Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 2/12

Meet Stats: 56 - 190 / $312.30 (-$67.70)

Best Bets: 6 - 18 / $21.30 (-$14.70)

Spot Plays: 5 - 18 / $40.00 (+$4.00)

Best Bet: KICKUPYAHEELS N (2ND)

Spot Play: DAY DELIGHT (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,4,6/5/1,7,8/1,5/3,5 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 4,7,9/1,2,6/1,2,5/3,6/4,5,7 = $32.40

Early Pick 4: 1,5/3,5/4,7,9/1,2,6 = $36

Late Pick 4: 3,6/4,5,7/2,4,7/5,6,7 = $54

Race 1: NW $11,000 L5 or $25,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) CHIEFS BEACH was right there at this level two starts back when Macdonald drove and he gets that driver back tonight. He will probably offer an overlaid price here; top call. (4) PRICLESS BEACH will no doubt take heavy action on the class drop because last time he raced this low on 12/26 he was an easy winner and he took his 2021 season's mark in the process. He is hard to leave off Pick 5 tickets. (6) ROCKME ROLLME gets post relief after pacing a 54 2/5 back 1/2 in his 2022 seasonal bow and he should be a threat tonight; using. (1) NIGHT WATCHMAN took a shuffle and re-rallied last week but these are tougher; small share predicted.

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Race 2: F&M NW2 or $62,000 LT

(5) KICKUPYAHEELS N finds a soft spot to kick off here 2022 campaign and she should convert as a big chalk. (3) STATE OF MIND is capable of better than she showed last week. She should get better position early in this short field; Exacta factor. (1) SPORTS DUCHESS is another making her 2022 debut and she flashed some ability in the local sires stakes last year; using underneath. (4) PAULAS BET HANOVER should show speed and stick around for a slice.

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Race 3: Popup 1st Leg

Tough Popup race here. (7) LITTLE MANNY was used up earlier when facing better last time but his race vs. NW4 stock two starts back puts him right there with these; slight nod. (1) EXIT SMILING faced the streaking Privelege twice and before that he beat the choice. He should have a decent chance in here. (8) THE LOAN RANGER has raced decently in some good London fields in his past four starts and he gets Roy in the bike for this. He is another possibility. (2) MILLENIUM SEELSTER can get a good trip and take a slice here.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW4 or $65,000 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $40,000 - Pick 4

(5) HESINCONTROL was a winner against similar on the driver change to McNair last week and that driver sticks here; call to repeat. (1) NO FREE LUNCH is fast enough to beat these and he looks well-prepped for this 2022 debut. The 28-flat kicker over a track rated three seconds slow suggests he is ready to roll; using. (3) DR JOE produced a nice late rally to get third behind the choice last time. He should be good for another share here. (4) LOU ED ZEPPELIN flashed big early speed last week then re-rallied late for a share after taking a shuffle. He should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $26,000 LT

(3) ITS IN THE STARS made an eye-catching move to beat maidens here on 1/31 and this isn't the toughest step up; call to repeat. (5) ODDS ON CARMEL flew home to almost nail a tiring leader and he will take a lot of action off that improved effort; using. (7) FLIGHT ONEFORTYSIX was a sharp maiden winner but this barn isn't known to string wins together; using underneath. This is an easier field for (4) PREMIER NACHO and he is worth a look for the exotics in a spot where he figures to improve.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $37,500 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $25,000 - Pick 5

(4) SPORTS REPORT flew late to beat similar last week and he gets a better post here; call to repeat. (7) HOLLYS TREASURE paced a big mile in defeat to the choice and he should be the main threat here. (9) P L OCTAVIUS gets away from hot Linedrive Hanover here and he has upset possibilities despite drawing widest. (8) SILVER MAPLE is another that should improve in this spot but I prefer to use him underneath.

Race 7: Popup 1st Leg

(6) DAY DELIGHT faces easier and he gets a much better post here. I expect Jamieson to put him into play leaving the gate and he gets the nod. (1) GOOD AND SWEET rallied for third in a fast mile and this race looks like a good fit for him. He should blast for position and that makes him a threat. (2) SNAP TEST exits a tough NW $3000L5 race and he should improve in this spot; using. (9) WHATAWAYTOGO is also in easier but from out there I'll use him on the bottom.

Race 8: NW $16,000 L5 or $32,500 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000

(1) NO PLAN INTENDED drops and he should get a good following trip in this spot; slight nod in a tough race. (2) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE is right there every week and he should be a threat here, more dangerous if he finds a live helmet to follow; using. (5) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N almost won at a higher level last time so he will take plenty of action here but he loses Macdonald and I am inclined to try to beat him. (7) REAL WILLEY did all the work on the engine and lasted. Stepping up I see him as a fringe player tonight.

Race 9: Horses Who Started in a Popup Event that are NW $63,000 in 2021-2022 - Pick 4

(3) ARUKIDINME CABBIE raced big on the rim last week but he provided perfect cover for the winner. Off that solid effort, he gets top billing here. (6) IDEAL JET made two moves while being involved in some swift fractions and he was only narrowly beaten. He keeps Macdonald here and he should be a big speed threat. (7) CHAMPAGNE PHIL got two good trips in a row and he converted in both races. He's not out of this, but I'm not sure he gets a third good trip in a row. Let price be your guide here. (1) PRIVILEGE has been on a roll racing at Flamboro but this is a lot tougher; small share predicted.

Race 10: PREFERRED HANDICAP

Interesting Preferred here with a bigger field than usual and handicap conditions. There should be plenty of early pace here with the outside three all figuring to blast off the gate. I'll take a swing with (5) POSEIDON SEELSTER making his third start back in a spot where he could get the setup that he craves. (4) JIMMY FREIGHT had no chance last week the way the race played out after the opening 1/2 was cut in 59-flat. He is another that could jump up at a price here. Some sharp handicappers were on (7) THE GREEK FREAK last week off a troubled trip the week before and he converted at a big price. He should offer another square price tonight; using. (8) WHEELS ON FIRE is hard to toss because he is so consistent but it makes sense to try to beat him here after not converting off the slow 1/2 last week and now drawing widest.

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Race 11: NW6 or $80,000 LT

(4) SOMEWHEREINVERONA goes for a barn that sends them ready and his 27 2/5 kicker indicates all systems go; top call. (7) LONG WEEKEND A was game in defeat last week, re-rallying late to just miss and he is another option in a race with several. (2) ROCK N ZEUS tried to blast last week and he ran soon after the start. He rallied well only to be set back. His price will be much better here and he should deploy a stalking approach; using. (3) TAKE A GAMBLE should be closer early tonight and that gives him a chance vs. these.

Race 12: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10

(5) CENTURY FURY raced tough after shipping in from New Jersey and missing a week but he couldn't get past a tough leader. He can be sharper now and he gets top billing here. Veteran (6) NICKLE BAG is the only horse in this race that isn't moving up in class and he also comes back quicker. He should be right there with these. (7) LETS GET PICKLED got an impossible parked out trip at Flamboro now he gets McNair in the bike. He should be a threat here. (2) HERVEY HANOVER gets post relief and Cullen back for this. There is some upset potential here. (8) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER was driven with purpose last week and he lasted to the far turn. I can see him blasting for position tonight and getting a trip; using underneath.