Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 3/26

Meet Stats: 134 - 432 / $724.10 (-$139.80)
Best Bets: 21 - 40 / $57.70 (-$22.30)
Spot Plays: 16 - 40 / $105.10 (+$25.10)
Best Bet: WIND BLOWN (10TH)
Spot Play: GREAT SOMEWHERE (7TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,9/3,7,8/5,6/4,5,9/1,3,6,9 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 5,7/5,6/2,3/1,5,7,8/6 = $6.40
Early Pick 4: 4,5,9/1,3,6,9/5,7/5,6 = $48
Late Pick 4: 2,3/1,5,7,8/6/1,2,4 = $24
Race 1: NW3 or $30,000 LT AE: 4YO to be Claimed for $25,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(2) PETER POOLE absolutely jogged in his second start racing out of the Schneider barn and off that sharp win, I'll give him the nod to repeat. (9) COOLSUNSHINE was bet like he couldn't lose last week and he made two moves then left his rivals in his dust. He is the one to beat here. (3) IM KING CONN has the speed to go with these when he behaves. I'll use him underneath tonight. (4) LUX SEELSTER should close for another small share tonight.
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Race 2: NW $13,000 L5 or $24,000 L8 or NW $100,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $40,000
(7) ALL THE TRUTH makes his first start for Moreau since being sold privately and he trotted strong to the wire in his last start in a fast race at the Meadowlands. He fits well here and he gets the nod. (3) ONLY FOR JUSTICE figures on the class drop tonight and he is one that is hard to leave off the Pick 5. (8) SAYLOR is another that was just bought that fits well and he can contend on his first start over this track; using. (2) MUSCLE FASHION raced well last week and he should be in the exotics mix again.
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Race 3: PREFERRED
(6) WHEELS ON FIRE did what he does best last week, using his speed to discourage his rivals and he got back on track. I'll give him the nod here, understanding that there are three or four in here capable of winning in a class that seems to have a different horse step up each week now. (5) JIMMY FRIEGHT was in good position turning for home and he finished evenly, perhaps affected by the off track and weather. He is obviously capable. (7) UHTRED is right there every week and he is another that is in the mix although he seems more likely to take a share leaving from the widest post. (3) REVOLT closed well in the rain last week but I'm not convinced yet that he is a Preferred horse. I'll use him underneath.
Race 4: NW $8,000 L5 or $21,000 L10 - Pick 4
(5) NICKLE BAG was a winner last time he raced this low and he gets the nod on the class drop here. (9) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N was a predictable winner vs. easier after shipping in from New York and he should offer a decent price here drawing wide on the class rise; using. (4) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER is another that should improve on the class drop and he will likely get more aggressive early in this mile. He is another possibility for multi-race tickets. (6) ROCKME ROLLME should pass some of these and land in the bottom of the Tri or Super.
Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW4 or $62,000 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $40,000
(9) DR JOE races first off the Cullen claim and he could offer a good price from the 9-hole. I'll side with him to edge (1) ITS IN THE STARS, who has excelled since Macdonald took over the driving duties. (3) BETTORBEFLYIN closed into an accelerating late pace last week and he has upset potential tonight; using. (6) HIGH FLYING JAMIE adds Lasix off a win which is interesting to me. He is another in with a shot here.
Race 6: NW $6,700 L5 or $15,000 (F&M $24,000) L10 - Pick 5
(7) TREASURED TEE dug in late to preserve a win in his 2022 debut and he can be even sharper in this second start back; call to repeat. (5) CINDY LYNN looked like a winner last week until the even money choice, who sat in the entire race, found room, and rolled by late. Her style could conflict with the choice's here, but she is a threat. (4) STONEBRIDGE SYMBA's comeback race was good but he ran into the best version of Nylander, who wasn't going to get beat. He should contend again tonight. (6) SHES GOT PIZAZZ should produce another closing effort to take a share tonight.
Race 7: Starters for a Purse of $12,000 or Less in 1 or Last 4
(5) GREAT SOMEWHERE looked like he was about to take over the front end at the 3/4 pole and sprint off to a win when the leader broke and carried him about 10 lanes wide, costing him all chance. Facing similar here, I'll give him the nod. (6) SUNDOWN KID is capable vs. these types and his qualifier was good. He could be a speed threat here. (3) ICY BLUE SCOOTER got a clear run up the inside after the leader broke and he couldn't convert. I'll use him underneath. (2) STATE OF PLAY can close for another slice here.
Race 8: NW $16,000 L5 or $35,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT OPT CLM: $45,000 - Pick 4
The (2) LINEDRIVE HANOVER express keeps rolling and he figures to take another here as he keeps winning through his conditions. (3) EAST END drops and he should be an Exacta factor racing from close range tonight. (6) STONEBRIDGE REX set some big splits and almost lasted and he should be in the exotics mix again; using underneath. (10) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE raced great considering the brutal trip he got last week. I can see him rallying late for a share here.
Race 9: NW $3,800 L5 or $8,000 L8
(7) HERVEY HANOVER paced a huge mile in defeat on Monday night. Assuming he has something left in the tank with him making his fifth start in 20 days here, he can beat these. (1) KOUNT BLASTER has been used too hard early in his past two starts. I can see him making a middle move to the front this time and lasting longer on the engine; using. (5) ISITFRIDAYYET could improve sharply on the barn change and the tote board could provide some clues with this one. (8) GRAND POOBAH should improve on the class drop and he is another in with a shot in a tough race.
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Race 10: NW $11,000 L5 or $23,500 L10
(6) WIND BLOWN gets post and class relief after getting two brutal trips in a row from wide posts and he gets the nod vs. these. (1) THRILLING TIMES is right there every week and he should get a good following trip on cover tonight; Exacta factor. (2) INTRIGUED AGAIN is another that is razor-sharp who should be in the exotics mix tonight. (4) HES SWIFT comes off two game front end efforts but he is sure to get competition from the choice for the lead this week; using underneath.
Race 11: Popup Starters NW $30,000 in 2021/22 – Jackpot Hi-5 Mandatory Payout
This race goes through (4) AIR STRIKE to me. He was hard-used twice from the 10-hole and not beaten far in either of his last two starts. He should have an easier time early in this race starting from a much better post and the best place to be is often on the lead in these 12-horse fields where it seems someone always gets hopelessly hung out; top call. (2) GOOD AND SWEET had an impossible trip last week parked most of the mile and 4th-over stuck behind dead cover at the 3/8ths pole. Yet he was still coming at the wire, gaining on the leaders. He can win this with a better trip. (1) FARMERS TAN goes for Auciello off the claim and adds Lasix, a move that has produced winners in the past. Sharp improvement from this gelding would not be a shock tonight. (3) STOLEN ART is capable of much better than he showed in his last two starts when he lagged behind at the start after leaving from wide posts. He should be part of this High-5. (8) LITTLE MANNY has been in solid form for several weeks and I can see him sitting and rallying for a share tonight.
I'm going to work my High-5 tickets around the assumption that (4) AIR STRIKE and (2) GOOD AND SWEET will both finish in the top 3:
2,4/2,4/1,3,8/1,3,5,6,8,9/All = $48
2,4/1,3,8/2,4,8/1,3,5,6,8,9/All = $48
1,3,8/2,4/2,4/1,3,5,6,8,9/All = $48

