Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 5/21

Meet Stats: 237 - 748 / $1,330.60 (-$165.40)

Best Bets: 41 - 70 / $134.40 (-$3.60)

Spot Plays: 25 - 70 / $167.70 (+$27.70)

Best Bet: ADARE CASTLE (2ND)

Spot Play: GOOD AND SWEET (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 6/6/1,6,7,8/1,5/2,9,10 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 3,5,6/1,6/4,5/2/4,5 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 1,5/2,9,10/3,5,6/1,6 = $36

Late Pick 4: 4,5/2/4,5/3,4,5,7 = $16

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW 3 or $47,000 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $25,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) GREATEST ENDING comes in off a fast sophomore debut win in a Pennsylvania sires stakes paced over a track rated one second slow and drawing best here he is clearly the one to beat. (1) ROCKAWAY BAY should improve sharply moving off post 10 and he can be an Exacta factor tonight. (2) CHIKABOOM qualified nicely for this but I doubt he is ready to go with the choice. I'll use him underneath. (7) BAD EYE BILL always closes and he can sneak into the Super again in this spot

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Race 2: SBOA Final 3YO Filly Trot

(6) ADARE CASTLE took an easy win in her elimination for this stakes final and she is the queen of this division until someone knocks her off her perch. I don't see that happening tonight. (8) MISCHEVIOUS ROSE followed the choice home and was no match. She can round out the Exacta again (5) RESOLVING looked good winning her elimination but this is tougher and she likely rounds out the Tri this time. (3) ANGELONIA can get a better trip tonight starting from the inside; consider for the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 3: NW $5,600 L5 or $12,800 L8

(6) GOOD AND SWEET lacked room for most of the stretch drive last week which probably cost him a position or two. I can see him tripping out near the front tonight and getting the job done. (8) PIPEWRENCH CHARLIE changed hands, shipped east, and adds Lasix for this. He is worth a close look making his first start racing out of the Cullen barn. (7) ISLAND BEACH BOY raced tough first up last week. He can win this if he gets a better trip and he is another Pick 5 option. (1) SHADOW IN RED took some action at the windows last week but didn’t get the best trip. He should be in the mix tonight.

Race 4: SBOA Final 3YO Filly Pace - Pick 4

(5) SILVER LABEL has only two losses on her card and they both came at the hooves of her 'O Brien Award-winning stablemate. She should handle this field tonight. (1) DEWITT FOR JOSIE was bottled up until late then she exploded once she found room. She could threaten the choice here with the right trip. (2) QUEBECQUOISE has four starts in leading up to this so she should be razor-sharp. I see her closing for a slice here. (4) IN THE MOOD raced tough to just miss last week. She should be in the exotics mix here

Race 5: NW $8,000 L5 or $18,800 L8

(2) LEGION SEELSTER produced a big effort in defeat last week after starting widest. He gets top billing moving inside tonight. (9) IDEAL PERCEPTION gets closer every week and making his fourth start back tonight he should be razor-sharp. He should offer a good price from out there and I'll use him on early multi-race tickets. (10) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER is hard to ignore on the class drop but he is no lock from post 10 here. (1) CENTURY FURY, winless this year so far, has taken nine slices in 17 starts and he should be part of the Tri on the class drop here.

Race 6: NW $16,000 L5 or $37,100 L8 or NW $155,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 5

(3) AMERICAN HISTORY takes a big drop here after setting some blazing fractions then tiring racing in the top class. He should convert as the chalk. (6) COMMANDING OFFICER tried the Juravinski elims bit could do no better than follow along as Bulldog Hanover ripped off a sub-1:50 mile. He can be a threat here and he is a logical alternative to the choice. (5) MAPPOS LION was moving well late in the mile last week, but veteran East End was unyielding on the lead. He is in the exotics mix here. (8) TWIN B TUFFENUFF ships north with some good form but he has missed some time. I'll use him on the bottom tonight.

Race 7: SBOA Final 3YO Colts and Geldings Trot

(6) TWIN B ARCHIE took a conservative approach last week in his sophomore debut and he looked terrific passing rivals late to get the job done. He will likely look to boss these on the engine now racing for $121K and he is strictly the one to beat. (1) DULY RESOLVED is another who is sure to get more aggressive tonight and he should be sharper in this second start back; Exacta factor. (4) TYMAL TIGGS closed willingly while stickhandling through traffic in the lane last week. He is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics. (10) ESPLOSIONE would be rated higher from a better post. From out there, he will likely finish on the edges.

Race 8: SBOA Final 3YO Colt and Gelding Pace - Pick 4

This race should come down to (4) BOB LOBLAW and (5) STONEBRIDGE HELIOS, who both dominated their eliminations. Slight nod to the former who won the faster division. (6) CHUCKY HANOVER continues to race well and he should be in the exotics mix tonight likely racing closer to the front this time. (3) SPORT SECRET is right there every week and last week he had little chance last week trying to win first up after Stonebridge Helios strolled through 3/4 in 1:25 flat. He should get a piece of this.

Race 9: FREE FOR ALL

(2) JIMMY FREIGHT shoots for his sixth straight Preferred win coming off a lifetime-best equaling mile which featured a 51 4/5 back 1/2 and a 25 1/5 kicker. Beat him to greet the cashier. (1) FUNATTHEBEACH N was only a length behind the choice in a decent effort and he can round out a chalky Exacta here. (6) WHEELS ON FIRE missed a week and he draws widest here but he should be in the exotics mix. (4) POSEIDON SEELSTER exits some tough races in New York, but this is no easy spot; using underneath.

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Race 10: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,000 L8 or NW $75,000

(4) STONEBRIDGE REX has been facing a steady diet of much tougher company and he should have a big shot to wire these; top call. (5) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER was in a tough spot last week trying to close uncovered racing first up into a 55 2/5 back 1/2. He gets Roy tonight and he could be more aggressive early and work out a nice trip; using. (6) NOCH TEN has improved with Drury in the bike and he should get position early here and ride it to another share. (2) RESPECT OUR FLAG should pass a few of these late and land in the Super.

Race 11: NW $3,250 L5 or NW $8,000 L10

(5) GOING FAST drops to the bottom here and he shows a win racing one level higher six starts back. He should be tough vs. these. This is a good spot for (3) PETER POOLE but last week he seemed too keyed up scoring down and came up flat during the race. I'd watch him in the post parade and in the score down before plunging here. (4) DRAGON ENERGY raced decently from the worst post last week. I could see him upsetting here if he works out a pocket trip this time. (7) DONTPOKETHEDRAGON paced a 53 1/5 back 1/2 last week. He is another in with a shot here. (1) RHYTHM IN MOTION can improve enough in this second start back to take a slice.