Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 4/8

Top Pick Stats: 158 - 467 / $858.80 (-$75.20)

Best Bets: 27 - 42 / $108.50 (+$24.50)

Spot Plays: 9 - 42 / $59.60 (-$24.40)

Best Bet: SAULSBROOK VICTOR (3RD)

Spot Play: JK VICTORY (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,4,5,6,8/2,4,6,7/2/6,7/2,4,9 = $24.00

Late Pick 5: 3,6,9/5,8/6,7/4,6,7/1,5 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 6,7/2,4,9/3,6,9/5,8 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 4,6,7/1,5/2,3,8/3,4,9 = $10.80

Race 1: Horses that have started for a purse of $15K or less in 1 of L4 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) CAPITANO ITALIANO looked good beating easier last week and the probable pace scenario of this race looks tailor made for his stalking style; call to repeat. (6) DR JOE is another closer that figures to get a setup here and he should offer a good price in this spot; using. (5) ROCKME ROLLME races well in these classes and he is hard to dismiss. (8) ST LADS CASH is razor-sharp but I wonder if he will get a tougher trip this week starting from a worse post and facing more that like to leave quickly. I'd demand a price here.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(2) JAYPORT LEXUS never really got involved last week now he draws better, and Henry takes a return drive. I'll stick with him. (6) ARTSALIVE gets McNair after jogging at 1 to 9 at Flamboro and he is a speed threat here. (7) PROFUNDO is clearly fast enough to beat these but he can be quirky so I wouldn't take a short price. (8) HIGHWAY VAGABOND picked his way through traffic to nab 3rd in a race where the top two had separation on the field. That was a decent effort, and he can take another share here.

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Race 3: FREE FOR ALL

(2) SAULSBROOK VICTOR is in peak form, and he is clearly the one to beat in this top class right now. (1) SO MUCH MORE has proven her mettle against the boys in the past and the last time the choice lost at this level she was the winner. She should be the main threat here. (6) WHEELS ON FIRE, 2nd to the choice last time, is in the mix again. (7) NAUTICAL HANOVER couldn't be any sharper, but this is a big step up; small share predicted.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 4

(6) NULLI SECONDUS gets off the rail and he draws best here for this second start of his campaign. He should be more aggressive now and he gets top billing. (7) FREE TO DREAM flew late in his most recent start but that came more then a month ago. If he is sharp enough, he can be right there with these. (8) FULL HORSE was in some fast races last year and he goes for top connections. He can improve in this easier spot; using. (4) INDIGENOUS HANOVER was first up in the same race as the choice and he hung around for a slice. He can land in the Super here.

Race 5: NW $8,600 L5

(2) JK VICTORY was a six-figure private purchase for The Stable that showed little in his first two starts for them but looked much better last week, searching for room with pace in deep stretch and eventually flying up the inside when the wire hit. He took a mark of 1:48 2/5 last year so he is plenty fast enough for these when he is on his game, and I'll side with him tonight. (4) I AMA ROCKET crushed claiming foes last week and he is the obvious one to catch here but I wonder how many sub-1:52 miles he has in him. (9) HESINCONTROL beat better than these on February 11th and he interests me with McNair taking the reins. (1) WOODMERE FENN was terrific chasing down a loose leader. His strong current form is hard to ignore but he loses Macdonald for Hensley tonight and I prefer to use him underneath here.

Race 6: F&M NW $15,000 L5 or NW9 LT - Pick 5

(6) SILENT CROSSING gets off the rail and draws best in a spot where she can use her good gate speed in a field where there doesn't appear to be many that will be leaving hard; price play. (3) SPORTY TORI drops, and she is an obvious threat in a spot where she will probably get more aggressive. (9) SUNDAY AFTERNOON is another that should be leaving that is a possibility for multi-race tickets. (4) SHANGHAI SEELSTER is typically around the money at this level and she should take another share here.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $32,000 LT

(8) WHAMMER JAMMER raced better last time now he makes his third start back following a sick scratch. I'll give him a slight nod in a tough race. (5) DOC HOUSTON improved in his second start for Auciello and he gets off the rail tonight. He gets off the rail here and I think he gets better positioning from this post. He should be a threat. (7) CALL ME IT is the best in here on paper but he has missed four weeks so it's hard for me to accept a short price here. (3) MORE THAN YA KNOW picks up J Mac coming off a win and that makes him worth a look here.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 5 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

(7) SUN CHIP has raced twice at this class since being claimed by Team Cullen and he crushed his foes both times. He is the clear one to beat here. (6) MAGICAL ARTHUR raced decently in his seasonal debut when 3rd to the choice after starting from the 10-hole. There is a good chance he will land in the choice's pocket early in this mile and that makes him dangerous. (4) P L OCTAVIUS is capable of closing for a good share if he has clear sailing tonight. (8) HUNTED HOUSE is in the mix every week and he can take another slice here.

Race 9: F&M NW $26,000 L5 AE: NW $120,000 LT - Pick 4

Maritimes win machine (7) THEREALPRINCESS may offer some value here making her first start for new connections because she simply doesn’t show a race fast enough to win here. But racing on the bigger track as a four-year-old in her first start out of the Auciello barn, improvement is likely and I'll take a price shot with her. (6) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON fits better here, and she should be a threat racing from close range; using. (4) RAPTORS WON comes off a strong closing effort and she can get a setup here. She is another in with a chance. (5) WESTERN WISH drops and her best puts her right there but her current form makes me want to try to beat her at an underlaid price.

Race 10: PREFERRED 2

(1) WARRAWEE VITAL got a needed start in and he was finding his stride at the end of that mile. He should be more aggressive now and he is the one to beat here. (5) MOMAS SON BYRNE closed from a tough spot to finish 3rd in the New Holland series final and he will be the one to fend off here but I wonder if he will get over bet. (7) AMERICAN HISTORY tried to bottom out the field and he couldn't see it through. A change of tactics may be coming tonight. (2) CENTURY HEINEKEN is capable at this level but this isn’t an easy spot for his 2023 debut. I'll give him one and expect him to close for a share.

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Race 11: NW $15,000 L5 AE: NW9 or $100,000 LT

Class droppers should dominate this dash. I'll side with (2) THE LONGEST YARD, who raced well in a couple of legs of the New Holland Series. (8) WOODMERE STEALDEAL is yet another exiting the New Holland series and he is sure to flash speed in this spot. He could be the one to catch when they turn for home. (3) BAYFIELD BEACH was picked off right on the line two starts back when he raced at this level. He is in with a shot here. (4) ARMOR SEELSTER exits the same stakes series and he should be more aggressive here facing easier and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 12: 5YO and Younger claiming $35,000

(4) JJ TOMMY is 2 for 2 since being claimed by a barn that has clicked with a win rate of 35% so far in 2023 and a threepeat looms here. (3) TANGO SEELSTER has been facing tougher and he should wake up in this spot. Expect an aggressive steer. (8) JOE RICH raced aggressively but he couldn't hold off the choice. I could see him turning the tables here if he gets a trip. (7) PICK A GENRE flew home in an improved effort and he is in with a puncher’s chance here. (1) SPORTS SECTION had pace but no room in the lane last week; price look for the exotics.