Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 4/22

Top Pick Stats: 160 - 478 / $873.60 (-$82.40)

Best Bets: 27 - 43 / $108.50 (+$22.50)

Spot Plays: 9 - 43 / $59.60 (-$26.40)

Best Bet: COLD CREEK QUESO (5TH)

Spot Play: NYTRO J (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 1,3/2,6,8/3,6,8/5,8,10/1 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 1,2/2,6,7/3,10/4/1,6,7,9 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 5,8,10/1/1,2/2,6,7 = $3.60

Late Pick 4: 1,6,7,9/3,5/2,7/3,5 = $6.40

Race 1: ONTARIO SIRED GRADUATE SERIES TROT Final for 3YO Fillies **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) HP EXTRA ICE showed last week she is the best in here. The only concern is if her gait issues might resurface starting from the rail. (3) MUSCLING VEGAS burned money two weeks straight, but she is the most logical winner if the choice falters. (5) SOUTHWIND CHARDNAY raced much better last week. She is in the exotics mix tonight. (7) MATCH MEIF YOU CAN beat the two choices in the opening leg and her potent gate speed will put her in position early tonight. I prefer to use her underneath in this spot, however.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(8) NYTRO J raced super in his 2023 debut, and he likely would have won if he got clear earlier. He gets the nod here. (2) BROOKDALE MIKI's sophomore debut was good, and he can be even sharper tonight. He's in with a decent chance here. (6) CALL ME IT should improve here drawing best and making his third start back after missing four weeks; price look. (1) KRAKEN SEELSTER paced a sub-55 kicker last time and he can take a slice here.

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Race 3: ONTARIO SIRED GRADUATE SERIES PACE Final

(3) CHEDDA CHEDDA is the best mare in this series, and she will likely blast and look for the same trip that she got in the Blizzard series final; top call. (8) ELISES DELIGHT will likely blast to the front, and she could provide a perfect pocket for the choice. She is the main threat, though. (6) TRUE THAT will be flying late last time and she could upset here if the race falls apart late. (4) TESLA POWER has been good in this series, and she should take a share racing close to the front throughout.

Race 4: NW $14,500 L5 or $31,250 L8 AE: NW $100,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) THE LONGEST YARD paced a 52 1/5 back 1/2 last week and could do no better than 4th racing in the top class. He looks good on the drop here. (8) WOODMERE STEALDEAL is right there every week, and he is another that should like this class level; using. (10) LETS TIE ONE ON has raced well in every start since shipping east from the prairies and he is another in with a chance at what should be a square price. (2) ARIO HANOVER raced decently in his first start for new connections. He can close for a share here.

Race 5: ONTARIO SIRED GRADUATE SERIES PACE Final

(1) COLD CREEK QUESO showed he was ready last week by pacing out of his skin in the final 1/4 to get the decision by way of a 25-flat kicker. It's scary to think he may be even sharper now with that race under his belt. (7) DREAMFAIR ARNIE B passed horses as the pace accelerated in that race. That was a decent 2023 debut, and he is worth using in the Exacta at a price tonight. (8) CAMARA MOMENT couldn't stave off the choice last week, the 59 1/.5 middle 1/2 that he stole turning the race into a sprint. He will probably set a much swifter pace tonight and try to bottom out the field and he has shown he can pace a sub-1:50 mile racing on the front. (2) KOLBY TWO STEP can improve enough in this second start back to close for a share.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRED GRADUATE SERIES TROT Final - Pick 5

(1) DEVILS ARCH is clearly best in this field and if he stays flat, he will be very hard to beat. (2) LIKE CHAOS was in a tough spot at the 3/4 pole last week and he kept coming to get 3rd in a fast final 1/4. Henry will probably be more aggressive with him this time and that gives him a chance. (8) THE GREAT RESET raced better last week when 2nd to the choice and he is in the exotics mix again. (9) AIRBORNE was good last week but he will need to be much faster here to challenge the choice. Starting from the widest post, I'll use him underneath.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW $15,000 LT

