Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 6/12

Best Bet: WHEELS ON FIRE (9TH)

Spot Play: RAU RU (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,10/4,5,8/2,4/3,6,8/3,8,10 = $32.40

Late Pick 5: 2,4/1,7,8/3,6/4/6,7 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 3,6,8/3,8,10/2,4/1,7,8 = $54

Late Pick 4: 3,6/4/6,7/4,5,9 = $12

Race 1: F&M NW $5,200L5 or $10,000 L10 **$100K GTD Pick 5**

(3) MACH MY KISS returns sharp from a stint in Indiana that should serve her well and I'll give her the nod here over another that has raced recently, (10) MARY KAT. The latter should benefit from the new slanted starting gate and get a spot near the front early. That's when she usually does her best work and she is a contender here. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER is an infrequent winner but she comes in off a sharp qualifier and she stacks up well vs. these; using. (9) CATCH AN ACE is another who looks ready and she often takes smaller shares. Consider using her on the bottom.

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Race 2: NW4 (F&M5) or $42,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

(5) HIGHLAND MOWGLI looked tremendous in his lone qualifier racing over a track rated four seconds off. I'll give him top call in his sophomore debut. (8) H P MAMA B is another that looks ready to roll for this sophomore debut and she will likely be the one to fend off late. (4) KILAUEA has solid recent form and he is the most likely upsetter if the top two don't fire their best shots first time out. (7) LINCOLN TUNNEL comes off a nice win in Indiana, but the mare he beat is 1 for 32 lifetime. A small share is predicted in this tougher spot.

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Race 3: NW5 or $95,000 LT AE: 3YO

(2) LAWLESS SHADOW got a couple of starts in down south and he brings a 1:50 flat win back with him from Ohio. He looks tough to beat in here. (4) BULLDOG HANOVER obliterated the choice when last seen in the OSS Gold Superfinal and he is the one to dispose of. (7) UHTRED has solid form but he likes the front and that style conflicts with a few other in here; using underneath. (3) REVOLT had a solid season last year and he should be good for at least a share in this short field.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $34,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) RAU RU won half his starts last year and the late speed he showed in both qualifiers indicate readiness; top call. (3) SONIC FLARE gets a barn change here and he shows some excellent recent form. He should be a major factor tonight. (6) NO FREE LUNCH fits well here and he is another who flew late in his most recent qualifier; using. (9) MAGNUM MOON, with some recent pari-mutuel action under his belt, is worth a look for the exotics.

Race 5: NW $8,000 L5 or $18,000 L10

(10) EAST END raced well in some of the higher classes in Indiana and he has beaten better than these locally in the past. His fitness should aid him in overcoming the outermost post and he gets the nod. (8) GO WEST GO FAST is the other one in here that returns from the U.S. boasting some good form and he should be a strong factor tonight. (3) MONGOLIAN HERO N figures at this level and he may work out the best trip starting from a good post; using. (1) AMERICAN WIGGLE is sent out by a barn that did well coming off the last Covid break; consider for the exotics.

Race 6: NW3 or $57,500 LT - Pick 5

(2) NO PLAN INTENDED was on a roll before racing shut down in Ontario. He looks ready to pick up where he left off and he gets top call. Don't let (4) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N's even qualifier fool you. He is more than capable in this spot and he merits a close look. (8) BETTORS DONTTELL is always right there it seems. He's a good one to use underneath in this spot. (1) CANDY TRADER is capable on his best day. The tote might provide some clues with this one.

Race 7: NW $8,500 L5 or $17,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(1) REFI performed decently down south and he faces mostly easier tonight. He should be tough in here if he gets a decent trip from the rail. (7) I GOT THE LOOKS just took a new life's mark at Tioga Downs and he is obviously one that is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (8) ON THE ROPES is another with recent action that is possible in this spot. He certainly has enough speed for these. (3) IM THE MUSCLE, a winner at this level two starts back, should be in the exotics mix vs. these.

Race 8: NW $5,000 L5 or $11,000 L10 AE: NW $1,200 L4 - Pick 4

(3) POINTOMYGRANSON finds what should be an easy spot for him and an aggressive Roy drive is expected; top call. (6) MAJOR HILL was a winner three starts back at a similar level and he figures to be the main danger tonight. Veteran (5) NICKLE BAG rarely throws a bad race and he can be part of the Tri against these. (8) HERVEY HANOVER has a potent late kick on his best day. He has some upset potential in this spot.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(4) WHEELS ON FIRE has never been better and he should take beating at a short price here. (2) POINTS NORTH is in a better spot this week, but he is likely going to be racing for second if the choice brings his best effort. (5) REAL SURREAL was hitting his best stride when racing shut down. He's worth a look for the bottom of the exotics here. (1) HAIL CHRISTIAN N should sit a nice trip and take a small share.

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Race 10: NW $3,200 L5 or $7,900 L10

(7) H P NAPOLEON got some racing in during the month of May facing much tougher than these south of the border. I expect him to control this race from the outset. I like the way (6) ST LADS THRILLER qualified for this first start back and he could add some value to the Exacta. (4) NOTAWORD N is another that stayed sharp racing in the U.S. and he can grab a slice against these. (2) FARMERS TAN is capable of showing more gate speed than was evident in his qualifier and he can be a threat for at least a share racing near the front.

Race 11: NW $11,500 L5 or $30,000 L10 or NW $150,000 LT AE: NW $20,000 in 2020-21

(9) TRACEUR HANOVER doesn't fool around when he races this low and a gate-to-wire win is likely in this spot. (4) BEYOND BETTER was having a great season when racing shut down and he looks sharp and ready to roll coming off the break; Exacta factor. (5) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER’s 26 3/5 kicker on June 5 signals readiness and he seems to never miss a check. He's hard to leave out of the exotics. (10) FAST N FIRST is capable of contending vs. this group despite drawing wide and he could spice up the Super and High-5 payouts. (8) REAL WILLEY is likely to blast for position and he can stick around for a slice.