Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 12/4

Meet Stats: 382 - 1113 / $2,021.40 (-$204.60)

Best Bets: 56 - 101 / $194.60 (-$7.40)

Spot Plays: 26 - 102 / $184.00 (-$20.00)

Best Bet: BET ON BECKY (3rd)

Spot Play: LETS GET PICKLED (4th)

Early Pick 5: 2,5/4,6/2/2,4,7/3,5,6,9,10 = $12

Late Pick 5: 4/4,7,8/3,5/4,6/7,8 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 2,4,7/3,5,6,9,10/4/4,7,8 = $45

Late Pick 4: 3,5/4,6/7,8/1,3,5,10 = $32

Race 1: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,200 L8 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

This race will likely come down to class droppers (5) GP DREAMIN and (2) VILLEFRANCHE AS. I'll side with the former mainly because the latter is 1 for 25 this year and will likely go off as the chalk. (1) WISHYOUDTELLME tripped out to win as a bomb in a similar class and he can get another good following trip here and contend for a share. (10) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE can pass a few of these late and take another share.

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Race 2: NW $23,500 L5 or $30,000 L10 or NW $140,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $55,000

(4) EAST END drops and he should get more aggressive vs. this short field; top call. (6) POINTS NORTH was first up in some wild fractions last week and he hung in there for 3rd. He seems to fit well and he is a contender here; using. (2) OUTLAW ACEOFSPADES should get another good following trip and take a share. (1) H P NAPOLEON is sharp and he should be part of the Super despite stepping up in class.

Race 3: Harvest Series Final

(2) BET ON BECKY goes for the series sweep here and she will be hard to beat if she brings her best effort. (6) AWESOME HILL flashed home to get close to the chose and she should be the main threat tonight. (4) BEST KEEPSAKE was first up against the choice last week and that wasn't going to work. She can be closer here if she can find a better trip. (1) BOTTOMOFTHENINTH should sit another good following trip and land in the Super.

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Race 4: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,500 L10 AE: $95,000 LT - Pick 4

(2) LETS GET PICKLED showed that he is as sharp as a tack by making a nice wide move in the final 1/4 last week into the teeth of a 27 2/5 kicker. I imagine McNair will have him moving earlier tonight and he gets top billing. Maritimes sensation (7) WOODMERE STEALDEAL makes his local debut racing out of the Auciello barn and he seems to fit here. I'll use him on multi-race tickets. (4) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N drops and he should be sent forward leaving the gate tonight. He is another that has a decent chance likely racing on or near the lead. (3) ROCKME ROLLME rarely misses a check. He should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $36,500 LT

(3) BELIEVE IN BRIAN raced decently in a couple of legs of the Harvest series and he can get a good trip racing near the front tonight; top call. (5) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER produced a decent late rally for driver Sorrie last week when he dropped to this level and he looks as good as any in here; using. (10) BETTORBEFLYIN comes to play every week and if he can clear from the 10-hole, he will be a threat; using. (9) HESINCONTROL should pass enough rivals to take a share tonight.

Race 6: F&M NW $28,500 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 5

Class of the race (4) SO MUCH MORE gets back with her own gender and faces much easier so perhaps her stale date won't matter tonight. (1) SNOW SHARK is sharp and she will likely get a good following trip here. She can complete the Exacta. (6) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP is also sharp and she has a knack for tripping out; using underneath. (5) KENDALL SEELSTER is usually in the mix at this level and she should take a slice tonight

Race 7: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

Tough race here. I'll take a swing with newcomer (4) TRUFFLES TOO who goes for cagey veteran trainer Budd. His stale qualifier date is a concern, but the price should be good enough to justify taking a plunge. (7) MAGIC CAPE finished 2nd to a huge chalk last week and she rates highly vs. these; using. (8) DEALIN WITH DEWEY got the clean line that he needed on 11/20 and he should be more aggressive now. He is another possibility in a wide-open race. (9) DESTINY BLUE CHIP was lucky to escape a bad position when a rival that had him pinned in broke stride on the last turn. He capitalized at a big price then but I prefer to use him underneath tonight.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW6 or $80,000 - Pick 4

(3) CADILLAC BAYAMA flew home last week, but he could do no better than 3rd because the late pace was so strong. He can take these if he is a bit closer at the 3/4 tonight. (5) CHANTEE was also motoring late after taking a shuffle in that same race. He should be right there again. (1) TAKE A GAMBLE was good in the Harvest Series and he can take a share here racing on or near the front. (2) FOREFATHER will likely get more aggressive in this spot and he should be part of the Super.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(4) UHTRED didn't get racing room until it was too late last week. He is due for some better luck and I'll stick with him one more time. (6) WHEELS ON FIRE got back on track last week and he has shown that he can reel off wins in the past. He's hard to leave off late multi-race tickets. (1) COLD CREEK CABO looked good last week pacing away from his rivals in the lane. He can make it onto the ticket despite stepping up in class. (2) BEYOND BETTER was first up chasing a slow pace last week. He hung in there well and he is an exotics factor again.

Race 10: NW $8,000 L5 or $17,500 L10

(8) WIND BLOWN drops and he has a good shot to pop vs. these and he should be more aggressive early in this spot; top call. (7) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN returns from Flamboro Downs in sharp form and he has beaten better than these in the past; using. (3) REVOLT gets Macdonald for a second drive and he draws much better this time. He has upset potential. (2) MAYHEM LIKE ME is an interesting newcomer but he has missed more than a month so I'll watch him here.

Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $19,000 LT

(1) HIPPYJOHN paced a 54-flat back 1/2 last week to get the job done in this class and off that effort I'll give him the call to repeat. (10) ROYAL TANG went too fast, too soon, and he paid the price late. That was a good effort though, and he merits a look despite drawing wide. (3) DR JOE zagged when the choice zigged and the loss of ground was likely the difference. He isn't out of this. (5) MERITO HANOVER handled a big chalk easily and he should contend here despite moving up one level. (6) SAULSBROOK VICTOR missed some time, but he can close for a small share.