Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Saturday 12/12

Meet Stats: 371 – 1191 / $2,120.40 (-$261.60)
Best Bets: 57 – 106 / $186.70 (-$25.30)
Spot Plays: 21 - 109 / $177,50 (-$40.70)
Best Bet: ROSE RUN VICTORY (2ND)
Spot Play: BIG MYRTLE (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,2,5/1/3,7/1,2,3,4,5,10/3,6 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 3/1,5,9/3,4/1,5/1,3,6 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,5,10/3,6/3/1,5,9 = $36
Late Pick 4: 3,4/1,5/1,3,6/3,5 = $24

Race 1: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 **$100,000 Pick 5**

(5) ISITFRIDAYYET raced okay in his return race now he gets his nose on the gate and a post in the middle of the gate. I expect a more aggressive effort here. (2) ROOTIN TOOTIN comes back quickly after finishing second in a fast race to a repeat winner that had double entered that class and won twice in four days. He can contend here despite moving up one level. (1) MACH CODE has upset possibilities here if he can avoid being first up again; using. (9) FIXED IDEA drops to what should be a good spot for him but starting from out there I can only use him underneath.

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Race 2: NIAGARA SERIES 1ST LEG 3YO FILLIES

(1) ROSE RUN VICTORY was dominant sweeping the Harvest series and she should be very tough to beat in this spot at a short price. (5) MAN DONTFORGET ME has been flashing high speed in Ohio and she goes for Auciello here; Exacta factor. (7) TIPPERARY HILL has been raced aggressively against the same tough winner in two straight and she can offer some exotics value here. (2) NO WHERE TO HIDE showed some ability in the Harvest series and she should be a factor here despite coming off a sick scratch.

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Race 3: NW $8,500 L5 or $17,500 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $20,000

This is a good spot for (7) ON THE ROPES and I expect he will be blasting off the gate tonight facing easier; top call. (3) ALL WRAPPED UP was a strong winner last time he raced at this level and if he is sharp enough coming off a sick scratch, he should be the main threat. (4) KAMERAN HANOVER races best at this level and he should get a share here. (8) MARQUIS VOLO is in peak form but this is a tougher spot and drawing outside I'll use him on the bottom.

Race 4: NW $8,000 L5 or $17,500 L10 - Pick 4

(1) SIR PUGSLEY has a much better chance here starting from an inside post and I'll give him the nod to upset in a wide-open race. (3) SAMS A CHAMP A drops and he should be put into this race earlier; using. (10) NOCTURNAL BLUE CHIP was coming late last week but he ran out of racetrack. He is in with a chance here if he can work out a trip. (2) MAJOR HILL gets Drury back and he is another that is worthy of multi-race consideration.

Race 5: NW3 or $59,000 LT

(6) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE gets away from Reagan Blue Chip tonight and he is a clear top choice for me in this field. (3) TALBOT ROMEO looks ready for a strong effort coming off a rest and he should be the main danger. Nothing went right for (5) CROSSCUT from the start last week. He can enter contention for a share tonight. (1) H P IGOT TOPLAY can improve here starting from an inside post. I can see him landing in the Super at a price.

Race 6: NIAGARA SERIES 1ST LEG 3YO FILLIES - Pick 5

(3) BIG MYRTLE was no match for the winner of the Harvest series final, but then, no one was. She looks best here and she gets the nod. (4) FILTER HANOVER took the overland route and she wasn't far behind the choice. She has a decent chance tonight. (2) CLASSYLANEPRECIOUS exits the same race as the top two choices and she gets post relief. She should make it into the Tri or Super. (1) NICE KITTY HANOVER comes off a nice win after returning from a sick scratch but this is tougher; using underneath.

Race 7: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(9) H P TITANIA RUNNER qualified well for this after breaking in two straight. She can win this if she gets put into the race. (5) GLOIRE DREAM was too far back last week but he did close willingly. If he can lay closer, he should be right there despite stepping up one class level. (1) FLY BEYOND blasted, yielded, took a shuffle, then re-rallied. He draws better here and he isn't out of this. (8) HOLDIN ACES will likely be circling rivals late to take another share tonight.

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Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW5 or $87,500 LT - Pick 4

(4) REAGAN BLUE CHIP has won three straight at this level deploying various racing styles and he should be tough as he seeks a fourpeat. (3) POSEIDON SEELSTER comes off a fast win at this level where he battled hard but has now missed a month of action. I would not take a short price here. (2) GRAND POOBAH is stuck on one 2020 win but he comes off his best effort in a while. He has upset possibilities tonight. (6) CORTEZ THE KILLER tripped out perfectly when he won when claimed last week. I see him finishing on the fringes tonight in this field.

Race 9: NW $28,500 L5 AE: OPT CLAIMING $55,000 AE: MARES

This is a great spot for (1) SO MUCH MORE who gets in based on the gender eligibility and she should be hard to beat. (5) WHEELS ON FIRE should improve getting away from Sintra and McNair may look to go right down the road here. He should be the main danger. (2) H P NAPOLEON is sharp and he should be a factor again but I prefer to use him underneath. (3) POINTS NORTH is likely to sit an inside following trip and rally late for a small share.

Race 10: NW $16,000 L5 or $29,000 L10 or NW $130,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(6) INDICTABLE HANOVER is razor-sharp right now and Macdonald is accordingly driving him very aggressively; call to repeat. (3) REAL WILLEY tried the top class several times with limited success. He obviously fits better here and he should improve tonight. (1) ROCKIN N TALKIN is usually right there when he races at this level and he could trip out this time leaving from an inside post. He is another multi-race possibility. (4) POINTOMYGRANSON is another who races best at this level who should be considered for the exotics.

Race 11: NW $11,000 L5 or $24,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(5) AWESOMENESS races well for Jamieson who gets back here and he also gets major post relief; slight nod in a tough race. (3) TORRIN HANOVER need only find a live helmet tonight to have a good chance. He's on my late Pick 4 ticket. (4) EAST END is sharp and he comes off a solid try when passed late by a pocket rocket. He could be the one to catch again. (8) OUTLAWGRABBINGEARS is a good fit here but from a wide post I can only use him underneath. (10) AINTNOBETTOR A should pass a few of these late to take a check.