Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 2/11

Top Pick Stats: 72 - 205 / $366.90 (-$43.10)

Best Bets: 12 - 19 / $47.20 (+$9.20)

Spot Plays: 4 - 19 / $23.20 (-$14.80)

Best Bet: SERIOUS MOJO (3RD)

Spot Play: ISITFRIDAYYET (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,6/3,5/4,7/1,3,7,10/4,7,8 = $28.80

Late Pick 5: 3,7/9,10/2,4,6/6,7/1,5,8 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 1,3,7,10/4,7,8/3,7/9,10 = $9.60

Late Pick 4: 2,4,6/6,7/1,5,8/1,2,5 = $10.80

Race 1: Winners of 4 but not more than 6 or $80,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $60,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) BACKSTREET GAMBLER is in a bit tougher tonight but he is razor-sharp and his win streak should continue. (6) STONE CARVER benefitted from some swift early fractions last time but he impressively drew off with authority and he can be a threat to the choice tonight. (2) JOELSYY HANOVER has been facing a steady diet of tougher company. I could see him tripping out racing close to the front here. He is in with a shot. (1) JIMMYACHANCE should close for another slice here.

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Race 2: F&M NW $1,850 L3

(5) SILENT CROSSING raced well in defeat last week at Flamboro now she gets first time McNair and top billing here. (3) ITTY BITTY took some action on the class drop last week and she raced better. I could see her popping vs. these in this third start back. (1) BETTER CATCH GIRL likely sits and rallies tonight after her failed first-over trip last week. (4) COWGIRL LILLY is another that should close late to land in the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(4) SERIOUS MOJO takes a massive class drop here and he is the one to beat exiting the much tougher Snowshoe series. (7) EVERYONES HERO showed some late zip in his sophomore debut and he should get put into this race earlier; price look. (8) MIKRON gets Macdonald back and he should be in the exotics mix here. (8) SMOKIN MO will probably flash speed but he is probably suited better to the smaller tracks. I see him taking a small share.

Race 4: NW $2,550 L3 - Pick 4

(10) TEXACO MAN woke up and produced a good closing effort last week and drawing the widest post will keep his price viable here; top call. (3) LIONS WISH NL closed from last and passed a few in that same race in an improved effort. Drawing better here, he is in with a chance. (1) O NARUTAC PERFETTO fits well here and he is another in with a chance in a wide-open race. (7) NEVER MIND N, racing off the Puddy claim, is another to consider for multi-race tickets in a race where it makes sense to use a few of them.

Race 5: NW $3,750 L5 or $8,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L3

(8) ISITFRIDAYYET looked good closing widest to get the job done last week and he gets the call to repeat starting from the same post tonight. (4) ROCK AND TWIST flew late last week but it was too late. He is an obvious threat here. (7) FLASHY DUDE is worth a look here shipping north in sharp form and moving into Budd's barn. (6) POINTOMYGRANSON beat the choice then missed a week. He could be the one to catch again.

Race 6: 3YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 5

$85,000 Lexington sale buy (7) CAPTAIN Q is the first foal of a dam that earned close to $1.3 million and he is by a top sire. This doesn't appear to be a tough spot and he gets the nod. (3) BETTERTIMESAHEAD showed nice improvement when 2nd behind a well-meant winner and he figures to be a late threat tonight; using. (2) DELIGHTFUL FEELING paced a nice back 1/2 on debut but he was too far back. He should be in the exotics mix this time. (5) CAPTAINS PICK is capable but risky coming in off a race where he broke twice. I'll play to beat him.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $35,500 LT AE: 3YO 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $35,000

(10) HUNTED HOUSE was bought for six figures by The Stable and an immediate return on investment is likely here as he finds a good spot for his Mohawk Park debut. (9) BARRETT HANOVER was under a death grip at the wire while winning his sophomore debut and he figures to be the main threat here. (3) CALL ME IT looked good dominating maidens but these are tougher and I see him closing for a slice this time. (5) HEAD HONCHO is another who was impressive breaking his maiden that steps up and he also loses Macdonald who moves to the choice. He can close for a slice.

Race 8: NW $6,000 L5 or $12,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $13K or less L4 - Pick 4

(4) SHADOW IN RED raced great on 1/28 but the class dropping winner was just too good. He gets top billing here. (2) ITS IN THE STARS is razor-sharp and he could do here if Small keeps him closer to the leaders. (6) ROLL WITH THE FLOW gets McNair back and he'll put him into action early in the mile. He is another in with a shot. (9) BAYFIELD BEACH is sharp but he steps up and draws widest. I'll use him underneath this time.

Race 9: NW $26,500 L5 or $36,500 L8 or NW $110,000 LT

(7) ARIO HANOVER zoomed by late to take his local debut vs. easier. He missed three weeks leading to that race, and now he comes back in a week and gets Macdonald in the bike. I'll give him the nod to repeat despite facing tougher. (6) POINTS NORTH tracked some big fractions and got up late when beating similar. He should be a threat right back. (2) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER closed in a race that had no flow mainly due to the hot fractions being cut by the leader. He should be heard from late here. (4) CADILLAC BAYAMA is sharp and he should be part of the exotics here.

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Race 10: NW $14,500 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $100,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000

(8) LEGION SEELSTER was buried last week after getting hung the mile the week before. He fits at this level and he should offer a good price; top call. (1) HUGHIE JUNIOR N races best at this level and Drury should secure a spot near the front leaving the gate; using. (5) ROCKME ROLLME won with Macdonald in the bike two starts back and he gets that driver back tonight. He is another in with a shot. (4) REAL WILLEY will likely close for another slice in this spot.

Race 11: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $35,000 LT

(5) SILK ROAD SMASH woke up with a much better effort last week and he gets Macdonald now. He looks like he is sitting on a win; top call. (1) SUN CHIP is in easier here and McNair will likely get aggressive with him. He figures to be the main danger. (2) STOP THE SHOOTIN is fast enough to go with these and he looks ready based on his qualifier on 2/6; using. (3) TUF COOPER is on a roll, but this is tougher and he leaves the top barn due to a claim. I'll use him underneath this time. (4) JORDAN DEO is another that faces easier and he should be in the exotics mix.