Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 5/7

Meet Stats: 207 - 662 / $1158.70 (-$165.30)

Best Bets: 37 - 62 / $121.20 (-$2.80)

Spot Plays: 21 - 62 / $131.10 (+$7.10)

Best Bet: JIMMY FREIGHT (9TH)

Spot Play: TYMAL TIGGS (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,4/1,4,5/2,8/3,5,9/1,4 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 1,2,8/3,4/2,5/4/6,7 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 3,5,9/1,4/1,2,8/3,4 = $36

Late Pick 4: 4/6,7/3,5,7/4,5,9 = $18

Race 1: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES FINAL for 3YO FILLIES **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) ALL ABOUT ADDIE came 4th-over turning for home which was an impossible spot to win from but she closed willingly now she gets a short field here. I'll call her to upset favorite (2) HANG ON BABY, who shoots for the series sweep and is the one to beat. (4) MAKIN MAGIC TONITE made two moves and was right there last week. She is another in with a chance here. (6) MAKE IT EASY will take money because she gets the leading driver here but I prefer to use her underneath.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES FINAL for 3YO FILLIES

(4) WILDCAT STAR is on a roll and she can live a long time on the outside. She figures to get a setup in this race and she gets the nod in a great betting event. (1) LYONS PRINCESS was never going to beat a leader that stole a soft opening 3/4 last week but she finished gamely. She is one of several live options for the early Pick 5. (5) GIRL IN A TAVERN has been game in defeat in both legs leading to this final; another in with a shot. (2) ADDICTIVEBEHAVIOUR won't get the same soft trip she got last week but that doesn't mean she can't win. I'd demand a price in this race wherever I landed.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $30,000 LT

(2) COLIGNY HANOVER was first up in a race that featured a 26 3/5 closing 1/4 which was mission impossible for him. With the screws tightened he should get more aggressive tonight; top call. (8) ROCKAWAY BAY made a third 1/4 power move to handle NW2 last week and he can be a threat here. (7) MANY MOONS has Grand Circuit lines from last year but I am thinking he’ll need a race or two based on his qualifiers. He probably sits and rallies for a share here. (4) MACHO PHIL is capable of much better than he showed on 4/30 in his sophomore debut; consider using underneath at a price.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW4 or $54,000 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $40,000 - Pick 4

(3) ITS IN THE STARS has rallied well from tough spots in his last two starts. He continues to improve and I'll give him the nod here. (5) P L OCTAVIUS is razor-sharp and he was dead game in defeat last time. He is in with a good chance here. (9) MAGICAL ARTHUR was one of the best rookie pacers in the country last year and he no doubt is good enough to win this, but you know his tank won’t be emptied to win a $10,500 purse facing elders. I am inclined to try to beat him. (2) NOCH TEN tripped out to beat easier last week. I see him taking a small share tonight.

Race 5: NW $17,500 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $150,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

The waters get a bit deeper for (1) LINEDRIVE HANOVER here, but his win skein will likely continue. (4) EXPLOIT, the 2020 Metro Pace winner returns to the scene of his greatest triumph fresh off a 1:50 flat score at Harrah’s Philly. I'll give him a look for multi-race value. (8) SINTRA drops and moves off the rail for this. He should improve as he gears up for a summer stakes campaign. (2) CADILLAC BAYAMA was airborne late last week and he should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES FINAL for 3YO Colts and Gelding - Pick 5

(8) TYMAL TIGGS flew home in both preliminary legs of this series and I can see him vaulting by at a price tonight. (2) STABLE GENIUS went a big trip when he shaded the choice and he is hard to leave out as he looks to keep his perfect record intact. (1) CENTURY INVADER won well as a huge chalk last week and he is another viable contender in what should be a great betting race. (5) TUXEDO ATTIRE is dangerous with his good tactical speed. He should be in the exotics mix.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES FINAL for 3YO Colts and Geldings

(4) SILK ROAD SMASH was conservatively driven in the opening legs of this series possibly with an eye to the final. I think he's sitting on a big race and we will see it tonight; top call. (3) SPORT SECRET paced his fastest mile in defeat last week and he figures to be the main threat here; using. (7) CHUCKY HANOVER has been lights out but I doubt he gets a lonely lead for the entire race with $56K on the line tonight; your call. (1) FINAL CHEESERECIPE tripped out to win at a huge price. I see him as a fringe player in this final.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW6 or $83,000 LT

Speed merchant (5) POWERTRAIN figures to be a short price for this four-year-old debut after ripping off a 1:50 1/5 qualifier on 4/29. Catch him to greet the cashier. (2) TEXAS MIKI got Sorrie in the bike for one start and he immediately took a new lifetime mark. He can be an Exacta factor right back. (7) CONTROL HEAVEN's first start back was decent. I can see him closing for a share here. (6) ARMOR SEELSTER is another that can improve in his second start back. He should be in the exotics mix here.

Race 9: FREE FOR ALL - Pick 4

(4) JIMMY FREIGHT shoots for his sixth win at the top class in seven starts here and there is no reason to think he won't get it. (6) DESPERATE MAN, last year's Horse of the Year, can be a factor right away in this short field but he will have to be on his toes to get past the choice; Exacta factor. (2) WHEELS ON FIRE hasn’t missed the board this year and that streak should continue here. (3) EAST END is sharp but likely to finish on the edges on the class rise here.

Race 10: NW $11,000 L5 or $27,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(7) WOODMERE STEALDEAL faced some tough ones in New York and finishing on the edges in his last five starts down there means he gets to take a big class drop tonight. He has a good chance to get back on track here. (6) SPEEDY DOMINIC A was game in defeat last week, nailed on the line by a rival that got a bit of a lucky trip. He should be dangerous right back. (5) REAL WILLEY is an infrequent winner but he should take a good share on the class drop here; using underneath. (4) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N finished gamely along the pylons last week and he should be in the exotics mix again.

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Race 11: NW $8,000 L5 or $21,500 L10

(5) ROCKME ROLLME was a no doubt winner vs. slightly easier and drawing well again he gets the call to repeat here. (7) CENTURY HANNIBAL can wake up facing easier here. He should be dangerous racing from close range; using. (3) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR could trip out in this spot racing near the front; upset chance. (8) LEGION SEELSTER brings some decent from west from Ottawa. He can be an exotics factor tonight.

Race 12: Horses that have raced for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L4

I expected (4) SUNDOWN KID to blast last week but he raced from the back. Moving to a much better post should mean that he is leaving tonight and I'll stick with him. (9) CHIEFS BEACH faces easier and he gets McNair back. He's a must use from me even starting from out there. (5) CENTURY FURY gets away from razor-sharp Lets Get Pickled tonight and he figures to be a threat racing near the front; using. (2) IDEAL PERCEPTION can improve enough in this second start back to take a share. (1) NIGHT WATCHMAN fits well here but he might need one. I'll use him on the bottom.