Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 3/25

Top Pick Stats: 145 - 428 / $811.30 (-$44.70)

Best Bets: 25 - 39 / $103.00 (+$25.00)

Spot Plays: 8 - 39 / $56.70 (-$21.30)

Best Bet: HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER (9TH)

Spot Play: AMERICAN HISTORY (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 5,6/5,7/3,5,6/5,7/5,8,9 = $14.40

Middle Pick 5: 3,5,6/2,3,8,9/3,7/7/3,6,8 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 7/3,6,8/1,6,9,10/3,6/1,3,7,8 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 5,7/5,8,9/3,5,6/2,3,8,9 = $14.40

Late Pick 4: 3,6,8/1,6,9,10/6/1,3,7,8 = $9.60

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) JAYPORT LEXUS was conservatively driven on debut, and he finished willingly on the inside while lacking room. He can beat these if he gets put into the race. (6) NULLI SECONDUS shows two very good qualifiers preparing for this sophomore debut and he attracts McNair. He will likely be the one to catch. (2) CAPTAINS PICK returns from a break after having gait issues. I'll use him underneath expecting the main goal to be getting him around for a flat mile. (1) SKY LOW LOW should be good for another slice in this spot.

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Race 2: NW $26,500 L5 or NW $110,000 LT

(5) AMERICAN HISTORY will surely look to impose his will on the class drop here and he should be the one to catch and beat. (7) BACKSTREET GAMBLER won easier than it looks in the program last week and he continues to be razor-sharp, but he gets a big test here. (4) ROLL WITH THE FLOW was close at this level two starts back and he is in the mix here. (6) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE tripped out to win at this level but this is a tougher field tonight and I'll use him underneath.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW $15,000 LT

(3) RED COIN looked good stepping up and sprinting away from the chalk in the lane last week. He is razor-sharp and he gets the call to repeat. (6) TOUR CHAMPION is another sharp horse that seeks a threepeat and he can be a threat racing on or near the front here. (5) MORE THAN YA KNOW should improve in this second start back and he picks up McNair now; price look. (8) GENTLEONMYMIND can use his good late kick to close for a share here.

Race 4: NW $8,000 L5 or $95,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000 - Pick 4

This looks like a good spot for class dropper (5) EMMETTS BUDDY to get back on track and I'll give him the nod here starting from a good post and getting back to a 7-day cycle. (7) SPORTS FAN is another that figures to improve on the class drop and I expect him to be leaving hard in this spot; using. (2) WOODMERE FENN got a needed clean line and I see him closing for a share tonight. (9) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES is sharp, and I can see him taking a share at a price here.

Race 5: NEW HOLLAND TROTTING SERIES FINAL

(8) SERMON was impressive last week, and he will be tough to beat here in this stakes series final if he finds another 27-flat kicker. (9) LOCATELLI also looked good, and he could be even sharper now making this third start back. He should be the main threat despite drawing wide. (5) FRANKS ANGEL rarely misses the top three and he likely won't get bet again tonight; price look underneath. (3) TOCCOA FALLS will get put into action early by McNair and he should be part of the exotics.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 5

(3) NORTHERN CARDINAL is interesting to me being driven by Macdonald both tonight and in his lone qualifier. I'll take a shot with him at first asking. (5) HIGHWAY VAGABOND closed well last week, and he is worth using vs. these. (6) CONTROL THE SMILE finished with pace after angling out for room in the lane last week and he is another in with a shot. (4) PH JIM shoots for a threepeat but faces tougher. I’ll use him underneath.

Race 7: NEW HOLLAND PACING SERIES FINAL

(2) ARIO HANOVER was asked for nothing until the final 1/16th last week and he was flying late but ran out of racetrack. That easy trip should have him set up perfectly for this final and he will be involved earlier; call to upset. (8) NAUTICAL HANOVER paced an uncovered 26 4/5 third 1/4 last week then drew off for another win. He couldn't be any sharper and he is the one to beat. (9) CAMARA MOMENT isn't dropping back to last with $70K on the line tonight, is he? If he can clear quickly, he might be tough to catch. (3) MOMAS SON BYRNE will be closing in the final 1/16th as always and he could get a setup. He is another in with a shot in a good betting race.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $32,000 LT

(7) WILLIAM HANOVER was an impressive winner in his first start for Menary and he gets the call to repeat here. (3) GANDOLF THE BLACK raced decently first up against a repeat winner now he gets the leading driver for this second start back. He's in with a chance tonight. (5) BETTER SUNSET got a perfect trip, and he had a clear shot at the choice, but he couldn't go by. I'll use him underneath tonight. (1) WHAMMER JAMMER can close for another share here.

Race 9: NW $16,000 L5 or $30,000 L10 - Pick 5

This is a big drop for (7) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER and he should be hard to beat here as the likely heavy chalk. (8) HESINCONTROL is the other dropper in here and he was 2nd beaten a length to the choice four starts back racing in a higher class than tonight's. He can round out this Exacta. (6) REAL WILLEY always puts himself in position to get a share and he is in the exotics mix again. (3) PIPEWRENCH CHARLIE raced tough last week, and he persevered to nab 2nd. He can take another slice here.

Race 10: Horses that have started for a purse of $15K or less in 1 of L4 - Pick 4

(3) LETS TIE ONE ON looked good winning his local debut and he can be even sharper now returning in seven days; call to repeat. (6) KING TRITON A, who was facing tougher in New York, gets the leading driver here and he is the clear threat to the choice. (8) LOVEMYROCKINBIRD wired the top class in London on Monday night despite having missed a month. He could upset here if he finds a pocket trip. (5) JOE DIMAGIO struck out as the chalk in his local debut, but he was used hard early in the mile. He can improve in this spot.

Race 11: NW $4,000 L5 AE: Starters for a purse of $7,500 L4

(9) FINAL CHEESERECIPE gets McNair back and this duo teamed up for a win here two starts back. Expect a more aggressive steer and a better result tonight. (6) GA SPEED SAMMY raced well at this level last week when beaten by a class dropper and he draws better now. He would be no surprise tonight. (1) SIMON SAYS HANOVER drops and he will likely go off as an overlay in this spot; using. (10) FLYING ART A raced decently in his first start over this track, and he is worth using underneath at a price here.

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Race 12: 5YO and Younger Claiming $35,000

(6) JJ TOMMY is 2 for 2 since being claimed and he has a good shot at the threepeat here facing mostly the same bunch that he beat last week. (3) JOE RICH got hammered at the windows on the class drop last week and he ended up providing perfect cover for the choice. I could see him turning the tables tonight with a different trip. (2) BORN A REBEL wasn't far behind the top two and he should be in the exotics mix again. (5) TUF COOPER, stablemate to the choice, set the early pace last week and stayed for a share. I see a similar scenario developing for him tonight.

Race 13: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

Wide-open finale here. I'll shoot for the upset with (1) JACK PANIC, who got room in deep stretch last week, but it was too late as the top two were long gone. (7) HUNTED HOUSE needed six more feet of racetrack to nail the choice in a good effort where he finished ahead of the choice; using. (3) MAGICAL ARTHUR looks well prepped for this 2023 debut and J Mac chose him over Hunted House. He is hard to leave off the late Pick 4 in this field. (8) HP MOMENTUM should find some cover tonight and that gives him a chance at a price. (2) STOP THE SHOOTIN should be good for a share starting from the inside.