Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 6/19

Meet Stats: 13/41-$62.50 (-$19.50)
Best Bets: 3/4-$8.80 (+0.80)
Spot Plays: 0/3-$0.00 (-$6.00)
Best Bet: TORRIN HANOVER (10TH)
Spot Play: RHYTHM IN MOTION (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,4,5,7/3,5,6/6,7/1,3,6,9/5,6 = $38.40
Late Pick 5: 6,7,9/3,7/4,6,9/2/2,6 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 1,3,6,9/5,6/6,7,9/3,7 = $48
Late Pick 4: 4,6,9/2/2,6/5,7 = $12
Race 1: NW2 or $30,000 LT **$100K GTD Pick 5**
(5) MUSTANG BEACH came ready to play last week and he displayed potent early and late speed to get the job done. Call to repeat. (4) STONEBRIDGE REX was a solid Grassroots performer last year and his two tighteners down south should serve him well here; using. (7) NO FREE LUNCH exits a fast mile where he looked like he had dead aim on the leader but couldn't get by that one late. He's a contender here but he could get overbet. (2) SARATOGA BLUE CHIP was game in defeat when beaten by the choice and he could turn the tables here if he gets an easier trip.
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Race 2: NW $8,700 L5 or $17,000 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $25,000
It's been a while since (3) DANCER HALL won, but he looked good rallying late in the mile last week and he should offer some value facing some class droppers in this spot; price play. (5) GRANDMA HEIDI is likely to get sent hard by McNair and try to control the race. She is the one to catch. (6) MUSCLE FASHION had a race over the track now he drops and he should be closer early this week. That gives him a shot in here. (8) ALL WRAPPED UP kicked in 26 in his final race in Indiana. He should be passing a few of these late.
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Race 3: NW3 or $57,500 LT
(6) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N stole a 29 4/5 second 1/4 last week and that meant lights out for his rivals. I'll side with him over the obvious choice (7) SECOND BRUISER who is certainly capable of uncorking a winning mile first time off the shelf but it should be noted that this race is likely a springboard to his first attempt at OSS Gold company. (3) BETTORS DONTTELL couldn't go with the choice late last week and he is best used underneath here. (4) MODERN ROCK is usually around the money and he is a good one to use on the bottom tonight.
Race 4: NW $16,500 L5 or $27,000 L10 or NW 7 or $120K LT AE: OPT CLM $45K - Pick 4
(6) GROOVY JOE goes for hot trainer Macintosh in a spot where he could get a great trip racing close to the lead; slight nod. (1) UHTRED and (3) LAWLESS SHADOW knocked heads in a 1:50 mile last week and they should again be right there this week. (9) REAL SURREAL was right there in the top class last week but this is no easy spot and he will have early competition for the front here; using.
Race 5: NW6 or $80,000 LT
(5) RHYTHM IN MOTION was tremendous here last fall and his 6/25 effort at Yonkers may signal a return to his best form is coming. I'll give him the nod here. (6) BETTOR SUN is a sophomore with bigger dances than this one on his card this summer but he is capable of beating these if he brings close to his best effort and he's hard to leave out. (1) GOING FAST is right there every week it seems and he looks well-prepped for this; using. (4) TALBOT ROMEO showed flashes of his old self last fall here and he is worth including in the exotics.
Race 6: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,100 L10 - Pick 5
(7) WHITECOOKIE raced decently against a tough winner last week in a fast mile and he looks good vs. these; top call. (9) HOMEY JOE drops and the outside post doesn't seem as bad since they switched to a slanted gate. Speed blast coming? (6) CHEAPSKATE HANOVER raced well in most of his Ohio starts recently and he fits decently vs. these. He gets the best post and I'll toss him on multi-race tickets. (3) NOTAWORD N is likely to get asked for more speed leaving the gate this week and that can put him in position to take a share.
Race 7: F&M NW $14,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $30,000
(7) BORN A DRAGON raced very tough when she was nailed by her airborne stablemate last week and with that one gone, she gets top billing here. (3) TUAPEKA JESSIE N gets major post relief tonight and I expect sharp improvement in this spot. (1) MAJESTIC VIRGIN couldn't repel a live rival in a race where a sub-27 kicker wasn't good enough to get the job done. She isn't out of place here and she's worth a look despite stepping up in class. (4) MARY KAT steps up off a sharp win. She should take a share racing from close range.
Race 8: NW $8,300 L5 or $17,200 L10 - Pick 4
(6) SWEET DEISEL was flying late last week but he ran out of racetrack. With a slightly better trip he can beat these. (4) MONGLIAN HERO N finished just ahead of the choice and he can go better here in his second start back; using. (9) MAJOR CUSTARD should find this company easier and he is likely to be blasting off the gate. He could add some value to multi-race tickets. (3) MAJOR HILL can rally late for another share.
Race 9: PREFERRED
(2) CENTURY FARROH got an impossible trip in the Battle of Lake Erie and predictably finished well back in the fastest mile ever paced over a 1/2-mile track. He should be able to handle this group. (1) WHEELS ON FIRE has been pacing like his wheels are on fire as of late and he is clearly the one that the choice will need to take down. (4) BEYOND BETTER was patiently-driven to a nice win vs. lesser and he can land in the Tri tonight. (5) HAIL CHRISTIAN N take frequent shares at this level and he is in the exotics mix again.
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Race 10: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L8 AE: NW $25,000 in 2020-2021
(6) TORRIN HANOVER takes a class plunge here and Filion will no doubt put him into the race leaving the gate. He's the one to beat here. (2) EAST END was perfectly tripped out to win last week and he could get a similar journey here but if the choice brings his 'A' game, he could be racing for 2nd. (9) HERVEY HANOVER looked very live the entire way last week and he can get involved here, too; using underneath. (5) ROCKIN N TALKIN returns from Ohio in sharp form; consider for the exotics.
Race 11: NW $6,000 L5 or $10,500 L10
(5) NICKLE BAG was bet like he couldn't lose last week but he was used hard early then attacked in the third 1/4 which was a trip that wasn't going to work out. He should get an easier trip starting from one of the best posts and he gets the nod. (7) POINTOMYGRANSON exits the same race and he should improve in this second start back; using. (1) ST LADS THRILLER figures for a piece of this but at press time he was in both final entries for Friday and Saturday so he could be a late scratch here. (2) MENLO PARK was used up early in the same race as the choice. He is likely to be closing late this time and I see him landing in the Tri and Super. (3) SIDDHARTHA is worth a look for the exotics moving to a better post for this second start back.