(6) BRUE HANOVER, who has Grand Circuit lines at two, should handle these if the intent is there in this sophomore debut. (2) LAZ got the job done from a wide post now he draws inside, and this improving colt is a contender right back. (7) THE MOMENT AROSE shows two good qualifiers prepping for this sophomore debut and he should be in the exotics mix vs. these. (3) MORE THAN YA KNOW gets Lasix which could explain why he couldn't keep up to cover that didn't stop in his last start. He should be good for a share tonight.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRED GRADUATE SERIES PACE Final for 3YO Colts and Geldings

(3) NIGHTIME DANCER raced terrific to get 2nd coming from impossible positioning as the pace accelerated and I’ll give him the call to upset the obvious favorite, (10) NO CONTROL, mainly due to how the draw shook out. The latter has been outstanding in the preliminary legs but him drawing worst makes this race competitive. You'll likely have to take odds-on if you stick with him. (5) BAR DOWN JIM motored home from a tough spot last week. I see him landing in the Tri or Super tonight. (1) ARTSALIVE should race near the front again and stick around for a share.

Race 9: FREE FOR ALL

(4) WARAWEE VITAL has hit his best stride now and he will likely head to the front and defy his rivals to catch him; call to repeat. (6) SAULSBROOK VICTOR waited too long to move last week. He draws best now which gives him some options at the start and he should be the main threat. (3) NAUTICAL HANOVER stole soft fractions last week and then prevailed. I don't see him getting the same trip tonight and I'll play to beat him. (2) WHEELS ON FIRE is in the mix every week and he could easily better this placing.

Race 10: NW $8,000 L5 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 - Pick 4

(9) MAPPOS LION stretched his legs vs. better and paced a sub-54 back 1/2 in his 2023 debut now he takes a big drop. He should get a more aggressive steer now and he gets the nod. (6) BAYFIELD BEACH, another dropper, can wake up in this spot starting from the best post and he should get a good slice tonight. (7) IAMA ROCKET was first up racing into the teeth of a sub-27 kicker, and he was right there at the wire. His price goes up tonight and he is worth a look for the exotics. (1) HAIL CHRISTIAN N’s comeback race was good, and he can sit a trip and land in the exotics here.

Race 11: Winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

(3) MATAI LOUIS N will likely stack these up behind him at the start again and he needs to be caught as he shoots for the threepeat. (5) HP MOMENTUM closed from a tough spot to win last week, nailing a tripped-out leader on the wire. His barn continues to run hot, and he is dangerous. (1) HUNTED HOUSE is on the board every week and he should get a good following trip here and continue that streak. (6) BETTER SUNSET got a golden trip last week and he couldn’t seal the deal. I'll use him on the bottom here.

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Race 12: 5YO and Younger Claiming $35,000

(7) THE LEGEND HANOVER was bet like he couldn't lose last week, and he delivered a crushing performance. He gets the call to repeat facing similar. (2) JJ TOMMY rallied well for 3rd in that mile, and he is the most likely alternative to the choice, who isn't going to fire those huge miles forever. I think J Mac looks to get the pocket early this time. (4) PICK A GENRE is another that rallied well in defeat, and he should be in the exotics mix again. (5) DRAGON ENERGY chased the choice last week, but he couldn’t go with him late in the mile; small share predicted here.

Race 13: Horses that have started for a purse of $15K or less in 1 of L4

(5) CODENAME CIGAR BOX is razor-sharp, and he gets the nod to notch a threepeat here. (3) ROCKME ROLLME raced great in defeat on 4/8 and he should be right there again despite having missed a week. (6) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N, 3rd to the choice last week, should sit a similar trip racing close to the front and land in the exotics. (4) MAJOR HILL N prevailed in his first start for Barrington, but this is a tougher spot. I'll use him underneath. (9) SEA LAIRD races tough most weeks and he is worth a look at a price for the bottom of the exotics.