Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 5/13

Top Pick Stats: 207 - 612 / $1,126.50 (-$97.50)

Best Bets: 33 - 55 / $127.10 (+$17.10)

Spot Plays: 12 - 55 / $73.80 (-$36.20)

Best Bet: JOKER ON JACK (6TH)

Spot Play: LYONS BETTORDAY (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,4,5,6/2,3,4/7/1,2,3,8/2,7 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 2/2,6,7/2,4/3,8/2,3,5 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 1,2,3,8/2,7/2/2,6,7 = $4.80

Late Pick 4: 2,4/3,8/2,3,5/6,9 = $4.80

Race 1: SBOA Eligibles 3YO Filly Trot Pick 5 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) STONEBRIDGE BRAVO paced a big kicker to mow them down at a big price last week and I'll give her the call to repeat off that sharp effort. (6) CLIMB THE POLE looks to extend her 2023 unbeaten streak and her sharp gate speed will put her in this race early; using. (1) WEDDING DANCER ships in for powerful connections and while I don't love the rail for her, she is in with a shot here. (5) H P EXTRA ICE is in great form, and she is another that could do in a competitive opener.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000

(2) BROOKDALE MIKI takes a big drop here and his race two starts back stamps him as the one to beat. (3) REIGN SUPREME was a good Grassroots horse last year ad he qualified sharply for this sophomore debut. He contends here if he gets put into the race. (4) IKES DREAM was no match for a strong winner that ambushed him in the third 1/4 but that was a good effort, and he should be a threat tonight. (9) SERIOUS MOJO, the only four-year-old in this race, got a needed clean line in a fast race and he is worth a look at a price tonight.

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Race 3: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED 2

(7) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN equaled her lifetime mark last week at this level and she gets the call to repeat despite drawing widest. (2) NEED TO BREATHE jogged at this level last time but she has now missed 3 1/2 weeks. Sharpness is the question with her, but she fits on form. (6) GIAS SURREAL, 2nd to the choice last week, should be in the mix again. (4) RAPTORS WON came to the final of the Ontario Graduate series breathing fire and she repelled the big chalk late. I'm not sure she can repeat that mile vs. these tough old mares. I'll use her underneath tonight.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 5 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000 - Pick 4

Tough race here with some good sophomores returning in a spot which could be used as a tightener. I'll side with (2) LYONS BETTORDAY, who paced a winning mile last time, only to be picked off right on the wire by a filly that produced a remarkable late brush. No one else was gaining. (3) CHEDDA CHEDDA was out of position in the Spring series final. I can see her laying closer this time and that would make her a threat. Grand Circuit winner (1) BANKERS LUCK is likely fast enough to beat these, but she surely has much bigger dances on her card this summer. I'd demand a price here. (8) CHEESY SMILE was winning the Superfinal when last seen and she is another that could win but is likely to be driven conservatively tonight.

Race 5: NW $16,000 L5 or $100,000 LT AE: starters for a purse of $15,000 or less L4

(2) MAJOR HILL tripped out when he took a new life’s mark, but Barrington has him going great and he should gets the call to notch threepeat. (7) BEYOND BETTER raced huge in defeat last week and he figures to be a threat right back if he stays flat. (6) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER drops to the level where he last won but this is a tougher field than he beat then. I'll use him underneath. (5) LAWLESS SHADOW had a decent comeback race but he hasn’t won since his sophomore season. I'll play to beat him tonight.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW $15,000 LT - Pick 5

(2) JOKER ON JACK was a strong 2nd to a very good colt in fast time last week and he is the clear pick to beat these. (6) BIG DREAM FELLA looks next best coming off a sharp win in this class; Exacta factor. (10) TELLLAURAILOVEHER motored home in both qualifiers, and he can close for a share here at a price. (1) SAUBLE ACE was good in the Harvest series last fall, and he is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics racing off the shelf here.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 5 or $45,000 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000 or NW $2,300 L3

(2) GUNG HO faces tougher here, but the way this improving sophomore colt won last week suggests that he will be up to it; top call. (7) H P MOMENTUM is better when he deploys a stalking/closing style, and he could upset here if the early pace is swift; using. (6) SOUTHSIDE EDDY seems to have righted the ship and he will be closing again. He is another in with a shot here. (9) WRITE ME A ROSE will likely take back and close too late here; small share predicted.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT - Pick 4

(4) WHATCHULOOKIN AT, a Gold winner at 2, looks well-prepped by Team McNair for this sophomore debut and he gets top billing. (2) NYTRO J was closing in a fast mile last week, but he was too far back. I think he is more aggressive vs. this bunch, and he is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (7) BRUE HANOVER exits the same race, and he was closer to the leader and finished ahead of the choice. He figures to be part of the exotics again. (3) PROFUNDO is a good one to use at a price in the bottom of the exotics because he is typically closing in the lane.

Race 9: PREFERRED 2

(8) NAUTICAL HANOVER drops and gets Macdonald, and he will likely impose his will on his rivals from the outset tonight. (3) COMMANDING OFFICER won this class last week by securing a good trip then rallying late. He should be a threat racing from close range tonight. (1) CENTURY HEINEKEN won in fast time, but these are tougher, and he is up against it starting from the rail; small share predicted.

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Race 10: 5YO and Younger claiming $35,000

(5) DRAGON ENERGY was a narrow loser to (2) THE LEGEND HANOVER last week now he goes for Moreau off the claim. I'll side with him to turn the tables tonight. The latter took a new life's mark, but all these fast miles raced on the engine will take their toll at some point. Your call. (3) J J XAVIER drops in this second start for Barrington and sharp improvement is possible; price look. (6) PICK A GENRE is another racing off the Moreau claim here and he should close for a slice.

Race 11: NW $8,500 L5 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 or starters for a purse of $13K or less L2

(6) SINTRA should be all systems go now that he got a race in, and he moves from the rail to the best post. I imagine Macdonald will be more aggressive tonight. (9) BAYFIELD BEACH comes off a solid try and I can see him getting position early here. That makes him a threat. (4) REAL WILLEY set some big early splits in that race, and he finished ahead of the choice. He is sharp, but also 0 for 15 so far this year. I'd demand a price. (5) ROCKIN N TALKIN is in terrific form, but he faces tougher tonight and a slice is probably his ceiling. (3) DR JOE should be able to pass a few of these late and take a check.