him out of the Exacta. (3) DELIGHTFUL TERROR was flying late last time and he could round out the Tri or Super here.
Race 9: NW $8,400 L5 or $17,500 L10
With so much speed lined up to the outside, this looks like a race that could fall apart late and land in the lap of (3) ROCK THIS WAY who typically deploys a deep closing style. (6) MAJOR HILL drops and he could use a stalking style here that may get the job done; using. (10) ALBERGO HANOVER couldn’t get a sniff racing a few classes higher. This is a better spot for him, and he should wake up with a better try here. (7) IDEAL JET is likely to be put on the engine again for as far as he goes but this looks like a tough spot for him.
Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $93,000 LT
In a race that could be dominated by sophomores, I'll give the edge to (1) MAYHEM HANOVER who couldn't match strides with the swift Beaumond Hanover last week. (3) DENALI SEELSTER got a better trip and finished just ahead of the choice, but his barn is red-hot, and he is a must-use for me here. (5) SO MUCH BETTOR roared by his rivals in an impressive first start out of the Moreau barn and he merits a long look here. (4) YS MATHIS bounced back with a big effort last time, but history suggests he may be conservatively driven here racing between stakes engagements; your call.
Race 11: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000 **Mandatory High-5 Payout W/Carryover**
(2) FANCOURT got cooked early last week but missing a check allows him to drop to his lowest class level since February 1st. He should be tough racing near the front. (1) JULERICA was very live racing in this class twice when racing resumed in June and he will be a good price here. (8) HERVEY HANOVER is always closing and if the race falls apart late, be might be zooming by. (5) TYGA HANOVER is another dropper who should be live here racing near the front throughout. (3) ROCKIN N TALKIN's 26 flat kicker makes him one to use in several slots of this High-5.

