Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 6/4

Meet Stats: 251 - 823 / $1,397.50 (-$248.50)
Best Bets: 43 - 78 / $139.10 (-$15.90)
Spot Plays: 25 - 78 / $167.70 (+$11.70)
Best Bet: PROHIBITION LEGAL (5TH)
Spot Play: OUTLAWGRABBINGEARS (11TH)
Early Pick 5: 3,5,7,9/7/3,4/1,4,6/11 = $4.80
Late Pick 5: 2,3,5/1,4,6/3/1,5,6/2,4 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 1,4,6/11/2,3,5/1,4,6 = $27
Late Pick 4: 3/1,5,6/2,4/4,5,7 = $18
Race 1: F&M NW $15,000 L5 or $35,000 L8 or NW $120,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(3) SHES GOT IT ALL is as sharp as a tack right now coming off a 1:51-flat lifetime-best effort and I'll stick with her tonight stepping up to face tougher. (5) KICKUPYAHEELS N gets to drop after not getting a check last week and she should be heard from tonight facing easier. (9) DREAM DANCING picked up a check racing against some of the best pacing mares around last time and she should be a factor here despite drawing wide. (7) JUST DAISY had a tightener vs. tough mares at Flamboro then she was bet like she couldn't lose here last week and she converted. With 11 wins in her last 25 starts, she is hard to toss despite moving up.
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Race 2: SOMEBEACHSOMEWHERE 3 YEAR OLD OPEN
(7) PEBBLE BEACH had a useful tightener now it's go time. He lays over these and should jog as he tightens the screws for the North America Cup. (2) SPORT SECRET has finished 2nd four times in a row and has a good chance of extending that streak here. (1) CHUCKY HANOVER raced well in the SBOA final and he is in the exotics mix again here. (4) KOLBY TWO STEP showed promise in a short campaign last year. He's worth a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super.
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Race 3: GRADUATE SERIES 4YO MARES 2nd Leg
Good race here considering there are only a sextet of mares going to the gate. (4) OAKWOODANABELLA IR raced great in defeat to Test of Faith in the slop in the Graduate leg at the Meadowlands and I'll give her a slight nod here. Local mare (3) AWESOME HILL couldn't be any sharper right now and she is in with a decent chance here in a spot where she should offer a square price. (6) HOT MESS EXPRESS is obviously better than she has shown in her first two starts of the year and she will come around soon, I would imagine. I'll use her underneath tonight. (1) FIRE START HANOVER is capable vs these but she needed one last year before showing her best; using on the bottom.
Race 4: GRADUATE SERIES 4YO OPEN 2nd Leg - Pick 4
(6) ROCKYROAD HANOVER was simply too far back in the Juravinksi final in a race where the leaders paced a 54-flat back 1/2. I'll take a shot with him here in a spot where he almost surely will be an overlay. (1) ABUCKABETT HANOVER is clearly the one to beat and very hard to topple when he brings his best but there will be no price here. (4) BULLDOG HANOVER made a move for the front at Flamboro but there was no way eventual winner Linedrive Hanover was ever giving up the lead. He can improve sharply here back on the big track. (3) LOUS PEARLMAN exits the same race and he is another that should be closer tonight. Consider for the bottom of the exotics.
Race 5: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Leg 1 3YO FILLIES
(11) PROHIBITION LEGAL might actually offer a price close to even money in this big field starting from the second tier. That could be the best price you see on her all year in a sires stake. I don't think the 11-hole stops her. Stablemate (10) SILVER LABEL gutted out a win in the SBOA when she might not have had her best race to offer in that sophomore debut. She should be sharper tonight and will offer a good price from post 10 if you want to try her to beat her stablemate (4) I LOVE ONGAIT gave Silver Label all she could handle in the SBOA final in a very good effort. She should contend for a share again. (1) SPEAKER NANCY was conservatively driven last time and she closed for 2nd. She picks up Henry now; price look.
Race 6: SOMEBEACHSOMEWHERE 3 YEAR OLD OPEN - Pick 5
(2) BEACH GLASS ended last season with a very tough trip in the slop in the Breeders Crown final and I'll side with him here on the belief that he is just better than these if he produces close to his best. You can't fault the way (5) STONEBRIDGE HELIOS has come back to the races as a sophomore and he is the one to beat here. (3) GREATEST ENDING won in 51 and change here under a hammer lock to Macdonald on 5/21 but he is yet to pace a sub-1:51 mile and he will almost surely need to find one to win here. I'll use him underneath. (6) MAGICAL ARTHUR looks next best and he can round out the Super.
Race 7: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,000 L10 pr NW $92,000 LT AE: Starters for a purse of $15K of less L4
(6) SECOND BRUISER gets to drop several levels here and he should be able to handle these making his fifth start as a four-year-old. (4) TWIN B TUFFENUFF is the other one that is in much easier and he will likely be blasting looking to get position early. I could see these two noses apart on the wire tonight. (1) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR won at this level two starts back but this is a tougher field tonight. I'll use him underneath in this spot. (3) TWIN B HEART THROB passed them all last week and he did it in a flash at the end of the mile. He is an upset possibility right back.
Race 8: GRADUATE SERIES 4YO OPEN 2nd Leg - Pick 4
(3) LINEDRIVE HANOVER was sensational winning the Juravinski final and he just keeps getting better it seems. He should get tested here, but I think he will be up to it. (7) BETTORS DONTTELL made front, yielded then pocket popped as they approached the 3/4 in 1:20 and change and he drove away. He is razor-sharp and should provide a challenge to the choice as should (8) CARBINE who also broke the 1:48 barrier winning his most recent start. (5) ONE EIGHT HUNDRED is no slouch and Dunn will likely have him riding a helmet looking to explode as they turn home. This could be one of the best races of the meet if they are out and rolling early.
Race 9: FREE FOR ALL
(6) TATTOO ARTIST raced great in the Camluck Classic but Jimmy Freight was simply better. I'll give him a slight nod leaving from the best post in this stacked Preferred dash. (5) DESPERATE MAN has a similar profile as the choice coming off an excellent effort where he was beat by a horse that is exceptional currently. He came back strong as a four-year-old and this track is where he slayed the NA Cup dragons last year. He can win tonight. (1) IGNATIUS A has been terrific in his North American starts and he is another live option in a great betting race. (8) WARAWEE VITAL holds a mark of 1:47 3/5 on this track which is only 4/5 of a second off the all-age track record. He will likely need a start or two before showing his best; small share predicted.
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Race 10: NW $16,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW AE: OPT CLM $60,000
This is a big drop for (2) AMERICAN HISTORY. Getting post relief too, he gets top call. (4) MAPPOS LION was dead-game in defeat last week and he continues to bring his A game every week. He could win this if he gets a trip. (6) SOMEWHEREINVERONA is sharp and the smaller field tonight should aid his late rally; using underneath. (5) LEGION SEELSTER looked good vaulting past the leaders late last week but this is a much tougher spot; small share predicted.
Race 11: Horses that have raced for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L4
(7) OUTLAWGRABBINGEARS won here with Henry in the bike two starts back and the horse he beat that night came right back to win here last week. He can get back to his winning ways tonight with a setup for his late kick likely to develop. (4) ROCKME ROLLME raced his eyeballs out in defeat last week. I wonder if that race will take a little out of him, but his excellent form should be respected. (5) NO PLAN INTENDED is sharp coming off the Preferred win in London and these are certainly within his scope. He is another possibility. (2) BAYFIELD BEACH has the speed to go with these. He should be in the exotics mix. (9) BEACHIN LINDY likely rallies from far back and takes a share.

