Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 12/31

Meet Stats: 657 - 1977 / $3,290.40 (-$679.80)

Best Bets: 102 - 187 / $341.00 (-$33.00)

Spot Plays: 47 - 189 / $313.30 (-$64.70)

Best Bet: LAST BEACH (2ND)

Spot Play: BETTORS DREAM (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,5,8/8/7/1,2,4,8/1,2,5,7 = $12.80

Late Pick 5: 1,6/1,2,7/1,8/2,3,5/2,4,8 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 1,2,4,8/1,2,5,7/1,6/1,2,7 = $19.20

Late Pick 4: 1,2,7/1,8/2,3,5/2,4,8 = $10.80

Race 1: Popup 1st Leg **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

This is a good spot for (8) LOVEMYROCKINBIRD and Henry should be firing off the gate. He should get a good trip racing on or near the front; top call. (3) BEACHIN LINDY looked good winning in the top class in London then he was entered here and the card was snowed out. He is an obvious contender here. (2) ALTA ENGEN A figures to get a better trip against these tonight and he is another in with a shot in the opening leg of the early Pick 5. (5) FIXED IDEA took some early action then made a big move that he couldn't sustain last time. Tab the tote for clues with him.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $22,000 LT

(8) LAST BEACH raced well last week but he ran into a hot rival that would not be denied. He should be tough in here. (4) FULL DISCLOSURE raced well in the Valedictory series and he can complete this Exacta likely racing in the pocket most of the way. (7) SPORTS FAN wasn’t far behind the choice last week but he will likely be forced to take the overland route again tonight. I'll use him underneath here. (5) FLIGHT ONEFORTYSIX can close late again for a small share.

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Race 3: NW $12,000 L5 or $23,000 L10 or starters for a purse of $15K or less L4 AE: NW 6LT or 1 in L10

This is a much easier spot for (7) CODENAME CIGAR BOX and he is strictly the one to beat here. (3) FABRIZIO N will likely get a better start tonight getting off the rail post; Exacta factor. (1) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER figures to race close to the front throughout and stick around for a share. (2) NAUTICAL HANOVER is better than he has been showing recently. I see him as a factor for the bottom of the exotics tonight.

Race 4: Popup 1st Leg - Pick 4

(1) I AMA ROCKET has missed a month but he comes off a sharp win vs. a decent field before shipping east. Team Cullen could have him ready; top call. (4) JET ROCK is another shipper that exits some good races and he is another in with a shot in a race that demands wide multi-race coverage. (8) HARRY G didn’t beat much in his local debut but he looked good doing it and he picks up the leading driver now; using. (2) HUNTER HILL looked better last week, kicking in 26 4/5 and he has blown up the tote board before. He is another that merits a look for multi-race tickets.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $45,000

(2) JK MIKI MANTLE raced well in the Valedictory final but the winner was too good. He should have a good shot vs. these. (1) EMMETTS BUDDY lacked room last time and he should be in the mix if he can get out into the flow tonight; using. (5) BOTTLE ROCKET wasn’t put into the race from the 10-hole now he returns quicker and moves inside; price look. (7) ACAPULCO SUNBURN should find some cover tonight and that gives him a chance vs. these.

Race 6: NW $22,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or starters for a purse of $16K or less L4 AE: OPT CLM $80,000 - Pick 5

Many of these exit the same race and of those, (1) DESPERATE MAN raced hardest and finished closest to the winner. He gets top billing here. Shipper (6) SAILBOAT HANOVER comes in off a game win when claimed and he is a threat going for the leading trainer. (7) CADILLAC BAYAMA was an easy winner vs. lesser company. He likely gets a small share here. (2) LEGION SEELSTER should get a better trip racing closer to the front tonight. He's in the exotics mix.

Race 7: Popup 1st Leg - Pick 4

(1) BETTORS DREAM should be sharp having raced Tuesday night in London and getting Macdonald in the bike won't hurt; top call. (7) LETS GET PICKLED fits well vs. these and McNair should be sending him when the gate leaves. He's hard to leave off multi-race bets. (2) DR JOE gets put into every race and aggressive teamster Sorrie fits him well. He should be a late threat here. (5) DAY DELIGHT brings some good form in from Ottawa. He should be in the exotics mix racing close to the front.

Race 8: NW $12,000 L5 or $23,000 L10 or starters for a purse of $15K or less L4 AE: NW6 LT or 1 L10

(1) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE steps up again but he is so good right now that he will likely be up to it; top call. (8) COMMANDING OFFICER should get put into play at this level. I can see him being an Exacta factor. (4) BEYOND BETTER likely closes late for another small share in this spot. (2) JOELSYY HANOVER was a winner vs. similar two starts back and he should be good for at least a share here.

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Race 9: PREFERRED

(5) SAULSBROOK VICTOR couldn't be any sharper right now. He made several moves to take a new life's mark last week and his price will be good as he steps up to the top class; call to upset. (3) SO MUCH MORE is as tough as they come and she comes off a win vs. the boys in this class. She is always a threat. (2) WHEELS ON FIRE should be more aggressive starting from the inside tonight. He's in with a decent chance. (6) SINTRA is sharp but he loses J Mac. A smaller share is likely for him tonight.

Race 10: NW $6,000 L5 or $15,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L6

(2) SEA LAIRD was bet like he couldn't lose last time in London and he won easily despite getting stung hard early. He moves to Hudon's barn now and he should get another aggressive steer; call to repeat. (4) HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER had no shot with the long trip he got on Boxing Day. The shorter field and better post make him one of the top contenders tonight. (8) FLASH CUBE is an obvious contender going for Moreau after racing in the top class in Ottawa; using. (5) GRAND POOBAH is in solid form and his good tactical speed should land him another share tonight. (7) ILLGETMYOWN THANKS likely sits back and rallies for a slice here after flashing early speed on Monday.