Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 4/23

Meet Stats: 183 - 575 / $1053.10 (-$97.00)
Best Bets: 33 - 54 / $109.40 (+$1.40)
Spot Plays: 19 - 53 / $120.50 (+$12.50)
Best Bet: LINEDRIVE HANOVER (8th)
Spot Play: MACHIN A TRICK (3rd)
Early Pick 5: 3,6,9/2,7/1,7,8/2,6,9/5,9 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 1,3,6/6,8/2/1,5,8/4,6,7 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 2,6,9/5,9/1,3,6/6,8 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2/1,5,8/4,6,7/1,5,9 = $27
Race 1: Popup Starters NW $35,000 in 2021-22 N/A $1,500/Start in 2021-22 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(6) CHOREOGRAPHER got a dream run up the inside last week, but he showed a new dimension, passing horses late in the mile. Off that effort, he gets the call to repeat. (3) HARRY G rallied well in that race and he could do here if he is a bit closer at the head of the lane; using. (9) RIVER DALI had a tough trip last week. Moving to the 9-hole ensures he is a good price and Macdonald has been great at finding winning trips for these types; upset chance. (7) GOOD AND SWEET has been racing well from anywhere and he should be in the exotics mix here.
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Race 2: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or NW $25,000 L10 or NW5 or $90,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000
(2) KICKUPYAHEELS N raced much better on the class drop last week and Macdonald stays loyal as she steps up one level here. She can repeat against these. (7) SHES GOT IT ALL has come back sharp at four and her mile two starts back shows she can contend vs. this group. (6) BLACK BETTY drops back to a level where she fits better. She likely sits and rallies for a share tonight. (5) SNOW SHARK doesn't win often but she is rarely out of the Super, either; using underneath.
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Race 3: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000
(8) MACHIN A TRICK got an impossible trip and still didn't miss by much last week. I can see him getting claimed here which would mean a speed blast is likely coming; top call. (7) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ shoots for the fourpeat racing out of the Fellows barn off the claim and he is hard to leave out of the early Pick 5 considering how sharp he has been. (1) MISSION THREE closes well most weeks and he will find the winner's circle one of these weeks; maybe tonight? (6) BETTOR NOTBITTER A should be closer here on the class drop; using underneath.
Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $38,500 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $25,000 - Pick 4
(2) PETER POOLE has had excuses in his past couple of starts now he drops one level. I'll give him the nod expecting a more aggressive drive. (9) TWIN B HEART THROB's return race was good and he should be right there vs. these; using. (6) OKEE FROM MUSKOGEE looks sharp and ready for his return and he showed last year that he has the speed to beat these. He is another in with a shot here. (10) NOCH TEN doesn't get bet but he is sharp and he isn’t impossible in this spot despite drawing widest.
Race 5: Horses that have raced for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of last 4
This should be an easy spot for (9) SPEEDY DOMINIC A who typically faces much better and gets into this race because he raced for a purse of $15K four starts back; top call. (5) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR is the other dropper that figures and he is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (2) YACHT SEELSTER is in great form but this is a tougher version of this class; using underneath. (8) LETS GET PICKLED got a tough trip last week and rallied late. I can see a similar situation for him in this spot; using underneath.
Race 6: F&M NW $25,000 L5 AE: NW $175,000 LT - Pick 5
These seven mares get to dodge superstar So Much More this week and the nod goes to (3) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A who finished closest to her last week. (6) DREAM DANCING won well on the class drop when she returned to a 7-day cycle last week and she shouldn't be out of place stepping up to face these; using. (1) SHES NUN BETTOR A will likely be a speed threat here and she should be an exotics factor in this spot. (4) LYONS TILT HANOVER was a winner last time she raced at this level. She should be good for at least a share tonight.
Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW4 or $67,500 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $40,000
(6) P L OZZY looked good last week beating easier. He gets the call to repeat off that sharp mile despite the step up in class tonight. (8) P L OCTAVIUS made two moves in a good effort and he figures to be a threat right back racing on or near the front. (3) MERITO HANOVER re-rallied after taking the early lead and he should be in the exotics mix again tonight. (4) TEXAS MIKI usually contends for at least a share. He is a good one to use on the bottom of the exotics tonight.
Race 8: NW $23,000 L5 or $32,000 L10 or NW $140,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $80,000 - Pick 4
(2) LINEDRIVE HANOVER seems to be on a collision course with the Preferred pacers and his lengthy win streak is unlikely to be broken here tonight. (8) COMMANDING OFFICER has raced well in the top class the past two weeks and he should be a factor here. (7) REVOLT has been in over his head racing in the top class. He fits better here and he can take a share. (1) REAL WILLEY rarely misses the top four and he should sit a trip and take a smaller share.
Race 9: NW $11,000 L5 or $24,000 L10 or NW7 or $95,200 LT
(1) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N was just short last week racing against a big favorite that was class-dropping. He is in with a decent chance here starting from the inside. (8) CENTURY HEINEKEN tripped out to win last week but he should be sharper now after getting two starts in and he should be a threat. (5) MAPPOS LION can be better here making his second start back. He has only missed the board 5 times in 23 starts in 2021-22 and he should be in the exotics mix. (6) NICKLE BAG races better at this level and he is worth using underneath on the class drop.
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Race 10: NW $3,700 L5 or $8,000 L10
(7) CHIEFS BEACH was racy in the pocket last week and McNair had no choice but to move him to the front and let him roll. The fast fractions took their toll. He can beat these if he is more manageable. It makes sense to check him in the post parade before betting. (4) CENTURY FURY was a good 2nd to a sharp winner last week and he figures to be a speed threat here; using. (6) CROSSCUT closed well for Sorrie last week now he gets a better post which should mean he will be better positioned early in the mile. He should be a late threat tonight. (2) ONE FOR JULIUS is worth a look for the exotics at a price racing off the Guillemette claim.
Race 11: NW $5,000 L5 or $13,500 L8
(5) JM JACK OF HEARTS is one of several class droppers in here and he will likely offer a good price considering his form since he won a class higher on 3/12. He is capable of waking up in this spot; price play. (1) GRAND POOBAH won at this level three starts back and he should get a good trip racing near the front tonight; using. (9) DONTPOKETHEDRAGON almost lasted on the engine last week and he should be blasting again; speed threat. (6) CAPTAIN VIDEO fits well and draws nicely here. He should get a more aggressive steer tonight and he is another in with a shot. (4) RESPECT OUR FLAG's middle move to the front didn't work last week. He likely sits and rallies this time.

