Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 2/5

Meet Stats: 55 - 180 / $307.60 (-$52.40)
Best Bets: 6 - 17 / $21.30 (-$12.70)
Spot Plays: 4 - 17 / $35.30 (+$1.30)
Best Bet: WIND BLOWN (8TH)
Spot Play: COLD RAGE (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 4,6,8/2,4/2,8/2,3,9/6,9,10 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 2,3,6/1,3,10/5/6/1,2 = $3.60
Early Pick 4: 2,3,9/6,9,10/3/1,3,10 = $27
Late Pick 4: 5/6/1,2/1,2,4,6 = $8
Race 1: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) OUTKAST BLUE CHIP paced a big winning mile in London on Tuesday night and from a wide post here he should offer a great price; call to upset. (4) LOVEMYROCKINBIRD was razor-sharp winning when claimed by Marfisi and that 27 2/5 kicker plays well here; using. There likely isn't anything wrong with (6) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ that finding a live helmet in the flow wouldn't fix. I doubt he will be first up tonight and that makes him a threat. (9) MACH IMPACT shoots for the threepeat racing off the Fellows claim. I'll use him underneath starting from the outside in a tough spot.
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Race 2: PREFERRED
(2) WHEELS ON FIRE has won three in a row at this level with ease and he is the one to knock off again tonight. (4) JIMMY FREIGHT got backed up around the last turn by stalled cover then he closed well. He is looking better every week and he will get there at this level one of these weeks. (5) UHTRED was no match for the choice last week and he likely takes another slice here. (6) POSEIDON SEELSTER adds Lasix for this 2nd start back and he should improve enough to land in the Tri or Super tonight.
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Race 3: NW4 (F&M5) or $40,000 (Ontario-Sired $60,000) LT
(8) COLD RAGE doesn't have to face L Dees Patrick who has been bottoming out fields recently. That means he shouldn't be gapped so far back and this is a field he can beat if he is in striking range at the 3/4 pole; top call. (2) POWERFUL SPIRIT has been facing tougher for several weeks. This is a spot where I can see him moving early and possibly controlling the pace; using. (7) HARRY broke while on the move last week. He can take a share here if he stays flat. (1) MODERN MASS steps up but his form is good and he can land in the Tri or Super.
Race 4: NW $11,700 L5 or $23,000 L8 or NW $95,000 LT - Pick 4
(3) EAST END was hung the mile when he dropped to this level on 1/22 now he gets a driver change to Henry from Hudon. That's a move that produced a $50 winner last week; call to upset. (2) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE has been right there in every start since shipping east to Ontario and Macdonald has been a good partner for him; using. (9) HES SWIFT is typically right there when he races at this level and he could be the value horse for early multi-race tickets getting regular pilot Drury back in the bike. (5) REAL WILLEY was flying late to get a share last week and I see more of the same for him tonight.
Race 5: NW $5,000 L5 or $13,000 L10
(10) FOREFATHER faces easier coming off a break and his qualifier signals readiness. Drawing widest will help his price, too. (6) MAJOR CUSTARD missed a check twice in a row so he gets to drop here and he should contend vs. these; using. (9) HERVEY HANOVER is another dropper that fits here but I don't love a wide post for him; using underneath. (8) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES can rally for another small share in this spot.
Race 6: Horses who started in a Popup event who are NW $57,000 in 2021-2022 - Pick 5
(3) NIGHT WATCHMAN made a big move around the last turn that he couldn't sustain all the way to the wire but that was a good effort and I could see him going down the road tonight. (6) CAPITANO ITALIANO edged the choice and his tactical speed makes him a contender here; Exacta factor. (2) AREUKIDINME CABBIE has shown he fits well vs. Popup rivals and he should be in the exotics mis tonight. (4) CHAMPAGNE PHIL sat and rallied, probably getting the best trip of all last week. Price is gone now and I'll use him underneath.
Race 7: NW $6,000 L5 or $17,000 L9
(3) KAMERAN HANOVER changed tactics last week and he had a clear lead in the lane then tired. Missing a check means he gets to drop again and that race can serve as a speed tightener. I like him vs. these making his fourth start off a break. (10) ON THE ROPES hasn't raced in a class this low since last June and he was a winner that night. He should be a threat here despite drawing widest. (1) H P ROYAL THEO is another dropper worth considering here and he also gets a driver upgrade to Henry. (6) VEYRON made a big move on route to beating easier but stepping up and facing class droppers likely means he finishes on the edges tonight.
Race 8: NW $8,300 L5 or $18,900 L9 - Pick 4
(5) WIND BLOWN takes a big class plunge here and he should handle this group, likely leading all the way. (3) JM JACK OF HEARTS raced big in defeat to a big chalk last week and he should be an Exacta factor again tonight. (1) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER made a failed early move last week and he paid the price. He can get a better trip here and land in the Tri. (8) GRAND POOBAH has a knack for finishing 4th. He could round out the Super again.
Race 9: NW4 or $62,000 LT
(6) ROCK N ZEUS beat most of these last week racing first-over and off that strong effort he gets the call to repeat here. (3) FOUR FINGER FLOYD gets away from the streaking Linedrive Hanover this week and he could add some value to the Exacta. (9) LOU ED ZEPPELIN produced a strong rally when 2nd to the choice and he should contend for a share again despite drawing widest. (7) LITTLE MANNY can pass a few of these late and land in the Tri or Super.
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Race 10: NW $22,000 L5 or $30,000 L10 or NW $140,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000
There hasn't been a sharper horse than (2) COMMANDING OFFICER at this track in the past few months and while he gets his toughest test tonight, I think he'll be up to it. (1) WOODMERE STEALDEAL is an obvious threat dropping out of the top class and he is hard to leave off late multi-race tickets. (7) BEYOND BETTER dropped and expectedly popped but the two choices are much tougher and I'll use him underneath. (5) REVOLT is a good one to use on the bottom of the exotics at a price.
Race 11: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $37,500 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $25,000
(4) TEXAS MIKI raced okay in the Snowshoe series now he is back where he fits best; top call. (2) ROYAL TANG carved out some big fractions and outlasted some overmatched rivals as the 1 to 2 chalk. That was the fastest mile of the night by more than a second, however, and he is sharp and dangerous. (1) SPORTS REPORT is another exiting the Snowshoe series that fits better here and he could trip out starting from the rail; using. (6) HIPPYJOHN is capable but inconsistent. I see him taking a slice tonight. (10) PETER POOLE hasn't missed a check since shipping in. He can land in the bottom of the exotics tonight.

